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Development and Validation of an IL6/JAK/STAT3-Related Gene Signature to Predict Overall Survival in Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma

ABSTRACT: Background: Traditional clinicopathological features (TNM, pathology grade) are often insufficient in predictive prognosis accuracy of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). The IL6-JAK-STAT3 pathway is aberrantly hyperactivated in many cancer types, and such hyperactivation is generally associated with a poor clinical prognosis implying that it can be used as a promising prognosis indicator. The relation between the IL6-JAK-STAT3 pathway and ccRCC remains unknown. Methods: We evaluated the levels of various cancer hallmarks and filtered out the promising risk hallmarks in ccRCC. Subsequently, a prognosis model based on these hallmark-related genes was established via weighted correlation network analysis and Cox regression analysis. Besides, we constructed a nomogram based on the previous model with traditional clinicopathological features to improve the predictive power and accuracy. Results: The IL6-JAK-STAT3 pathway was identified as the promising risk hallmarks in ccRCC, and the pathway-related prognosis model based on five genes was built. Also, the nomogram we developed demonstrated the strongest and most stable survival predictive ability. Conclusion: Our study would provide new insights for guiding individualized treatment of ccRCC patients.

SUBMITTER: Zhan C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8511427 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Cumulative studies have shown that RNA binding proteins (RBPs) play an important role in numerous malignant tumors and are related to the occurrence and progression of tumors. However, the role of RBPs in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC) is not fully understood. In this study, we first downloaded gene expression data and corresponding clinical information of KIRC from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC), and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database, respectively. A total of 137 differentially expressed RBPs (DERBPs) were then identified between normal and tumor tissue, including 38 downregulated and 99 upregulated RBPs. Nine RBPs (EIF4A1, RPL36A, EXOSC5, RPL28, RPL13, RPS19, RPS2, EEF1A2, and OASL) were served as prognostic genes and exploited to construct a prognostic model through survival analysis. Kaplan-Meier curves analysis showed that the low-risk group had a better survival outcome when compared with the high-risk group. The area under the curve (AUC) value of the prognostic model was 0.713 in the TCGA data set (training data set), 0.706 in the ICGC data set, and 0.687 in the GSE29609 data set, respectively, confirming a good prognostic model. The prognostic model was also identified as an independent prognostic factor for KIRC survival by performing cox regression analysis. In addition, we also built a nomogram relying on age and the prognostic model and internal validation in the TCGA data set. The clinical benefit of the prognostic model was revealed by decision curve analysis (DCA). Gene set enrichment analysis revealed several crucial pathways (ERBB signaling pathway, pathways in cancer, MTOR signaling pathway, WNT signaling pathway, and TGF BETA signaling pathway) that may explain the underlying mechanisms of KIRC. Furthermore, potential drugs for KIRC treatment were predicted by the Connectivity Map (Cmap) database based on DERBPs, including several important drugs, such as depudecin and vorinostat, that could reverse KIRC gene expression, which may provide reference for the treatment of KIRC. In summary, we developed and validated a robust nine-RBP signature for KIRC prognosis prediction. A nomogram with risk score and age can be applied to promote the individualized prediction of overall survival in patients with KIRC. Moreover, the two drugs depudecin and vorinostat may contribute to KIRC treatment.

Project description:BackgroundKidney cancer, especially clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC), is one of the most common cancers in the urinary system. Previous studies suggested that certain members of MUCINs could serve as independent predictors for the survival of ccRCC patients. None of them, however, is robust enough to predict prognosis accurately.ObjectiveTo analyze the correlation of MUCINs alterations and their expression levels with the prognosis of ccRCC patients and develop a prognosis-related predictor.MethodsWe applied whole-exome sequencing in samples from 22 Chinese ccRCC patients to identify genetic alterations in MUCIN genes and analyzed their genetic alterations, expression, and correlation with survival using the TCGA, GSE73731, and GSE29069 datasets.ResultGenetic alternations in MUCINs were identified in 91% and 51% of ccRCC patients in our cohort and the TCGA database, respectively. No correlation with survival was found for the genetic alterations. Using unsupervised clustering analysis of gene expression, we identified two major clusters of MUCIN expression patterns. Cluster 1 was characterized by a global overexpression of MUC1, MUC12, MUC13, MUC16, and OVGP1; and cluster 2 was characterized by a global overexpression of MUC4, MUC5B, MUC6, MUC20, EMCN, and MCAM. Patients with cluster 1 expression pattern had significantly shorter overall survival time and worse clinical features, including higher tumor grades and metastasis. Meanwhile, they had a higher level of mutation counts and more infiltrated immune cells, but lower enrichment in angiogenesis signature genes. A five-MUCINs expression signature was constructed from cluster 1, and notably, it was demonstrated to be associated with shorter overall survival. A similar worse clinical feature, lower angiogenesis but the more immune signature, was identified in samples presented with signature 1. In the validation data set GSE29069, patients with signature 1 were also associated with a trend of poor survival outcomes.ConclusionWe established a five-MUCINs expression signature as a new prognostic marker for ccRCC. The distinct tumor microenvironment feature between the two signatures may further affect ccRCC patients' clinical management.

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Development and Validation of an IL6/JAK/STAT3-Related Gene Signature to Predict Overall Survival in Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma

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