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Early Convalescent Plasma Therapy and Mortality among US Veterans Hospitalized with Non-Severe COVID-19: An Observational Analysis Emulating a Target Trial.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Early convalescent plasma transfusion may reduce mortality in patients with non-severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Methods

This study emulates a (hypothetical) target trial using observational data from a cohort of United States Veterans admitted to a Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) facility between May 1 and November 17, 2020 with non-severe COVID-19. The intervention was convalescent plasma initiated within 2 days of eligibility. Thirty-day mortality was compared using cumulative incidence curves, risk differences, and hazard ratios estimated from pooled logistic models with inverse probability weighting to adjust for confounding.

Results

Of 11,269 eligible person-trials contributed by 4,755 patients, 402 trials were assigned to the convalescent plasma group. Forty and 671 deaths occurred within the plasma and non-plasma groups, respectively. The estimated 30-day mortality risk was 6.5% (95% CI: 4.0, 9.7) in the plasma group and 6.2% (95% CI: 5.6, 7.0) in the non-plasma group. The associated risk difference was 0.30% (95% CI -2.30, 3.60) and the hazard ratio was 1.04 (95% CI 0.64,1.62).

Conclusion

Our target trial emulation estimated no meaningful differences in 30-day mortality between non-severe COVID-19 patients treated and untreated with convalescent plasma.

SUBMITTER: Cho K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8411382 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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