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Thermodynamics-Based Model Construction for the Accurate Prediction of Molecular Properties From Partition Coefficients.

ABSTRACT: Developing models for predicting molecular properties of organic compounds is imperative for drug development and environmental safety; however, development of such models that have high predictive power and are independent of the compounds used is challenging. To overcome the challenges, we used a thermodynamics-based theoretical derivation to construct models for accurately predicting molecular properties. The free energy change that determines a property equals the sum of the free energy changes (ΔG_Fs) caused by the factors affecting the property. By developing or selecting molecular descriptors that are directly proportional to ΔG_Fs, we built a general linear free energy relationship (LFER) for predicting the property with the molecular descriptors as predictive variables. The LFER can be used to construct models for predicting various specific properties from partition coefficients. Validations show that the models constructed according to the LFER have high predictive power and their performance is independent of the compounds used, including the models for the properties having little correlation with partition coefficients. The findings in this study are highly useful for applications in drug development and environmental safety.

SUBMITTER: Chen D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8473701 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:The partitioning of compounds between aqueous and other phases is important for predicting toxicity. Although thousands of octanol-water partition coefficients have been measured, these represent only a small fraction of the anthropogenic compounds present in the environment. The octanol phase is often taken to be a mimic of the inner parts of phospholipid membranes. However, the core of such membranes is typically more hydrophobic than octanol, and other partition coefficients with other compounds may give complementary information. Although a number of (cheap) empirical methods exist to compute octanol-water (log k OW) and hexadecane-water (log k HW) partition coefficients, it would be interesting to know whether physics-based models can predict these crucial values more accurately. Here, we have computed log k OW and log k HW for 133 compounds from seven different pollutant categories as well as a control group using the solvation model based on electronic density (SMD) protocol based on Hartree-Fock (HF) or density functional theory (DFT) and the COSMO-RS method. For comparison, XlogP3 (log k OW) values were retrieved from the PubChem database, and KowWin log k OW values were determined as well. For 24 of these compounds, log k OW was computed using potential of mean force (PMF) calculations based on classical molecular dynamics simulations. A comparison of the accuracy of the methods shows that COSMO-RS, KowWin, and XlogP3 all have a root-mean-square deviation (rmsd) from the experimental data of ≈0.4 log units, whereas the SMD protocol has an rmsd of 1.0 log units using HF and 0.9 using DFT. PMF calculations yield the poorest accuracy (rmsd = 1.1 log units). Thirty-six out of 133 calculations are for compounds without known log k OW, and for these, we provide what we consider a robust prediction, in the sense that there are few outliers, by averaging over the methods. The results supplied may be instrumental when developing new methods in computational ecotoxicity. The log k HW values are found to be strongly correlated to log k OW for most compounds.

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Thermodynamics-Based Model Construction for the Accurate Prediction of Molecular Properties From Partition Coefficients.

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