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Pathological complete response after neoadjuvant treatment determines survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients (NEOCRTEC5010)

ABSTRACT:

Background

Few studies have exclusively investigated the value of pathological complete response (pCR), in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients, although it is a clinically significant parameter to evaluate the impact of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) on treatment outcome after surgery. The aim of our study was to explore the relationship between pCR after nCRT and survival among patients with local ESCC.

Methods

All patients receiving nCRT followed by surgery in NEOCRTEC5010-trial (NCT01216527) were included. Non-pCR patients were classified into three subgroups: ypTanyN0M0, ypT0NanyM0 and ypTanyNanyM0. The Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was employed to evaluate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Multivariate regression analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model to identify clinicopathological parameters associated with pCR.

Results

Among the 185 patients included, 80 (43.2%) achieved pCR after nCRT. The mean survival time of the pCR group was significantly longer than that of the non-pCR group (92.6 vs. 69.2 months; HR, 2.70; 95% CI: 1.48–4.92; P=0.001). The 5-year OS and DFS of the pCR group were 79.3% and 77% respectively, compared to 54.8% and 51.2%, respectively, in the non-pCR group. The results showed that the OS and DFS of the ypTanyN0M0 group were better than those of the ypT0NanyM0 group and the ypTanyNanyM0 group. We also found that the number of dissected lymph nodes and pCR were independent risk factors for DFS and OS rates.

Conclusions

pCR after nCRT is an important prognostic indicator of OS and DFS in patients with ESCC. In addition, lymph-node status could represent an important parameter in the prognostic evaluation of esophageal cancer patients.

SUBMITTER: Shen J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8576689 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ImportanceFor patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, neoadjuvant chemoradiation has been shown to improve long-term outcomes, but the treatment response varies among patients. Accurate pretreatment prediction of response remains an urgent need.ObjectiveTo determine whether peritumoral radiomics features derived from baseline computed tomography images could provide valuable information about neoadjuvant chemoradiation response and enhance the ability of intratumoral radiomics to estimate pathological complete response.Design, setting, and participantsA total of 231 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, who underwent baseline contrast-enhanced computed tomography and received neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery at 2 institutions in China, were consecutively included. This diagnostic study used single-institution data between April 2007 and December 2018 to extract radiomics features from intratumoral and peritumoral regions and established intratumoral, peritumoral, and combined radiomics models using different classifiers. External validation was conducted using independent data collected from another hospital during the same period. Radiogenomics analysis using gene expression profile was done in a subgroup of the training set for pathophysiological explanation. Data were analyzed from June to December 2019.ExposuresComputed tomography-based radiomics.Main outcomes and measuresThe discriminative performances of radiomics models were measured by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.ResultsAmong the 231 patients included (192 men [83.1%]; mean [SD] age, 59.8 [8.7] years), the optimal intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics models yielded similar areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.730 (95% CI, 0.609-0.850) and 0.734 (0.613-0.854), respectively. The combined model was composed of 7 intratumoral and 6 peritumoral features and achieved better discriminative performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.852 (95% CI, 0.753-0.951), accuracy of 84.3%, sensitivity of 90.3%, and specificity of 79.5% in the test set. Gene sets associated with the combined model mainly involved lymphocyte-mediated immunity. The association of peritumoral area with response identification might be partially attributed to type I interferon-related biological process.Conclusions and relevanceA combination of peritumoral radiomics features appears to improve the predictive performance of intratumoral radiomics to estimate pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. This study underlines the significant application of peritumoral radiomics to assess treatment response in clinical practice.