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Trend of Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy Incidence Rate in Rural West China.

ABSTRACT: Objectives: To explore the trend of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) incidence rate over time in rural west China. Methods: We scanned probable SUDEP patients from the epilepsy program between 2010 and 2019 in rural West China and performed a verbal autopsy for each eligible patient. We calculated the crude and sex-adjusted incidence rate of SUDEP per person-year over a calendar year and the year of follow-up. We calculated the incidence rate ratio with the Poisson model in STATA 12.0 and calculated the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change in Joinpoint Trend Analysis Software 4.8.0.1 to analyze the trend of SUDEP incidence rate. Results: In 2010-2019, 44 probable SUDEPs were identified from 10,128 patients with a total person-year of 31,347. The crude and sex-adjusted incidence rates of SUDEP were 1.40 and 1.45%0. Twenty-five (56.8%) of the 44 probable SUDEPs had no generalized tonic-clonic seizure 3 months before their death. The incidence of probable SUDEP decreased significantly in the calendar year [APC = -11.7, 95% confidence interval (CI): -21.7 to -0.3] and in time of follow-up (average annual percentage change = -21.2, 95% CI: -34.3 to -5.4). Comparing the first 5 years in follow-up with the subsequent 3 years, the incidence rate of SUDEP decreased significantly (estimated incidence rate ratio = 0.4, 95% CI: 0.2 to 0.8). Significance: SUDEP happened to 1.4 cases per thousand patient-years in convulsive epilepsy in rural west China between 2010 and 2019. The incidence rate of SUDEP presented a downward trend over the time of follow-up.

SUBMITTER: Wang H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8498108 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy is the leading category of epilepsy-related death and the underlying mechanisms are incompletely understood. Risk factors can include a recent history and high frequency of generalized tonic-clonic seizures, which can depress brain activity postictally, impairing respiration, arousal and protective reflexes. Neuropathological findings in sudden unexpected death in epilepsy cases parallel those in other epilepsy patients, with no implication of novel structures or mechanisms in seizure-related deaths. Few large studies have comprehensively reviewed whole brain examination of such patients. We evaluated 92 North American Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy Registry cases with whole brain neuropathological examination by board-certified neuropathologists blinded to the adjudicated cause of death, with an average of 16 brain regions examined per case. The 92 cases included 61 sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (40 definite, 9 definite plus, 6 probable, 6 possible) and 31 people with epilepsy controls who died from other causes. The mean age at death was 34.4 years and 65.2% (60/92) were male. The average age of death was younger for sudden unexpected death in epilepsy cases than for epilepsy controls (30.0 versus 39.6 years; P = 0.006), and there was no difference in sex distribution respectively (67.3% male versus 64.5%, P = 0.8). Among sudden unexpected death in epilepsy cases, earlier age of epilepsy onset positively correlated with a younger age at death (P = 0.0005) and negatively correlated with epilepsy duration (P = 0.001). Neuropathological findings were identified in 83.7% of the cases in our cohort. The most common findings were dentate gyrus dysgenesis (sudden unexpected death in epilepsy 50.9%, epilepsy controls 54.8%) and focal cortical dysplasia (FCD) (sudden unexpected death in epilepsy 41.8%, epilepsy controls 29.0%). The neuropathological findings in sudden unexpected death in epilepsy paralleled those in epilepsy controls, including the frequency of total neuropathological findings as well as the specific findings in the dentate gyrus, findings pertaining to neurodevelopment (e.g. FCD, heterotopias) and findings in the brainstem (e.g. medullary arcuate or olivary dysgenesis). Thus, like prior studies, we found no neuropathological findings that were more common in sudden unexpected death in epilepsy cases. Future neuropathological studies evaluating larger sudden unexpected death in epilepsy and control cohorts would benefit from inclusion of different epilepsy syndromes with detailed phenotypic information, consensus among pathologists particularly for more subjective findings where observations can be inconsistent, and molecular approaches to identify markers of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy risk or pathogenesis.

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Trend of Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy Incidence Rate in Rural West China.

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