Kidney function and cancer risk: An analysis using creatinine and cystatin C in a cohort study.
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ABSTRACT: Background
We examined whether an increased risk of cancer incidence and death is associated with kidney function and albuminuria and whether the risk is more readily identified when kidney function is estimated using cystatin C.Methods
Participants were from UK Biobank (recruitment spanning 2007-2010), excluding those with a prior diagnosis of cancer. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (ml/min/1.73m2) was calculated using creatinine (eGFRcr), cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine-cystatin C (eGFRcr-cys). Cox proportional hazards models tested associations between eGFR, urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (uACR) and cancer incidence and death.Findings
In 431,263 participants over median follow-up of 11.3 (IQR 10.6-12.0) years, there were 41,745 incident cancers and 11,764 cancer deaths. eGFRcys was most strongly associated with cancer incidence and death (HR 1.04 (95% CI 1.03-1.04) and 1.06 (1.05-1.07) per 10 ml/min/1.73m2 decline, respectively). eGFRcr was not associated with either outcome (incidence: HR 1.00 (1.00-1.01); death: HR 0.99 (0.98-1.01) per 10 ml/min/1.73m2 decline). Relative to eGFRcys>90 or uACR<3 mg/mmol, eGFRcys60-89 (HR 1.04 (95% CI 1.02-1.07)), eGFRcys<60 (HR 1.19 (1.14-1.24)) and uACR≥3 mg/mmol (HR 1.09 (1.06-1.12)) were associated with higher risk of incident cancer. eGFRcys60-89 (HR 1.15 (1.10-1.21)); eGFRcys<60 (HR 1.48 (1.38-1.59)) and uACR≥3 mg/mmol (HR 1.17 (1.11-1.24)) were associated with cancer death.Interpretation
Excess risk of cancer incidence and cancer death is more readily captured in early chronic kidney disease by eGFRcys than by current measures. The association between kidney function, uACR and cancer death in particular is concerning and warrants further scrutiny.Funding
Chief Scientist Office; ANID Becas Chile; Medical Research Council; British Medical Association; British Heart Foundation.
SUBMITTER: Lees JS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8413238 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BACKGROUND:Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is routinely utilized as a measure of renal function. While creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr) is widely used in clinical practice, the use of cystatin-C to estimate GFR (eGFRcys) has demonstrated superior risk prediction in various populations. Prior studies that derived eGFR formulas have infrequently included high proportions of elderly, African-Americans, and Hispanics. OBJECTIVE:Our objective as to compare mortality risk prediction using eGFRcr and eGFRcys in an elderly, race/ethnically diverse population. DESIGN:The Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) is a multiethnic prospective cohort of elderly stroke-free individuals consisting of a total of 3,298 participants recruited between 1993 and 2001, with a median follow-up of 18 years. PARTICIPANTS:We included all Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) participants with concurrent measured creatinine and cystatin-C. MAIN MEASURES:The eGFRcr was calculated using the CKD-EPI 2009 equation. eGFRcys was calculated using the CKD-EPI 2012 equations. The performance of each eGFR formula in predicting mortality risk was tested using receiver-operating characteristics, calibration and reclassification. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) was calculated based on the Reynolds 10 year risk score from adjusted Cox models with mortality as an outcome. The primary hypothesis was that eGFRcys would better predict mortality than eGFRcr. RESULTS:Participants (n = 2988) had a mean age of 69±10.2 years and were predominantly Hispanic (53%), overweight (69%), and current or former smokers (53% combined). The mean eGFRcr (74.68±18.8 ml/min/1.73m2) was higher than eGFRcys (51.72±17.2 ml/min/1.73m2). During a mean of 13.0±5.6 years of follow-up, 53% of the cohort had died. The AUC of eGFRcys (0.73) was greater than for eGFRcr (0.67, p for difference<0.0001). The proportions of correct reclassification (NRI) based on 10 year mortality for the model with eGFRcys compared to the model with eGFRcr were 4.2% (p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS:In an elderly, race/ethnically diverse cohort low eGFR is associated with risk of all-cause mortality. Estimated GFR based on serum cystatin-C, in comparison to serum creatinine, was a better predictor of all-cause mortality.
