Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Liang XS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8429568 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Liang X San XS Xu Fen F Rong Yineng Y Zhang Renhe R Tang Xu X Zhang Feng F
Scientific reports 20210909 1
The 2014-2015 "Monster"/"Super" El Niño failed to be predicted one year earlier due to the growing importance of a new type of El Niño, El Niño Modoki, which reportedly has much lower forecast skill with the classical models. In this study, we show that, so far as of today, this new El Niño actually can be mostly predicted at a lead time of more than 10 years. This is achieved through tracing the predictability source with an information flow-based causality analysis, which has been rigorously e ...[more]