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Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Among Patients With Post-Myocardial Infarction Ejection Fraction Greater Than 35.

ABSTRACT: Background Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) risk increases after myocardial infarction (MI) in patients with a reduced ejection fraction (EF). However, the risk factors for SCA among patients with a post-MI EF >35% remain poorly understood. Methods and Results Using the Optum de-identified electronic health record data set from 2008 to 2017, we identified patients with an incident MI diagnosis and troponin elevation who had a post-MI EF >35% and underwent coronary angiography. Primary outcome was SCA within 1 year post-MI. The database was divided into derivation (70%) and validation (30%) cohorts by random selection. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to generate and validate a risk prediction model. Among 31 286 patients with an MI (median age 64.1; 39% female; 87% White), 499 experienced SCA within 1 year post-MI (estimated probability 1.8%). Lack of revascularization at MI, post-MI EF <50%, Black race, renal failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, antiarrhythmic therapy, and absence of beta blocker therapy were independent predictors of SCA. A multivariable model consisting of these variables predicted SCA risk (C-statistic 0.73). Based on this model, the estimated annual probability of SCA was 4.4% (95% CI, 3.9-4.9) in the highest quartile of risk versus 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4-0.8) in the lowest quartile. Conclusions Patients with a post-MI EF >35% have a substantial annual risk of SCA. A risk model consisting of acute coronary revascularization, EF, race, renal failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, antiarrhythmic therapy, and beta blocker therapy can identify patients with higher risk of SCA, who may benefit from further risk stratification and closer monitoring.

SUBMITTER: Adabag S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8483475 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is a frequent cause of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) and early percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is associated with increased survival. Despite constant improvements in SCA management, survival remains poor. We aimed to assess pre-PCI SCA incidence and related outcomes in patients admitted with STEMI.MethodsThis was a prospective cohort study of patients admitted with STEMI in a tertiary university hospital over 11 years. All patients were submitted to emergency coronary angiography. Baseline characteristics, details of the procedure, reperfusion strategies, and adverse outcomes were assessed. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcome was 1-year mortality after hospital discharge. Predictors of pre-PCI SCA was also assessed.ResultsDuring the study period 1,493 patients were included; the mean age was 61.1 years (±12), and 65.3% were male. Pre-PCI SCA was present in 133 (8.9%) patients. In-hospital mortality was higher in the pre-PCI SCA group (36.8% vs. 8.8%, p < 0.0001). In multivariate analysis, anterior MI, cardiogenic shock, age, pre-PCI SCA and lower ejection fraction remained significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. When we analyzed the interaction between pre-PCI SCA and cardiogenic shock upon admission there is a further increase in mortality risk when both conditions are present. For predictors of pre-PCI SCA, only younger age and cardiogenic shock remained significantly associated after multivariate analysis. Overall 1-year mortality rates were similar between pre-PCI SCA survivors and non-pre-PCI SCA group.ConclusionIn a cohort of consecutive patients admitted with STEMI, pre-PCI SCA was associated with higher in-hospital mortality, and its association with cardiogenic shock further increases mortality risk. However, long-term mortality among pre-PCI SCA survivors was similar to non-SCA patients. Understanding characteristics associated with pre-PCI SCA may help to prevent and improve the management of STEMI patients.

Project description:ImportancePersistently depressed left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) after myocardial infarction (MI) is associated with adverse prognosis and directs the use of evidence-based treatments to prevent sudden cardiac death and/or progressive heart failure.ObjectiveTo assess adherence with guideline-recommended LVEF reassessment and to study the evolution of LVEF over 6 months of follow-up.Design, setting, and participantsThis was a multicenter cohort study at Canadian academic and community hospitals with on-site cardiac catheterization services. Patients with type 1 acute MI and LVEF less than or equal to 45% during the index hospitalization were enrolled between January 2018 and August 2019 and were followed-up for 6 months. Data analysis was performed from May 2020 to September 2021.ExposuresBaseline clinical factors, in-hospital care and LVEF, and site-specific features.Main outcomes and measuresThe main outcomes were receipt of repeat LVEF assessment by 6 months and the presence of a persistent LVEF reduction at 2 thresholds: LVEF less than or equal to 40%, prompting consideration of additional medical therapy for heart failure, or LVEF less than or equal to 35%, prompting referral for implanted cardioverter defibrillator in addition to medical therapy.ResultsThis study included 501 patients (mean [SD] age, 63.3 [13.0] years; 113 women [22.6%]). Overall, 370 patients (73.4%) presented with STEMI, and 454 (90.6%) had in-hospital revascularization. The median (IQR) baseline LVEF was 40% (34%-43%). Of 458 patients (91.4%) who completed the 6-month follow-up, 303 (66.2%; 95% CI, 61.7%-70.5%) had LVEF reassessment, with a range of 46.7% to 90.0% across sites (χ213 = 19.6; P = .11). Participants from community hospitals were more likely than those from academic hospitals to undergo LVEF reassessment (73.6% vs 63.2%; χ21 = 4.50; P = .03), as were those with worse LVEF at baseline. Follow-up LVEF improved by an absolute median (IQR) of 8% (3%-15%). However, 103 patients (34.1%) met the definitions of clinically relevant LVEF reduction, including 52 patients (17.2%) with LVEF less than or equal to 35% and 51 patients (16.9%) with LVEF of 35.1% to 40.0%.Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study, approximately 1 in 3 patients with at least mild LVEF reduction after acute MI did not undergo indicated LVEF reassessment within 6 months, suggesting that programs to improve the quality of post-MI care should include measures to ensure that indicated repeat cardiac imaging is performed. In those with follow-up imaging, clinically relevant persistent LVEF reduction was identified in more than one-third of patients.

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Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Among Patients With Post-Myocardial Infarction Ejection Fraction Greater Than 35.

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