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Novel metastatic burden-stratified risk model in de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

ABSTRACT: The metastatic burden is a critical factor for decision-making in the treatment of metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC). This study aimed to develop and validate a novel risk model for survival in patients with de novo low- and high-burden metastatic HSPC. The retrospective observational study included men with de novo metastatic prostate cancer who were treated with primary androgen-deprivation therapy at 30 institutions across Japan between 2008 and 2017. We created a risk model for overall survival (OS) in the discovery cohort (n = 1449) stratified by the metastatic burden (low vs high) and validated its predictive ability in a separate cohort (n = 951). Based on multivariate analyses, lower hemoglobin levels, higher Gleason grades, and higher clinical T-stage were associated with poor OS in low-burden disease. Meanwhile, lower hemoglobin levels, higher Gleason grade group, liver metastasis, and higher extent of disease scores in bone were associated with poor OS in patients with high-burden disease. In the discovery and validation cohorts, the risk model using the aforementioned parameters exhibited excellent discriminatory ability for progression-free survival and OS. The predictive ability of this risk model was superior to that of previous risk models. Our novel metastatic burden-stratified risk model exhibited excellent predictive ability for OS, and it is expected to have several clinical uses, such as precise prognostic estimation.

SUBMITTER: Shiota M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8409413 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Novel metastatic burden-stratified risk model in de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

Shiota Masaki M Terada Naoki N Kitamura Hiroshi H Kojima Takahiro T Saito Toshihiro T Yokomizo Akira A Kohei Naoki N Goto Takayuki T Kawamura Sadafumi S Hashimoto Yasuhiro Y Takahashi Atsushi A Kimura Takahiro T Tabata Ken-Ichi KI Tomida Ryotaro R Hashimoto Kohei K Sakurai Toshihiko T Shimazui Toru T Sakamoto Shinichi S Kamiyama Manabu M Tanaka Nobumichi N Mitsuzuka Koji K Kato Takuma T Narita Shintaro S Yasumoto Hiroaki H Teraoka Shogo S Kato Masashi M Osawa Takahiro T Nagumo Yoshiyuki Y Matsumoto Hiroaki H Enokida Hideki H Sugiyama Takayuki T Kuroiwa Kentaro K Inoue Takahiro T Sugimoto Mikio M Mizowaki Takashi T Kamoto Toshiyuki T Nishiyama Hiroyuki H Eto Masatoshi M

Cancer science 20210710 9

The metastatic burden is a critical factor for decision-making in the treatment of metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC). This study aimed to develop and validate a novel risk model for survival in patients with de novo low- and high-burden metastatic HSPC. The retrospective observational study included men with de novo metastatic prostate cancer who were treated with primary androgen-deprivation therapy at 30 institutions across Japan between 2008 and 2017. We created a risk model ...[more]

PMID: 34145921

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Project description:BackgroundUpfront docetaxel or novel hormonal agents (NHA) such as abiraterone and enzalutamide have become the standard of care for metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). We evaluated real-world management of patients treated with these agents at a single center.Patients and methodsPatients with de novo mHSPC treated with upfront docetaxel or an NHA between January 2014 and April 2019 at Mount Sinai Health System were included. We evaluated time to next treatment (TTNT), PSA progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) after initial treatment with these drugs. Kaplan Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used for analysis. We additionally assessed the prognostic value of post-treatment PSA.ResultsWe identified 94 de novo mHSPC patients; 52 and 42 treated with upfront docetaxel and NHAs, respectively. NHAs were associated with a median TTNT of 20.7 months compared to 10.1 months with docetaxel (log-rank p = 0.023). We also observed median PSA PFS of 19 months for NHAs and 13.2 months for docetaxel (p = 0.069). However, OS between the two treatment groups was unchanged. Among docetaxel treated patients, TTNT was shorter among those with high metastasis burden (9.63 vs 25.5 months, p = 0.026) which was not observed among NHA treated patients (25.1 vs 20.7 months, p = 0.79). Regardless of treatment, lower post-treatment PSA levels were associated with improved TTNT (58.95 vs. 11.57 vs. 9.4 months for PSA ≤0.2, 0.2-0.4, >0.4ng/ml, respectively; p<0.001).ConclusionReal world data demonstrated a shorter duration of treatment with docetaxel than NHAs, reflecting the time-limited nature of docetaxel regimens compared to the treat-till-progression approach of NHAs. While TTNT was generally longer for NHAs than docetaxel, some docetaxel-treated patients achieved significant periods of time off treatment. In addition, the depth of PSA response following combination treatment may hold prognostic value for mHSPC outcomes.

