Adiposity and Long-Term Adiposity Change Are Associated with Incident Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study in Southwest China.
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SUBMITTER: Chen Y
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8582792 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundObesity classifications vary globally and the impact of older age adiposity on incident diabetes has not been well-studied.MethodsWe examined a random sample of 2,809 participants aged ≥60 years in China, who were free of diabetes at baseline and were followed up for up to 10 years to document diabetes (n=178). The incidence of diabetes was assessed in relation to different cut-off points of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in multiple adjusted Cox regression models.ResultsThe diabetic risk in the cohort increased linearly with the continuous and quartile variables of BMI and WC. The BMI-World Health Organization (WHO) and BMI-China criteria analysis did not show such a linear relationship, however, the BMI-Asian/Hong Kong criteria did; adjusted hazards ratio (HR) was 0.42 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20 to 0.90) in BMI <20 kg/m2, 1.46 (95% CI, 0.99 to 2.14) in 23-≤26 kg/m2, and 1.63 (95% CI, 1.09 to 2.45) in ≥26 kg/m2. The WC-China criteria revealed a slightly better prediction of diabetes (adjusted HRs were 1.79 [95% CI, 1.21 to 2.66] and 1.87 [95% CI, 1.22 to 2.88] in central obese action levels 1 and 2) than the WC-WHO. The combination of the BMI-Asian/Hong Kong with WC-China demonstrated the strongest prediction. There were no gender differences in the impact of adiposity on diabetes.ConclusionIn older Chinese, BMI-Asian/Hong Kong criteria is a better predictor of diabetes than other BMI criterion. Its combination with WC-China improved the prediction of adiposity to diabetes, which would help manage bodyweight in older age to reduce the risk of diabetes.
| S-EPMC9532176 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundAdiposity and elevated inflammation are two hallmarks of hyperglycemia. However, it is unknown whether clustering of elevated inflammation and adiposity interact act on diabetogenesis and lead to a greater risk for incident type 2 diabetes (T2D).MethodsAdiposity was indicated by body mass index, waist circumference and ultrasonography-measured fatty liver degrees. Elevated inflammation was indicated as high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels ≥ 2 mg/L. Time-to-event survival analyses were conducted to investigate the joint effect of adiposity and inflammation on incident T2D on both multiplicative and additive scales.ResultsAmong 82,172 non-diabetic participants from a prospective cohort in China, 14,278 T2D occurred over a median follow-up of 11 years. In the multivariable-adjusted model, elevated inflammation [1.12 (1.08‒1.16)] and adiposity [1.76 (1.69‒1.83) for overweight/obesity, 1.49 (1.44‒1.55) for central obesity, and 2.02 (1.95‒2.09) for fatty liver] were significantly associated with incident diabetes. Higher adiposity-associated risks and incidence rates of diabetes were observed with elevated inflammation. When studying the joint effect, the adjusted HRs were 1.77 (1.69‒1.85) for overweight/obesity, 1.14 (1.06‒1.23) for elevated inflammation, and 2.08 (1.97‒2.19) for their joint effect, with a relative excess risk due to interaction of 0.17 (0.05‒0.28). The attributable proportions were 71.30% for overweight/obesity, 12.96% for elevated inflammation, and 15.74% for their interaction. Similar results were observed when adiposity was assessed as waist circumference or fatty liver.ConclusionsAdiposity and elevated inflammation synergically lead to greater risks of incident diabetes than addition of each individual exposure. Strategies simultaneously targeting both risks should produce more benefits for diabetes prevention than through initiatives directed at each separate risk.
| S-EPMC10734163 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Objectives: Studies have linked obesity to an increased risk of hypertension, but the optimal adiposity indicators to predict hypertension remains controversial. We comprehensively explored the correlation between body mass index, waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), long-term weight and WC change, and hypertension in an adult population in Southwest China. Methods: We studied 9,280 participants from 48 townships of 12 districts with a follow-up of 10 years in the Guizhou Population Health Cohort Study. We used Pearson's correlation coefficients combined with Dunn and Clark's z test and Zou's confidence interval test, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regressions adjusting for demographic characteristics, lifestyle habits, disease history, and lipid information of participants. Results: Baseline central adiposity indicators (WC and WHtR) had closer associations with hypertension than BMI, and long-term WC change was more predictive of hypertension compared with weight change in the studied population. Conclusion: Central adiposity indicators maintain a stronger association with the risk of hypertension, hinting at the importance of WC management in the precaution of hypertension.
