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Development and Verification of an Immune-Related Gene Pairs Prognostic Signature in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

ABSTRACT: With the increasing prevalence of Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the poor prognosis of immunotherapy, reliable immune-related gene pairs (IRGPs) prognostic signature is required for personalized management and treatment of patients. Gene expression profiles and clinical information of HCC patients were obtained from the TCGA and ICGC databases. The IRGPs are constructed using immune-related genes (IRGs) with large variations. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to construct IRGPs signature. The IRGPs signature was verified through the ICGC cohort. 1,309 IRGPs were constructed from 90 IRGs with high variability. We obtained 50 IRGPs that were significantly connected to the prognosis and constructed a signature that included 17 IRGPs. In the TCGA and ICGC cohorts, patients were divided into high and low-risk patients by the IRGPs signature. The overall survival time of low-risk patients is longer than that of high-risk patients. After adjustment for clinical and pathological factors, multivariate analysis showed that the IRGPs signature is an independent prognostic factor. The Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve confirmed the accuracy of the signature. Besides, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) revealed that the signature is related to immune biological processes, and the immune microenvironment status is distinct in different risk patients. The proposed IRGPs signature can effectively assess the overall survival of HCC, and provide the relationship between the signature and the reactivity of immune checkpoint therapy and the sensitivity of targeted drugs, thereby providing new ideas for the diagnosis and treatment of the disease.

SUBMITTER: Feng X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8517445 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been recognized as the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. There is increasing evidence that the abnormal expression of autophagy-related genes plays an important role in the occurrence and development of HCC. Therefore, the study of autophagy-related genes can further elucidate the genetic drivers of cancer and provide valuable therapeutic targets for clinical treatment. In this study, we used 232 autophagy-related genes extracted from the Human Autophagy Database (HADb) and Molecular Signatures Database (MSigDB) to construct 1884 autophagy-related gene pairs. On this basis, we developed a prognostic model based on autophagy-related gene pairs using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression to evaluate the prognosis of patients after liver cancer resection. We then used 845 liver cancer samples from three different databases to test the reliability of the risk signature through survival analysis, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, univariate and multivariate analysis. To further explore the underlying biological mechanisms, we conducted an enrichment analysis of autophagy-related genes. Finally, we combined the signature with independent prognostic factors to construct a nomogram. Based on the autophagy-related gene pair (ARGP) signature, we can divide patients into high- or low-risk groups. Survival analysis and ROC curve analysis verified the validity of the signature (AUC: 0.786-0.828). Multivariate Cox regression showed that the risk score can be used as an independent predictor of the clinical outcomes of liver cancer patients. Notably, this model has a more accurate predictive effect than most prognostic models for hepatocellular carcinoma. Moreover, our model is a powerful supplement to the HCC staging indicator, and a nomogram comprising both indicators can provide a better prognostic effect. Based on pairs of multiple autophagy-related genes, we proposed a prognostic model for predicting the overall survival rate of HCC patients after surgery, which is a promising prognostic indicator. This study confirms the importance of autophagy in the occurrence and development of HCC, and also provides potential biomarkers for targeted treatments.

Project description:Background: Immunity and ferroptosis often play a synergistic role in the progression and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, few studies have focused on identifying immune-related ferroptosis gene biomarkers. Methods: We performed weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) and random forest to identify prognostic differentially expressed immune-related genes (PR-DE-IRGs) highly related to HCC and characteristic prognostic differentially expressed ferroptosis-related genes (PR-DE-FRGs) respectively to run co-expression analysis for prognostic differentially expressed immune-related ferroptosis characteristic genes (PR-DE-IRFeCGs). Lasso regression finally identified 3 PR-DE-IRFeCGs for us to construct a prognostic predictive model. Differential expression and prognostic analysis based on shared data from multiple sources and experimental means were performed to further verify the 3 modeled genes' biological value in HCC. We ran various performance testing methods to test the model's performance and compare it with other similar signatures. Finally, we integrated composite factors to construct a comprehensive quantitative nomogram for accurate prognostic prediction and evaluated its performance. Results: 17 PR-DE-IRFeCGs were identified based on co-expression analysis between the screened 17 PR-DE-FRGs and 34 PR-DE-IRGs. Multi-source sequencing data, QRT-PCR, immunohistochemical staining and testing methods fully confirmed the upregulation and significant prognostic influence of the three PR-DE-IRFeCGs in HCC. The model performed well in the performance tests of multiple methods based on the 5 cohorts. Furthermore, our model outperformed other related models in various performance tests. The immunotherapy and chemotherapy guiding value of our signature and the comprehensive nomogram's excellent performance have also stood the test. Conclusion: We identified a novel PR-DE-IRFeCGs signature with excellent prognostic prediction and clinical guidance value in HCC.

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Development and Verification of an Immune-Related Gene Pairs Prognostic Signature in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

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