Project description:IntroductionThe treatment landscape for de novo metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) is rapidly evolving. With an abundance of available treatment strategies, selecting the optimal strategy for an individual patient is becoming increasingly challenging. TripleAiM1 aims to evaluate the impact of mHSPC treatments on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and to provide real-world data insights on diagnostics, treatment strategies, patient subgroups and related healthcare expenditure for mHSPC. The aspirational target of TripleAiM1 is that in the near future, a more tailored therapy can be offered based on the individual patient's wishes and needs in accordance with the overarching principle of value-based healthcare.Methods and analysisWe describe the TripleAiM1 study design; a nationwide registry comprising a retrospective and prospective cohort of patients with de novo mHSPC. Starting in May 2020, eligible patients are identified, selected and recruited in 14 participating hospitals in the Netherlands. Our hypothesis is that, in a real-world setting, differences in clinically meaningful HRQoL deterioration will be observed for treatment strategies over time. HRQoL data, assessed with patient-reported outcome measures, costs and clinical data will be collected for 24 months.For the retrospective cohort, all patients diagnosed with de novo mHSPC from January 2017 onwards are eligible for inclusion. Patient and tumour characteristics, imaging modalities and treatment patterns will be analysed descriptively to provide a real-world overview.Time-to-event endpoints will be assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and regression models will be employed to analyse baseline characteristics associated with an increased likelihood of death, progression and HRQoL deterioration. Longitudinal mixed-effects models will be employed to assess change of patient-reported outcome scores from baseline until the end of follow-up.Ethics and disseminationEthical approval was obtained from the Medical Research Ethics Committee, Twente. Study results will be published in peer-reviewed journals.Trial registration numberNL9719.

Project description:BackgroundBone metastasis has been suggested to be a significant impactor on the prognosis of newly diagnosed de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC), and some risk stratification models have been proposed on the basis of this hypothesis. However, the effectiveness of these risk stratification criteria has not been fully evaluated in China. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the risk stratification models in China.MethodsA total of 140 patients who were newly diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer followed by primary androgen deprivation-based therapy from January 2008 to June 2021 at our institution were enrolled in this study. The patients were divided into different groups on the basis of high- and low-volume disease (H/LVD) criteria, high-and low-risk disease (H/LRD) criteria, extremity bone metastasis criteria (EBM), and extent of disease (EOD) criteria. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the validity and net benefit of these models. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, we performed univariable and multivariable analyses of the factors influencing overall survival (OS) and the time of progression to metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC).ResultsThe median patient age was 72 years. Most patients had a Gleason score ≥8 (102 cases, 72.9%) and clinical T stage >2 (75 cases, 53.6%). The median follow-up time was 25 months (range, 2-95 months). Ninety-two patients progressed to CRPC and fifty-seven patients died during the follow-up. The AUC of OS and CRPC showed that the EOD model had higher validity than the other risk stratification models. DCA shows that the net benefit of the EOD model on OS was better than that of the other risk stratification models. As for CRPC, the net benefit of the EOD model was second only to that of the H/LRD model when the threshold was <0.5; however, when the threshold was >0.5, the EOD model outperformed the other models. The effectiveness of EOD as an independent prognostic variable was verified through univariable and multivariable analyses.ConclusionThe EOD model yields reasonable risk stratification for use in Chinese mHSPC patients, providing further evidence supporting its role in clinical decision-making.