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Project description:PurposeWe sought to explore whether adding kidney function biomarkers based on creatinine (eGFRCr), cystatin C (eGFRCys) or a combination of the two (eGFRCr-Cys) could improve risk stratification for stroke and major bleeding, and whether there were sex differences in any additive value of kidney function biomarkers.MethodWe included participants from the UK Biobank who had not had a previous ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke or major bleeding episode, and who had kidney function measures available at baseline. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models tested associations between eGFRCr, eGFRCys and eGFRCr-Cys (mL/min/1.73 m2) with ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, major bleeding (gastrointestinal or intracranial, including haemorrhagic stroke) and all-cause mortality.FindingsAmong 452,879 eligible participants, 246,244 (54.4%) were women. Over 11.5 (IQR 10.8-12.2) years, there were 3706 ischaemic strokes, 795 haemorrhagic strokes, 26,025 major bleeding events and 28,851 deaths. eGFRCys was more strongly associated with ischaemic stroke than eGFRCr: an effect that was more pronounced in women (men - HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.12-1.19; female to male comparison - HR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.05-1.16, per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 decline in eGFRCys). This interaction effect was also demonstrated for eGFRCr-Cys, but not eGFRCr. eGFRCys and eGFRCr-Cys were more strongly associated with major bleeding and all-cause mortality than eGFRCr in both men and women. Event numbers were small for haemorrhagic stroke.DiscussionTo a greater degree than is seen in men, eGFRCr underestimates risk of ischaemic stroke and major bleeding in women compared to eGFRCys. The difference between measures is likely explained by non-GFR biology of creatinine and cystatin C.ConclusionEnhanced measurement of cystatin C may improve risk stratification for ischaemic stroke and major bleeding and clinical treatment decisions in a general population setting, particularly for women.
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Project description:BackgroundPrior papers have been inconsistent regarding how much creatinine clearance (CrCl) overestimates glomerular filtration rate (GFR). A recent cross-sectional study suggested that measurement error alone could entirely account for the longstanding observation that CrCl/GFR ratio is larger when GFR is lower among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD); but there have been no validation of this in other cohorts.MethodsTo fill these gaps in knowledge regarding the relation between CrCl and GFR, we conducted cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis of the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study (MDRD) and African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK); and cross-sectional analysis of a clinical dataset from the Mayo Clinic of four different patient populations (CKD patients, kidney transplant recipients, post kidney donation subgroup and potential kidney donors). In the cross-sectional analyses (MDRD, AASK and Mayo Clinic cohort), we examined the relation between the CrCl/iothalamate GFR (iGFR) ratio at different categories of iGFR or different levels of CrCl. In the MDRD and AASK longitudinal analyses, we studied how the CrCl/iGFR ratio changed with those who had improvement in iGFR (CrCl) over time versus those who had worsening of iGFR (CrCl) over time.ResultsObserved CrCl/iGFR ratios were generally on the lower end of the range reported in the literature for CKD (median 1.24 in MDRD, 1.13 in AASK and 1.25 in Mayo Clinic cohort). Among CKD patients in whom CrCl and iGFR were measured using different timed urine collections, CrCl/iGFR ratio were higher with lower iGFR categories but lower with lower CrCl categories. However, among CKD patients in whom CrCl and iGFR were measured using the same timed urine collections (which reduces dis-concordant measurement error), CrCl/iGFR ratio were higher with both lower iGFR categories and lower CrCl categories.ConclusionsThese data refute the recent suggestion that measurement error alone could entirely account for the longstanding observation that CrCl/GFR ratio increases as GFR decreases in CKD patients. They also highlight the lack of certainty in our knowledge with regard to how much CrCl actually overestimates GFR.
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