The Mathematical Limitations of Fetal Echocardiography as a Screening Tool in the Setting of a Normal Second-Trimester Ultrasound.
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ABSTRACT: Background
The effectiveness of screening strategies targeting pregnancies at higher risk of congenital heart disease (CHD) is reduced by the low prevalence of severe CHD, the increase in CHD detection rates by second-trimester ultrasound (U/S), and the high proportion of severe CHD in low-risk pregnancies. We aimed to determine situations in which additional screening by fetal echocardiography (FE) would result in a significant increase in sensitivity and a sizable decrease in the false-negative rate of detection of severe CHD.Methods
We simulated the change in the numbers of detected severe CHD cases when FE is offered to women with a normal second-trimester U/S who have a higher risk of bearing a child with CHD, compared to U/S alone. The primary outcome was the increase in sensitivity. Secondary outcomes were the number needed to screen and the reduction in the rate of missed cases.Results
For an U/S sensitivity of 60%, the addition of FE in pregnancies at high risk of CHD (risk ratio 3.5; range: 2 to 5) increased sensitivity by 2.4 percentage points (1.1 to 7.9). The number needed to screen to detect one additional case of severe CHD was 436 (156 to 952). The rate of additional severe CHD cases detected by FE was 4 per 100,000 pregnancies (2 to 32).Conclusions
The addition of FE to U/S for severe CHD prenatal screening in pregnancies at high risk of CHD yielded marginal benefits in terms of increased sensitivity and decreased rates of false negatives, at the expense of significant resource utilization.
SUBMITTER: Bellavance S
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8413228 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Research on the treatment of second-trimester miscarriages is scarce. We studied the outcomes, and the factors associated with adverse events and need for hospital resources in the medical treatment of second-trimester miscarriage.In these retrospective analyses we studied women treated for spontaneous fetal miscarriage with misoprostol-only (n = 24) or mifepristone and misoprostol (n = 177) in duration of gestation 12+1-21+6. Primary outcomes were the risk factors for surgical evacuation and excessive bleeding. Secondary outcomes were total misoprostol dose, time to expulsion and the length of hospital stay.History of surgical evacuation of the uterus increased the risk of surgical evacuation (p = 0.027). Excessive bleeding was not associated with any of the studied variables. More misoprostol was needed when the duration of gestation exceeded 17+0 weeks (p = 0.036). In multivariate analysis the time to fetal expulsion was shorter in women with history of 1-2 deliveries (hazard ratio [HR] 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]; 1.07-2.07), ≥3 deliveries (HR 1.63, 95% CI; 1.11-2.38) and with a two-day interval between mifepristone-misoprostol administration (HR 1.71, 95% CI; 1.05-2.81). Patients with symptoms (i.e. uterine bleeding or pain) at baseline had longer hospital stay (HR 0.66, 95% CI; 0.47-0.92).The factors affecting the outcomes of medical treatment of second-trimester fetal miscarriage are similar to those of second-trimester induced abortion. Two-day interval between mifepristone-misoprostol administration might decrease the time to fetal expulsion and the need of hospital resources.
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Project description:BackgroundCongenital Heart Disease represents the most frequent fetal malformation. The lack of prenatal identification of congenital heart defects can have adverse consequences for the neonate, while a correct prenatal diagnosis of specific cardiac anomalies improves neonatal care neurologic and surgery outcomes. Sonographers perform prenatal diagnosis manually during the first or second-trimester scan, but the reported detection rates are low. This project's primary objective is to develop an Intelligent Decision Support System that uses two-dimensional video files of cardiac sweeps obtained during the standard first-trimester fetal echocardiography (FE) to signal the presence/absence of previously learned key features.MethodsThe cross-sectional study will be divided into a training part of the machine learning approaches and the testing phase on previously unseen frames and eventually on actual video scans. Pregnant women in their 12-13 + 6 weeks of gestation admitted for routine first-trimester anomaly scan will be consecutively included in a two-year study, depending on the availability of the experienced sonographers in early fetal cardiac imaging involved in this research. The Data Science / IT department (DSIT) will process the key planes identified by the sonographers in the two- dimensional heart cine loop sweeps: four-chamber view, left and right ventricular outflow tracts, three vessels, and trachea view. The frames will be grouped into the classes representing the plane views, and then different state-of-the- art deep-learning (DL) pre-trained algorithms will be tested on the data set. The sonographers will validate all the intermediary findings at the frame level and the meaningfulness of the video labeling.DiscussionFE is feasible and efficient during the first trimester. Still, the continuous training process is impaired by the lack of specialists or their limited availability. Therefore, in our study design, the sonographer benefits from a second opinion provided by the developed software, which may be very helpful, especially if a more experienced colleague is unavailable. In addition, the software may be implemented on the ultrasound device so that the process could take place during the live examination.Trial registrationThe study is registered under the name "Learning deep architectures for the Interpretation of Fetal Echocardiography (LIFE)", project number 408PED/2020, project code PN-III-P2-2.1-PED-2019.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov , unique identifying number NCT05090306, date of registration 30.10.2020.
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