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A Radiomics Signature-Based Nomogram to Predict the Progression-Free Survival of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Plus Radiofrequency Ablation.

ABSTRACT: Objective: The study aims to establish an magnetic resonance imaging radiomics signature-based nomogram for predicting the progression-free survival of intermediate and advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus radiofrequency ablation Materials and Methods: A total of 113 intermediate and advanced HCC patients treated with TACE and RFA were eligible for this study. Patients were classified into a training cohort (n = 78 cases) and a validation cohort (n = 35 cases). Radiomics features were extracted from contrast-enhanced T1W images by analysis kit software. Dimension reduction was conducted to select optimal features using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). A rad-score was calculated and used to classify the patients into high-risk and low-risk groups and further integrated into multivariate Cox analysis. Two prediction models based on radiomics signature combined with or without clinical factors and a clinical model based on clinical factors were developed. A nomogram comcined radiomics signature and clinical factors were established and the concordance index (C-index) was used for measuring discrimination ability of the model, calibration curve was used for measuring calibration ability, and decision curve and clinical impact curve are used for measuring clinical utility. Results: Eight radiomics features were selected by LASSO, and the cut-off of the Rad-score was 1.62. The C-index of the radiomics signature for PFS was 0.646 (95%: 0.582-0.71) in the training cohort and 0.669 (95% CI:0.572-0.766) in validation cohort. The median PFS of the low-risk group [30.4 (95% CI: 19.41-41.38)] months was higher than that of the high-risk group [8.1 (95% CI: 4.41-11.79)] months in the training cohort (log rank test, z = 16.58, p < 0.001) and was verified in the validation cohort. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that BCLC stage [hazard ratio (HR): 2.52, 95% CI: 1.42-4.47, p = 0.002], AFP level (HR: 2.01, 95% CI: 1.01-3.99 p = 0.046), time interval (HR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.26-0.87, p = 0.016) and radiomics signature (HR 2.98, 95% CI: 1.60-5.51, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors of PFS in the training cohort. The C-index of the combined model in the training cohort was higher than that of clinical model for PFS prediction [0.722 (95% CI: 0.657-0.786) vs. 0.669 (95% CI: 0.657-0.786), p＜0.001]. Similarly, The C-index of the combined model in the validation cohort, was higher than that of clinical model [0.821 (95% CI: 0.726-0.915) vs. 0.76 (95% CI: 0.667-0.851), p = 0.004]. The calibration curve, decision curve and clinical impact curve showed that the nomogram can be used to accurately predict the PFS of patients. Conclusion: The radiomics signature was a prognostic risk factor, and a nomogram combined radiomics and clinical factors acts as a new strategy for predicted the PFS of intermediate and advanced HCC treated with TACE plus RFA.

SUBMITTER: Fang S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8439353 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ImportanceThe long-term outcomes of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) are not determined.ObjectiveTo report the long-term outcomes of TACE-RFA.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study analyzed long-term follow-up data from a phase 3 randomized clinical trial of adults with early HCC conducted from October 2006 to June 2009. Participants were randomly assigned to the TACE-RFA group or the RFA group in a 1:1 ratio and followed up approximately 6 years after the trial was closed. Data analysis was performed March 2020.ExposureIn the TACE-RFA group, TACE was performed first, and RFA was done 2 weeks later.Main outcomes and measuresOverall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).ResultsOf 189 patients who were included (mean [SD] age, 54.3 [12.0] years; 146 [77.2%] men), 94 and 95 patients were assigned to the TACE-RFA group and RFA group, respectively, with their baseline characteristics well matched. Three patients in each group were lost to follow-up. The 5-year and 7-year OS rates for the TACE-RFA group vs the RFA group were 52.0% and 36.4% vs 43.2% and 19.4%, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.55; 95% CI, 0.39-0.78; P = .001). The 5-year and 7-year RFS rates for the TACE-RFA group vs the RFA group were 41.4% and 34.5% vs 27.4% and 18.1%, respectively (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.49-0.89; P = .007). On subgroup analysis comparing patients who had tumors larger than 3 cm with those who had tumors 3 cm or smaller, the OS and RFS survival rates in the TACE-RFA group (HR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.91-5.35, P < .001) were significantly better than those in the RFA group (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.30-3.17; P = .002).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study, combined RFA and TACE was associated with better survival than RFA alone on long-term follow-up. Patients with tumors 3 cm or smaller did not benefit as well as patients with tumors larger than 3 cm from the combined treatment.

Project description:ObjectiveTo compare the efficacy of liver resection (LR), radiofrequency ablation (RFA), and radiofrequency ablation combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (RFA+TACE) in the treatment of very-early- and early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodsWe systemically searched the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational analyses with propensity score-matched cohort analyses (PSMs) comparing any two of the three treatments were included in this study. The primary result was overall survival (OS) and the secondary result was recurrence-free survival (RFS), which were analyzed by calculating the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).ResultsA total of 25 studies (4249 patients), including 10 RCTs and 15 PSM observational studies, met the inclusion criteria. Although there was no significant difference between LR and RFA in terms of one-year OS, though LR showed superior performance for three- and five-year OS (at three years, HR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.56-0.96; at five years, HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.55-0.94). In addition, significantly higher rates of RFS at one-, three- and five-year follow-up were found for LR than for RFA alone (at one year, HR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.51-0.92; at three years, HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.55-0.81; at five years, HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.48-0.78). The combination of RFA+TACE was superior to RFA alone based on one-year RFS (HR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.34-0.96), while there were no significant differences in OS at one, three, and five years, and in RFS at three and five years.ConclusionsFor very-early- and early-stage HCC, this systematic review and network meta-analysis showed that the efficacy of LR is superior to that of RFA alone, regardless of whether the evaluation is based on either OS or RFS. The advantages of RFA+TACE compared to RFA alone are limited, and further studies are needed to determine whether combination therapy is necessary, i.e., results in significantly improved outcomes.Systematic review registrationThe study was registered with http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier: CRD42022299269.

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A Radiomics Signature-Based Nomogram to Predict the Progression-Free Survival of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Plus Radiofrequency Ablation.

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