Dataset Information

Cost Effectiveness of Vericiguat for the Treatment of Chronic Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction Following a Worsening Heart Failure Event from a US Medicare Perspective.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Given the high economic burden of disease among adult patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) following a worsening heart failure event in the US, this study aimed to estimate the cost effectiveness of vericiguat plus prior standard-of-care therapies (PSoCT) versus PSoCT alone from a US Medicare perspective.

Methods

A four-state Markov model (alive prior to heart failure hospitalization, alive during heart failure hospitalization, alive post-heart failure hospitalization, and death) was developed to predict clinical and economic outcomes, based on the results of the VICTORIA trial, in which patients with chronic HFrEF following a worsening heart failure were randomized to placebo or vericiguat, in addition to PSoCT, which consisted of β-blockers, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone inhibitors, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and the angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor sacubitril/valsartan. Risks of heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular mortality were based on multivariable regression models derived from VICTORIA data. Utilities were derived from VICTORIA EQ-5D data and the literature. Costs included drug acquisition, heart failure hospitalization, routine care, and terminal care. Primary outcomes included heart failure hospitalization, cardiovascular mortality, life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental costs per QALY gained over a 30-year lifetime horizon, discounted at 3.0% annually.

Results

For the VICTORIA overall intent-to-treat population, compared with PSoCT, vericiguat plus PSoCT resulted in 19 fewer heart failure hospitalizations and 13 fewer cardiovascular deaths per 1000 patients, as well as 0.28 QALY gained per patient at an incremental cost of $23,322, leading to $82,448 per QALY gained.

Conclusions

Based on the results of VICTORIA, patients treated with vericiguat had lower rates of heart failure hospitalization and cardiovascular death. The addition of vericiguat to PSoCT was estimated to increase QALYs and to be cost effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY gained.

SUBMITTER: Alsumali A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8516766 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:IntroductionA worsening heart failure event (WHFE) is defined as progressively escalating heart failure signs/symptoms requiring intravenous diuretic treatment or hospitalization. No studies have compared the burden of chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) following a WHFE versus stable disease to inform healthcare decision makers.MethodsA retrospective study using the IBM® MarketScan® Commercial Database included patients younger than 65 years of age with HFrEF (one inpatient or two outpatient claims of systolic HF or one outpatient claim of systolic HF plus one outpatient claim of any HF). The first claim for HFrEF during 2016 was the index date. Patients were followed for the first 12 months after the index date (the worsening assessment period) to identify a WHFE, and for an additional 12 months or until the end of continuous enrollment (the post-worsening assessment period). Mean per patient per month (PPPM) health care resource use (HCRU) and costs were compared between patients following a WHFE and stable patients during the two periods using generalized linear models adjusting for patient characteristics.ResultsOf 16,646 patients with chronic HFrEF, 26.8% developed a WHFE. Adjusted all-cause hospitalizations (0.16 vs. 0.02 PPPM, P < 0.0001), outpatient visits (3.54 vs. 2.73 PPPM, P < 0.0001), and emergency department visits (0.25 vs. 0.06 PPPM, P < 0.0001) were higher in patients following a WHFE than stable patients during the worsening assessment period. Similar differences in HCRU were observed between the two cohorts during the post-worsening assessment period. Mean total adjusted cost of care PPPM was $8657 in patients with HFrEF following a WHFE versus $2195 in stable patients during the worsening assessment period, and $6809 versus $2849, respectively, during the post-worsening assessment period.ConclusionHCRU and costs were significantly greater in patients with chronic HFrEF following a WHFE compared to those who remained stable, suggesting an unmet need to improve clinical and economic outcomes among these patients.

Project description:AimsTo determine tolerability and the optimal dose regimen of the soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator vericiguat in patients with chronic heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).Methods and resultsSOCRATES-PRESERVED was a prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled double-blind, Phase 2b dose-finding study in patients with HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥ 45%). Patients received vericiguat once daily at 1.25 or 2.5 mg fixed doses, or 5 or 10 mg titrated from a 2.5 mg starting dose, or placebo for 12 weeks. The two primary endpoints were change from baseline in log-transformed N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-ProBNP) and left atrial volume (LAV) at 12 weeks. Patients (N = 477; 48% women; mean age 73 ± 10 years; baseline atrial fibrillation 40%) were randomized within 4 weeks of HF hospitalization (75%) or outpatient treatment with intravenous diuretics for HF (25%) to vericiguat (n = 384) or placebo (n = 93). In the pooled three highest dose arms change in logNT-proBNP (vericiguat: +0.038 ± 0.782 log(pg/mL), n = 195; placebo: -0.098 ± 0.778 log(pg/mL), n = 73; one-sided P = 0.8991, two-sided P = 0.2017), and change in LAV [vericiguat: -1.7 ± 12.8 mL (n = 194); placebo: -3.4 ± 12.7 mL (n = 67), one-sided P = 0.8156, two-sided P = 0.3688] were not different from placebo. Vericiguat was well tolerated (adverse events: vericiguat 10 mg arm, 69.8%; placebo, 73.1%), with low discontinuation rates in all groups, and no changes in blood pressure at 10 mg compared with placebo. The pre-specified exploratory endpoint of Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score improved in the vericiguat 10 mg arm by mean 19.3 ± 16.3 points [median 19.8 (interquartile range 10.4-30.7)] from baseline (mean difference from placebo 9.2 points).ConclusionVericiguat was well tolerated, did not change NT-proBNP and LAV at 12 weeks compared with placebo but was associated with improvements in quality of life in patients with HFpEF. Given the encouraging results on quality of life, the effects of vericiguat in patients with HFpEF warrant further study, possibly with higher doses, longer follow-up and additional endpoints.

