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Early Changes in DCE-MRI Biomarkers May Predict Survival Outcomes in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Sorafenib Failure: Two Prospective Phase II Trials.

ABSTRACT: In this paper, our main objective was to predict survival outcomes using DCE-MRI biomarkers in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after progression from 1st-line sorafenib treatment in two prospective phase II trials. This study included 74 participants (men/women = 64/10, mean age 60 ± 11.8 years) with advanced HCC who received 2nd-line targeted therapy (n = 41 with lenalidomide in one clinical trial; n = 33 with axitinib in another clinical trial) after sorafenib failure from two prospective phase II studies. Among them, all patients underwent DCE-MRI at baseline, and on days 3 and 14 of treatment. The relative changes (Δ) in the DCE-MRI parameters, including ΔPeak, ΔAUC, and ΔK^trans, were derived from the largest hepatic tumor. The treatment response was evaluated using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST 1.1). The Cox model was used to investigate the associations of the clinical variables and DCE-MRI biomarkers with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The objective response rate (ORR) was 10.8% (8/74) and the disease control rate (DCR) was 58.1% (43/74). The median PFS and OS values were 1.9 and 7.8 months, respectively. On day 3 (D3), participants with high reductions in ΔPeak_D3 (hazard ratio (HR) 0.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.17-0.93, p = 0.017) or ΔAUC_D3 (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.25-1.04, p = 0.043) were associated with better PFS. On day 14, participants with high reductions in ΔPeak_D14 (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.26-1.01, p = 0.032), ΔAUC_D14 (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.33-0.9, p = 0.009), or ΔK^trans_D14 (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.12-0.56, p < 0.001) had a higher PFS than those with lower reduction values. In addition, high reductions in ΔAUC_D14 (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.32-0.9, p = 0.016) or ΔK^trans_D14 (HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.23-0.98, p = 0.038) were associated with a better OS. Among the clinical variables, ORR was associated with both PFS (p = 0.001) and OS (p = 0.005). DCR was associated with PFS (p = 0.002), but not OS (p = 0.089). Cox multivariable analysis revealed that ΔK^trans_D14 (p = 0.002) remained an independent predictor of PFS after controlling for ORR and DCR. An early reduction in tumor perfusion detected by DCE-MRI biomarkers, especially on day 14, may predict favorable survival outcomes in participants with HCC receiving 2nd-line targeted therapy after sorafenib failure.

SUBMITTER: Chen BB

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8508238 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundPhase III trials show sorafenib improves survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Because of narrow trial eligibility, results may not be generalizable to a broader HCC population. We sought to evaluate the effectiveness of initial sorafenib versus no treatment among Medicare beneficiaries with advanced HCC.Materials and methodsPatients with advanced HCC diagnosed from 2008 to 2011 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare database. Eligible patients received initial sorafenib or no therapy and were covered by Medicare parts A, B, and D. Sorafenib use and outcomes were described in this population. Using a propensity score (PS)-matched sample, we compared the effectiveness of sorafenib versus no treatment by Cox proportional hazards and binomial regression, using a landmark requiring all patients to survive ?60 days after diagnosis.ResultsOf 1,532 patients, 27% received initial sorafenib. Median duration of sorafenib use was 60 days (interquartile range [IQR], 30-107 days), and median survival from first prescription was 3 months (IQR, 1-8 months). In the PS-matched cohort, median survival was 3 months from the 60-day landmark in sorafenib-treated (n = 223) and 2 months in untreated (n = 223) patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.95 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.78-1.16]). Sorafenib was associated with a nonsignificant reduction in mortality at 3 months (44% versus 51%; adjusted risk ratio, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.72-1.07]), but no reduction thereafter.ConclusionSurvival after sorafenib initiation in newly diagnosed Medicare beneficiaries with HCC is exceptionally short, suggesting trial results are not generalizable to all HCC patients. The downsides of sorafenib use-high drug-related symptom burden and high drug cost-must be considered in light of this minimal benefit.Implications for practiceThe findings of a median survival of only 3 months in Medicare beneficiaries with HCC prescribed sorafenib as first-line therapy highlight the questionable value of sorafenib in this population. Patients should be cautioned that outside of the narrow confines of randomized trials, their life expectancy may be very short, and any benefit of sorafenib is likely to be quite small. Given that sorafenib causes considerable adverse effects and offers no symptom palliation, supportive care should be discussed as a reasonable alternative to sorafenib, particularly for patients who have a poor performance status or advanced cirrhosis.

Project description:BackgroundUntreated advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has an overall poor prognosis. Currently there are 2 ongoing prospective randomized controlled trials that are evaluating the efficacy and safety of sorafenib and selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) with yttrium-90 resin microspheres in patients with advanced HCC. The SorAfenib versus Radioembolisation in Advanced Hepatocellular carcinoma (SARAH; 459 patients) trial is being performed in Europe and the SIRt VErsus SorafeNIB (SIRveNIB; 360 patients) trial in the Asia Pacific region. Prospectively combining the results, these trials will not only allow for increased precision to estimate efficacy (in terms of survival), but will also provide increased statistical power for subgroup analyses.ObjectiveTo ensure the prospectivity and transparency of the meta-analysis.MethodsThe sirVEnib and SARAH merge PROject (VESPRO) is an individual, patient-data prospective meta-analysis of the SIRveNIB and SARAH randomized trials. The VESPRO protocol includes prespecified hypotheses, inclusion criteria, and outcome measures. The primary outcome measure is overall survival and secondary outcomes include tumor response rate, progression-free survival, progression in the liver as first event, and disease control in the liver. Pooling of toxicity results will allow for robust safety profiles to be established for both therapies, and provides increased statistical power to investigate treatment effects in key subgroups. Analyses will be performed in the intent-to-treat population stratified by trial.ResultsBoth studies are expected to demonstrate a survival benefit for SIRT together with a better toxicity profile compared with sorafenib. It is also anticipated that liver progression as the first event would be longer in the intervention compared with the control.ConclusionsAs the results of the 2 trials are not yet known, the methodological strength is enhanced, as biases inherent in conventional meta-analyses are avoided. This has the effect of providing this meta-analysis with the advantages of a single, large,randomized study of 819 patients. It is anticipated that the SARAH and SIRveNIB trial results will be published separately and together with the combined meta-analysis results from VESPRO. The combined dataset will allow the effect of the interventions to be explored with improved reliability/precision with respect to prespecified patient and intervention-level characteristics.Trial registrationAustralian New Zealand Trials Registry: ACTRN12617000030370.

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Early Changes in DCE-MRI Biomarkers May Predict Survival Outcomes in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Sorafenib Failure: Two Prospective Phase II Trials.

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