Dataset Information

Preoperative CT-Based Deep Learning Model for Predicting Risk Stratification in Patients With Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To develop and evaluate a deep learning model (DLM) for predicting the risk stratification of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs).

Methods

Preoperative contrast-enhanced CT images of 733 patients with GISTs were retrospectively obtained from two centers between January 2011 and June 2020. The datasets were split into training (n = 241), testing (n = 104), and external validation cohorts (n = 388). A DLM for predicting the risk stratification of GISTs was developed using a convolutional neural network and evaluated in the testing and external validation cohorts. The performance of the DLM was compared with that of radiomics model by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) and the Obuchowski index. The attention area of the DLM was visualized as a heatmap by gradient-weighted class activation mapping.

Results

In the testing cohort, the DLM had AUROCs of 0.90 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.84, 0.96), 0.80 (95% CI: 0.72, 0.88), and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.95) for low-malignant, intermediate-malignant, and high-malignant GISTs, respectively. In the external validation cohort, the AUROCs of the DLM were 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.91), 0.64 (95% CI: 0.60, 0.68), and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.81, 0.89) for low-malignant, intermediate-malignant, and high-malignant GISTs, respectively. The DLM (Obuchowski index: training, 0.84; external validation, 0.79) outperformed the radiomics model (Obuchowski index: training, 0.77; external validation, 0.77) for predicting risk stratification of GISTs. The relevant subregions were successfully highlighted with attention heatmap on the CT images for further clinical review.

Conclusion

The DLM showed good performance for predicting the risk stratification of GISTs using CT images and achieved better performance than that of radiomics model.

SUBMITTER: Kang B

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8496403 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectiveThe mitotic count of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) is closely associated with the risk of planting and metastasis. The purpose of this study was to develop a predictive model for the mitotic index of local primary GIST, based on deep learning algorithm.Materials and methodsAbdominal contrast-enhanced CT images of 148 pathologically confirmed GIST cases were retrospectively collected for the development of a deep learning classification algorithm. The areas of GIST masses on the CT images were retrospectively labelled by an experienced radiologist. The postoperative pathological mitotic count was considered as the gold standard (high mitotic count, > 5/50 high-power fields [HPFs]; low mitotic count, ≤ 5/50 HPFs). A binary classification model was trained on the basis of the VGG16 convolutional neural network, using the CT images with the training set (n = 108), validation set (n = 20), and the test set (n = 20). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated at both, the image level and the patient level. The receiver operating characteristic curves were generated on the basis of the model prediction results and the area under curves (AUCs) were calculated. The risk categories of the tumors were predicted according to the Armed Forces Institute of Pathology criteria.ResultsAt the image level, the classification prediction results of the mitotic counts in the test cohort were as follows: sensitivity 85.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.834-0.877), specificity 67.5% (95% CI: 0.636-0.712), PPV 82.1% (95% CI: 0.797-0.843), NPV 73.0% (95% CI: 0.691-0.766), and AUC 0.771 (95% CI: 0.750-0.791). At the patient level, the classification prediction results in the test cohort were as follows: sensitivity 90.0% (95% CI: 0.541-0.995), specificity 70.0% (95% CI: 0.354-0.919), PPV 75.0% (95% CI: 0.428-0.933), NPV 87.5% (95% CI: 0.467-0.993), and AUC 0.800 (95% CI: 0.563-0.943).ConclusionWe developed and preliminarily verified the GIST mitotic count binary prediction model, based on the VGG convolutional neural network. The model displayed a good predictive performance.

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