Project description:BackgroundGermline DNA damage repair gene mutations (gDDRm) have been found in approximately 12% of patients with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa). Previous studies of the clinical impact of gDDRm have mainly been in the setting of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). This study aimed to determine the prognostic value of gDDRm in de novo metastatic and castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC).Materials and methodsWe retrospectively collected the records of 139 consecutive men with de novo mCSPC who initially received systemic therapies following guidelines. This included 128 patients who underwent genetic testing at our center and 11 patients referred to our center after being identified as gDDRm carriers. Time to mCRPC was collected. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank analysis were used to analyze the association between gDDRm and clinical outcomes. Survival outcomes were adjusted using multivariable Cox regression models.ResultsOf the 139 patients with de novo mCSPC, 28 gDDRm carriers were identified. Median time progressing to mCRPC was significantly shorter in patients carrying gDDRm than in those without mutations (8.3 vs 13.2 months; hazard ratio [HR], 2.37; p < .001). Moreover, median progression time was almost halved in BRCA2 carriers (6.3 vs. 13.2 months; HR, 3.73; p < .001). Subgroup analysis revealed that the presence of gDDRm indicated poor therapy response regardless of disease volume and prostate-specific antigen nadir within the first 7 months. Presence of gDDRm remained independently associated with increased risk of progression to mCRPC in multivariate analysis (adjusted HR, 1.98; p = .006).ConclusionOur study suggested that positive gDDRm status predicted rapid progression to castration resistance in patients with de novo mCSPC. We propose identifying gDDRm status at the time of diagnosis for mCSPC patients, considering it is the first step of tailoring individualized treatment. In addition, DNA repair genes were a good therapeutic target for poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors, and our results call for more frontline targeted therapy trials in gDDRm carriers to prolong the progression time.Implications for practiceResults of this study suggested that positive germline DNA damage repair gene mutation (gDDRm) status predicted earlier progression to castration resistance in patients with de novo metastatic and castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC). These findings indicated the importance of intense therapy for some subgroups of mCSPC, especially for mCSPC harboring gDDRm with low-volume disease. Moreover, gDDRm was a good therapeutic target for poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors, and these findings call for more molecular marker driven trials moving to the mTNPC setting.

Project description:BackgroundDarolutamide is a potent androgen-receptor inhibitor that has been associated with increased overall survival among patients with nonmetastatic, castration-resistant prostate cancer. Whether a combination of darolutamide, androgen-deprivation therapy, and docetaxel would increase survival among patients with metastatic, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer is unknown.MethodsIn this international, phase 3 trial, we randomly assigned patients with metastatic, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer in a 1:1 ratio to receive darolutamide (at a dose of 600 mg [two 300-mg tablets] twice daily) or matching placebo, both in combination with androgen-deprivation therapy and docetaxel. The primary end point was overall survival.ResultsThe primary analysis involved 1306 patients (651 in the darolutamide group and 655 in the placebo group); 86.1% of the patients had disease that was metastatic at the time of the initial diagnosis. At the data cutoff date for the primary analysis (October 25, 2021), the risk of death was significantly lower, by 32.5%, in the darolutamide group than in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.57 to 0.80; P<0.001). Darolutamide was also associated with consistent benefits with respect to the secondary end points and prespecified subgroups. Adverse events were similar in the two groups, and the incidences of the most common adverse events (occurring in ≥10% of the patients) were highest during the overlapping docetaxel treatment period in both groups. The frequency of grade 3 or 4 adverse events was 66.1% in the darolutamide group and 63.5% in the placebo group; neutropenia was the most common grade 3 or 4 adverse event (in 33.7% and 34.2%, respectively).ConclusionsIn this trial involving patients with metastatic, hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, overall survival was significantly longer with the combination of darolutamide, androgen-deprivation therapy, and docetaxel than with placebo plus androgen-deprivation therapy and docetaxel, and the addition of darolutamide led to improvement in key secondary end points. The frequency of adverse events was similar in the two groups. (Funded by Bayer and Orion Pharma; ARASENS ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02799602.).

Dataset Information

Novel metastatic burden-stratified risk model in de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

Publications

Novel metastatic burden-stratified risk model in de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer.

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