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Mean heart dose-based normal tissue complication probability model for pericardial effusion: a study in oesophageal cancer patients.

ABSTRACT: We investigated the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) of the incidence of pericardial effusion (PCE) based on the mean heart dose (MHD) in patients with oesophageal cancer treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. The incidences of PCE in any grade (A-PCE) and symptomatic PCE (S-PCE) were evaluated separately. To identify predictors for PCE, several clinical and dose-volume parameters were analysed using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and multivariate regression analysis. To validate its clinical applicability, the generated NTCP model was compared to the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman (LKB) model. Among 229 eligible patients, A-PCE and S-PCE were observed in 100 (43.7%) and 18 (7.9%) patients, respectively. MHD showed a preferable area under the curve (AUC) value for S-PCE (AUC = 0.821) and A-PCE (AUC = 0.734). MHD was the only significant predictor for A-PCE; MHD and hypertension were selected as significant factors for S-PCE. The estimated NTCP, using the MHD-based model, showed excellent correspondence to the LKB model in A-PCE and S-PCE. The NTCP curve of A-PCE was gentler than that of S-PCE and had no threshold. The MHD-based NTCP model was simple but comparable to the LKB model for both A-PCE and S-PCE. Therefore, the estimated NTCP may provide clinically useful parameters for predicting PCE.

SUBMITTER: Fukada J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8437977 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Purpose:This study aimed to analyze the potential clinical impact of the differences between planned and accumulated doses on the development and use of normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models. Methods and Materials:Thirty patients who were previously treated with stereotactic body radiation therapy for liver cancer and for whom the accumulated dose was computed were assessed retrospectively. The linear quadratic equivalent dose at 2?Gy per fraction and generalized equivalent uniform dose were calculated for planned and accumulated doses. Stomach and duodenal Lyman-Kutcher-Burman NTCP models (?/??=?2.5; n?=?.09) were developed on the basis of planned and accumulated generalized equivalent uniform doses and the differences between the models assessed. In addition, the error in determining the probability of toxicity on the basis of the planned dose was evaluated by comparing planned doses in the NTCP model that were created from accumulated doses. Results:The standard, planned-dose NTCP model overestimates toxicity risk for both the duodenal and stomach models at doses that are below approximately 20?Gy (6 fractions) and underestimates toxicity risk for doses above approximately 20?Gy (6 fractions). Building NTCP models with accumulated rather than planned doses changes the predicted risk by up to 16% (mean: 6%; standard deviation: 7%) for duodenal toxicity and 6% (mean: 2%; standard deviation: 2%) for stomach toxicity. For a protocol that plans a 10% iso-toxicity risk to the duodenum, a 15.7?Gy (6 fractions) maximum dose constraint would be necessary when using standard NTCP models on the basis of a planned dose and a 17.6?Gy (6 fractions) maximum dose would be allowed when using NTCP models on the basis of accumulated doses. Conclusions:Assuming that accumulated dose is a more accurate representation of the true delivered dose than the planned dose, this simulation study indicates the need for prospective clinical trials to evaluate the impact of building NTCP models on the basis of accumulated doses.

Project description:PurposeMultiparametric magnetic resonance tomography (mpMRI) and prostate specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography (PSMA-PET/CT) are used to guide focal radiotherapy (RT) dose escalation concepts. Besides improvements of treatment effectiveness, maintenance of a good quality of life is essential. Therefore, this planning study investigates whether urethral sparing in moderately hypofractionated RT with focal RT dose escalation influences tumour control probability (TCP) and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP).Patients and methods10 patients with primary prostate cancer (PCa), who underwent 68Ga PSMA-PET/CT and mpMRI followed by radical prostatectomy were enrolled. Intraprostatic tumour volumes (gross tumor volume, GTV) based on both imaging techniques (GTV-MRI and -PET) were contoured manually using validated contouring techniques and GTV-Union was created by summing both. For each patient three IMRT plans were generated with 60 Gy to the whole prostate and a simultaneous integrated boost up to 70 Gy to GTV-Union in 20 fractions by (Plan 1) not respecting and (Plan 2) respecting dose constraints for urethra as well as (Plan 3) respecting dose constraints for planning organ at risk volume for urethra (PRV = urethra + 2mm expansion). NTCP for urethra was calculated applying a Lyman-Kutcher-Burman model. TCP-Histo was calculated based on PCa distribution in co-registered histology (GTV-Histo). Complication free tumour control probability (P+) was calculated. Furthermore, the intrafractional movement was considered.ResultsMedian overlap of GTV-Union and PRV-Urethra was 1.6% (IQR 0-7%). Median minimum distance of GTV-Histo to urethra was 3.6 mm (IQR 2 - 7 mm) and of GTV-Union to urethra was 1.8 mm (IQR 0.0 - 5.0 mm). The respective prescription doses and dose constraints were reached in all plans. Urethra-sparing in Plans 2 and 3 reached significantly lower NTCP-Urethra (p = 0.002) without significantly affecting TCP-GTV-Histo (p = p > 0.28), NTCP-Bladder (p > 0.85) or NTCP-Rectum (p = 0.85), resulting in better P+ (p = 0.006). Simulation of intrafractional movement yielded even higher P+ values for Plans 2 and 3 compared to Plan 1.ConclusionUrethral sparing may increase the therapeutic ratio and should be implemented in focal RT dose escalation concepts.

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Mean heart dose-based normal tissue complication probability model for pericardial effusion: a study in oesophageal cancer patients.

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