Project description:BackgroundVericiguat, a stimulator of soluble guanylate cyclase, has been developed as a first-in-class therapy for worsening chronic heart failure in adults with left ventricular ejection fraction < 45%.ObjectiveThe objective of this article was to characterize the pharmacokinetics and pharmacokinetic variability of vericiguat combined with guideline-directed medical therapy (standard of care), and identify exposure-response relationships for safety (hemodynamics) and pharmacodynamic markers of efficacy (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide concentration [NT-proBNP]) in patients with heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction < 45% in the SOCRATES-REDUCED study (NCT01951625).MethodsVericiguat and NT-proBNP plasma concentrations in 454 and 432 patients in SOCRATES-REDUCED, respectively, were analyzed using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling.ResultsVericiguat pharmacokinetics were well described by a one-compartment model with apparent clearance, apparent volume of distribution, and absorption rate constant. Age, bodyweight, plasma bilirubin, and creatinine clearance were identified as significant covariates on apparent clearance; sex and bodyweight on apparent volume of distribution; and bodyweight and plasma albumin level on absorption rate constant. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic analysis showed initial minor and transient effects of vericiguat on blood pressure with low clinical impact. There were no changes in heart rate following initial or repeated vericiguat administration. An exposure-dependent and time-dependent turnover pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model for NT-proBNP described production and elimination rates and an demonstrated exposure-dependent reduction in [NT-proBNP] by vericiguat plus standard of care compared with placebo plus standard of care. This effect was dependent on baseline [NT-proBNP].ConclusionsVericiguat has predictable pharmacokinetics, with no long-term effects on blood pressure in patients with heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction < 45%. A pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model described a vericiguat exposure-dependent reduction of NT-proBNP.Clinical trial identifierNCT01951625.

Project description:AimsTreatment response to vericiguat, based on baseline N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) subgroups specified in the protocol, was evaluated in the heart failure (HF) VICTORIA trial population by post hoc analysis of combined lower three quartiles [Q1-Q3] vs. the upper quartile [Q4].Methods and resultsVICTORIA participants with available baseline NT-proBNP levels (n = 4805; 95.1% of total) were included. Compared with patients in Q1-Q3 (NT-proBNP: Q1, ≤1556 pg/mL; Q2, >1556-2816 pg/mL; and Q3, >2816-5314 pg/mL), patients in Q4 (NT-proBNP: >5314 pg/mL) were older (69.2 ± 12.0 vs. 66.6 ± 12.1 years), had lower mean ejection fraction (27.2 ± 8.3% vs. 29.5 ± 8.2%; P < 0.0001), and were more likely to be in New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III (51.8 vs. 35.6%) or IV (2.4 vs. 1.0%). Compared with Q1-Q3, patients in Q4 had higher mean Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure risk score (27.3 ± 6.6 vs. 23.5 ± 6.4; P < 0.0001), had lower mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; 51.5 ± 25.5 vs. 65.0 ± 26.8 mL/min/1.73 m2 ; P < 0.0001) and haemoglobin (12.8 ± 2.0 vs. 13.6 ± 1.9 g/dL; P < 0.0001), and more had atrial fibrillation (48.7% vs. 43.1%; P = 0.0007) and were randomized while hospitalized for HF (14.8 vs. 9.9%; P < 0.0001). Target dose was achieved in 72.3 and 63.7% of patients in Q1-Q3 and Q4, respectively (P < 0.0001). Primary outcome (composite of time to cardiovascular death or first HF hospitalization) rates were 24.5 and 31.7 per 100 patient-years for vericiguat and placebo in Q1-Q3 [hazard ratio (HR) 0.78; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.88, P < 0.001] and 73.6 and 63.6 in Q4 (HR 1.15; 95% CI 0.99-1.34, P = 0.070). Serious adverse events were more frequent in NT-proBNP Q4 (total population) compared with Q1-Q3 (38.3 vs. 32.3%; P = 0.0001), driven mainly by the placebo group. Adverse events leading to death were more frequent in Q4 than Q1-Q3 (5.8 vs. 2.4%; P < 0.0001).ConclusionsPlasma NT-proBNP may help identify patients with worsening HF with reduced ejection fraction, in whom the beneficial effects of vericiguat may be highest. Patients with highest NT-proBNP values are probably too far advanced, suffering more co-morbidities, or still clinically unstable after decompensation to derive benefit from vericiguat.