Dataset Information

Prognostic nomogram for predicting 5-year overall survival in Chinese patients with high-grade osteosarcoma.

ABSTRACT: This study aimed to construct a widely accepted prognostic nomogram in Chinese high-grade osteosarcoma (HOS) patients aged ≤ 30 years to provide insight into predicting 5-year overall survival (OS). Data from 503 consecutive HOS patients at our centre between 12/2012 and 05/2019 were retrospectively collected. Eighty-four clinical features and routine laboratory haematological and biochemical testing indicators of each patient at the time of diagnosis were collected. A prognostic nomogram model for predicting OS was constructed based on the Cox proportional hazards model. The performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. The utility was evaluated by decision curve analysis. The 5-year OS was 52.1% and 2.6% for the nonmetastatic and metastatic patients, respectively. The nomogram included nine important variables based on a multivariate analysis: tumour stage, surgical type, metastasis, preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycle, postoperative metastasis time, mean corpuscular volume, tumour-specific growth factor, gamma-glutamyl transferase and creatinine. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram was able to predict 5-year OS accurately. The C-index of the nomogram for OS prediction was 0.795 (range, 0.703-0.887). Moreover, the decision curve analysis curve also demonstrated the clinical benefit of this model. The nomogram provides an individualized risk estimate of the 5-year OS in patients with HOS aged ≤ 30 years in a Chinese population-based cohort.

SUBMITTER: Yao Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8421452 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:Background:Medulloblastoma is the common pediatric malignant tumor with poor prognosis in cerebellum. However, MB is always with clinical heterogeneity. To provide patients with more clinically beneficial treatment strategies, there is a pressing need to develop a new prognostic prediction model as a supplement to the prediction outcomes of clinical judgment. Materials and Methods:Four datasets of mRNA expression and clinical data were downloaded from gene expression omnibus (GEO) database. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified and functionally enriched among GSE50161, GSE74195, GSE86574. Then we used STRING and Cytoscape to constructed and analyze protein-protein interaction network (PPI) and hub genes. Univariate cox regression analysis was performed to identify overall survival-related hub genes in an unique dataset from GSE85217 as train cohort. Lasso Cox regression model was used to construct the prognostic gene signature. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Kaplan-Meier curve, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to assess the prognostic capacity of the twelve-gene signature. A unique dataset from GSE85217 was downloaded to further validate the results. Finally, we established the nomogram by using the gene signature and validated it with ROC curve. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was carried out to further investigate its potential molecular mechanism. Besides, the twelve genes expression at the mRNA and protein levels was validated using external database such as Oncomine, cBioportal and HPA, respectively. Results:A twelve-gene signature comprising FOXM1, NEK2, CCT2, ACTL6A, EIF4A3, CCND2, ABL1, SYNCRIP, ITGB1, NRXN2, ENAH, and UMPS was established to predict overall survival of medulloblastoma. The ROC curve showed good performance in survival prediction in both the train cohort and the validation cohort. The twelve-gene signature could stratify patients into a high risk and low risk group which had significantly different survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression revealed that the twelve-gene signature was an independent prognostic factor in medulloblastoma. Nomogram, which included twelve-gene signatures, was established and showed some clinical benefit. Conclusion:Our study identified a twelve-gene signature and established a prognostic nomogram that reliably predicts overall survival in medulloblastoma. The above results will help us to better analyze the pathogenesis and treatment of medulloblastoma in the future.

Project description:BackgroundPrevious prediction models of osteosarcoma have not focused on survival in patients undergoing surgery, nor have they distinguished and compared prognostic differences among amputation, radical and local resection. This study aimed to establish and validate the first reliable prognostic nomogram to accurately predict overall survival (OS) after surgical resection in patients with osteosarcoma. On this basis, we constructed a risk stratification system and a web-based nomogram.MethodsWe enrolled all patients with primary osteosarcoma who underwent surgery between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. In patients with primary osteosarcoma after surgical resection, univariate and multivariate cox proportional hazards regression analyses were utilized to identify independent prognostic factors and construct a novel nomogram for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS. Then the nomogram's predictive performance and clinical utility were evaluated by the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultThis study recruited 1,396 patients in all, with 837 serving as the training set (60%) and 559 as the validation set (40%). After COX regression analysis, we identified seven independent prognostic factors to develop the nomogram, including age, primary site, histological type, disease stage, AJCC stage, tumor size, and surgical method. The C-index indicated that this nomogram is considerably more accurate than the AJCC stage in predicting OS [Training set (HR: 0.741, 95% CI: 0.726-0.755) vs. (HR: 0.632, 95% CI: 0.619-0.645); Validation set (HR: 0.735, 95% CI: 0.718-0.753) vs. (HR: 0.635, 95% CI: 0.619-0.652)]. Moreover, the area under ROC curves, the calibration curves, and DCA demonstrated that this nomogram was significantly superior to the AJCC stage, with better predictive performance and more net clinical benefits.ConclusionThis study highlighted that radical surgery was the first choice for patients with primary osteosarcoma since it provided the best survival prognosis. We have established and validated a novel nomogram that could objectively predict the overall survival of patients with primary osteosarcoma after surgical resection. Furthermore, a risk stratification system and a web-based nomogram could be applied in clinical practice to assist in therapeutic decision-making.

Dataset Information

Prognostic nomogram for predicting 5-year overall survival in Chinese patients with high-grade osteosarcoma.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets