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Graph Representation Forecasting of Patient's Medical Conditions: Toward a Digital Twin.

ABSTRACT: Objective: Modern medicine needs to shift from a wait and react, curative discipline to a preventative, interdisciplinary science aiming at providing personalized, systemic, and precise treatment plans to patients. To this purpose, we propose a "digital twin" of patients modeling the human body as a whole and providing a panoramic view over individuals' conditions. Methods: We propose a general framework that composes advanced artificial intelligence (AI) approaches and integrates mathematical modeling in order to provide a panoramic view over current and future pathophysiological conditions. Our modular architecture is based on a graph neural network (GNN) forecasting clinically relevant endpoints (such as blood pressure) and a generative adversarial network (GAN) providing a proof of concept of transcriptomic integrability. Results: We tested our digital twin model on two simulated clinical case studies combining information at organ, tissue, and cellular level. We provided a panoramic overview over current and future patient's conditions by monitoring and forecasting clinically relevant endpoints representing the evolution of patient's vital parameters using the GNN model. We showed how to use the GAN to generate multi-tissue expression data for blood and lung to find associations between cytokines conditioned on the expression of genes in the renin-angiotensin pathway. Our approach was to detect inflammatory cytokines, which are known to have effects on blood pressure and have previously been associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection (e.g., CXCR6, XCL1, and others). Significance: The graph representation of a computational patient has potential to solve important technological challenges in integrating multiscale computational modeling with AI. We believe that this work represents a step forward toward next-generation devices for precision and predictive medicine.

SUBMITTER: Barbiero P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8481902 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundModeling patient data, particularly electronic health records (EHR), is one of the major focuses of machine learning studies in healthcare, as these records provide clinicians with valuable information that can potentially assist them in disease diagnosis and decision-making.MethodsIn this study, we present a multi-level graph-based framework called MedMGF, which models both patient medical profiles extracted from EHR data and their relationship network of health profiles in a single architecture. The medical profiles consist of several layers of data embedding derived from interval records obtained during hospitalization, and the patient-patient network is created by measuring the similarities between these profiles. We also propose a modification to the Focal Loss (FL) function to improve classification performance in imbalanced datasets without the need to imputate the data. MedMGF's performance was evaluated against several Graphical Convolutional Network (GCN) baseline models implemented with Binary Cross Entropy (BCE), FL, class balancing parameter α , and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE).ResultsOur proposed framework achieved high classification performance (AUC: 0.8098, ACC: 0.7503, SEN: 0.8750, SPE: 0.7445, NPV: 0.9923, PPV: 0.1367) on an extreme imbalanced pediatric sepsis dataset (n=3,014, imbalance ratio of 0.047). It yielded a classification improvement of 3.81% for AUC, 15% for SEN compared to the baseline GCN+ α FL (AUC: 0.7717, ACC: 0.8144, SEN: 0.7250, SPE: 0.8185, PPV: 0.1559, NPV: 0.9847), and an improvement of 5.88% in AUC and 22.5% compared to GCN+FL+SMOTE (AUC: 0.7510, ACC: 0.8431, SEN: 0.6500, SPE: 0.8520, PPV: 0.1688, NPV: 0.9814). It also showed a classification improvement of 3.86% for AUC, 15% for SEN compared to the baseline GCN+ α BCE (AUC: 0.7712, ACC: 0.8133, SEN: 0.7250, SPE: 0.8173, PPV: 0.1551, NPV: 0.9847), and an improvement of 14.33% in AUC and 27.5% in comparison to GCN+BCE+SMOTE (AUC: 0.6665, ACC: 0.7271, SEN: 0.6000, SPE: 0.7329, PPV: 0.0941, NPV: 0.9754).ConclusionWhen compared to all baseline models, MedMGF achieved the highest SEN and AUC results, demonstrating the potential for several healthcare applications.

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Graph Representation Forecasting of Patient's Medical Conditions: Toward a Digital Twin.

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