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Down-staging depth score could be a survival predictor for locally advanced gastric cancer patients after preoperative chemoradiotherapy.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

The predictive effect of preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is low and difficult in guiding individualized treatment. We examined a surrogate endpoint for long-term outcomes in locally advanced gastric cancer patients after preoperative CRT.

Methods

From April 2012 to April 2019, 95 patients with locally advanced gastric cancer who received preoperative concurrent CRT and who were enrolled in three prospective studies were included. All patients were stage T_3/4N₊. Local control, distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated. Clinicopathological factors related to long-term prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. The down-staging depth score (DDS), which is a novel method of evaluating CRT response, was used to predict long-term outcomes.

Results

The median follow-up period for survivors was 30 months. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve predicted by the DDS was 0.728, which was better than the pathological complete response (pCR), histological response and ypN0. Decision curve analysis further affirmed that DDS had the largest net benefit. The DDS cut-off value was 4. pCR and ypN0 were associated with OS (P=0.026 and 0.049). Surgery and DDS are correlated with DMFS, DFS and OS (surgery: P=0.001, <0.001 and <0.001, respectively; and DDS: P=0.009, 0.013 and 0.032, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that DDS was an independent prognostic factor of DFS (P=0.021).

Conclusions

DDS is a simple, short-term indicator that was a better surrogate endpoint than pCR, histological response and ypN0 for DFS.

SUBMITTER: Li N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8435822 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Background:Inflammatory response and nutritional status are associated with cancer development and progression. The purpose of this study was to explore whether the preoperative fibrinogen-albumin ratio index (FARI) is related to prognosis and chemoradiotherapy outcome of radical surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Methods:In total, 123 patients with LARC who underwent radical surgery after NCRT between June 2012 and December 2018 were collected in this study. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was made to evaluate the ability of the markers for forecasting prognosis. The correlation between FARI and clinicopathological parameters was analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, univariate and multivariate analysis based on Cox proportional hazards models, and subgroup analysis were performed to evaluate overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). A nomogram was constructed to evaluate the predictive role of FARI in DFS. Results:The ROC curve analysis showed that the ability of FARI on DFS prediction was superior to those of other inflammatory markers and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (P<0.05). Based on the Youden's index, the optimal cut-off value of FARI was 8.8%. High FARI patients (>8.8%) showed a poor response to NCRT and a decreased DFS rate (P<0.05). In addition, multivariate analysis revealed that FARI (HR=3.098, P=0.033), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and postoperative T stage were independent prognostic factors for DFS in TNM stage III LARC patients. However, FARI failed to distinguish patients with poor OS. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram containing FARI (0.807) was obviously higher than that without it (0.732) among LARC patients who underwent radical surgery after NCRT. Moreover, multivariate analysis revealed FARI (OR=3.044, P=0.012) as an independent predictor for response to NCRT. Conclusion:Among LARC patients who underwent radical surgery after NCRT, preoperative FARI is an independent prognostic factor for DFS and an independent predictor for response to NCRT.