| S-EPMC9579282 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundRoad traffic noise at normal urban levels can lead to stress and sleep disturbances. Both excess of stress hormones and reduction in sleep quality and duration may lead to higher risk for type 2 diabetes.ObjectiveWe investigated whether long-term exposure to residential road traffic noise is associated with an increased risk of diabetes.MethodsIn the population-based Danish Diet, Cancer and Health cohort of 57,053 people 50-64 years of age at enrollment in 1993-1997, we identified 3,869 cases of incident diabetes in a national diabetes registry between enrollment and 2006. The mean follow-up time was 9.6 years. Present and historical residential addresses from 1988 through 2006 were identified using a national register, and exposure to road traffic noise was estimated for all addresses. Associations between exposure to road traffic noise and incident diabetes were analyzed in a Cox regression model.ResultsA 10-dB higher level of average road traffic noise at diagnosis and during the 5 years preceding diagnosis was associated with an increased risk of incident diabetes, with incidence rate ratios (IRR) of 1.08 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.14) and 1.11 (95% CI: 1.05, 1.18), respectively, after adjusting for potential confounders including age, body mass index, waist circumference, education, air pollution (nitrogen oxides), and lifestyle characteristics. After applying a stricter definition of diabetes (2,752 cases), we found IRRs of 1.11 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.19) and 1.14 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.22) per 10-dB increase in road traffic noise at diagnosis and during the 5 years preceding diagnosis, respectively.ConclusionExposure to residential road traffic noise was associated with a higher risk of diabetes. This study provides further evidence that urban noise may adversely influence population health.
| S-EPMC3569689 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe association between obesity, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and mortality in patients with incident stroke is not well established. We assessed the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and MACE in patients with incident stroke.MethodsThe population-based cohort study identified 30 702 individuals from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD) and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) databases from the United Kingdom. Individuals were aged ≥18 years with incident stroke between 1-1-1998 and 31-12-2017, a BMI recorded within 24 months before incident stroke, and no prior history of MACE. BMI was categorized as underweight (<18.5 kg/m2 ), normal (18.5-24.9 kg/m2 ), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m2 ), obesity class I (30.0-34.9 kg/m2 ), class II (35.0-39.9 kg/m2 ) and class III (≥40 kg/m2). MACE was defined as a composite of incident coronary heart disease, recurrent stroke, peripheral vascular disease (PVD), heart failure, and cardiovascular-related mortality. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess differences in MACE risk between BMI categories.ResultsAt baseline, 1217 (4.0%) were underweight, 10 783 (35.1%) had a normal BMI, 10 979 (35.8%) had overweight, 5206 (17.0%) had obesity Class I, 1749 (5.7%) Class II, and 768 (2.5%) Class III. In multivariable analysis, higher BMI were associated with lower risk of subsequent MACE [overweight: HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.99)]; PVD [overweight: 0.65 (0.49-0.85); obesity Class III: 0.19 (0.50-0.77)]; cardiovascular-related death [overweight: 0.80 (0.74-0.86); obesity Class I: 0.79 (0.71-0.88); Class II: 0.80 (0.67-0.96)]; and all-cause mortality [overweight: 0.75 (0.71-0.79); obesity Class I: 0.75 (0.70-0.81); Class II: 0.77 (0.68-0.86)] when compared to those with normal BMI. The results were similar irrespective of sex, diabetes mellitus, smoking or cancer at time of incident stroke.ConclusionsIn patients with incident stroke, overweight or obesity were associated with a more favourable prognosis for subsequent MACE, PVD, and mortality, irrespective of sex, diabetes mellitus, smoking, or cancer at baseline. As with other cohort studies, our study demonstrates an association. Randomized control trials should be considered to robustly evaluate the impact of weight management recommendations on subsequent cardiovascular outcomes in stroke survivors.
| S-EPMC8718037 | biostudies-literature
Project description:OBJECTIVE:To investigate the association between changes in fasting plasma glucose (FPG) values and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) in a cohort of the Iranian population. DESIGN:Prospective cohort study. SETTING:This study was conducted within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) to investigate the association between change in FPG between baseline examination (1999-2001) and the second visit (2002-2005) with incident T2D. PARTICIPANTS:A total of 3981 non-diabetic participants aged ?20?years. OUTCOME MEASURE:T2D was defined if the participant was using antidiabetic drugs or if FPG was ?7?mmol/L or if the 2?h post-challenge plasma glucose (2-hPCG) was ?11.1?mmol/L. RESULTS:During a median follow-up of 6.17?years, after the second examination, 288 new cases of T2D were identified. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis using age as timescale, we presented a simple model including FPG change (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.33) and baseline waist circumference (WC) (HR 1.004, 95% CI 1.001 to 1.008) with a discriminative power (C-index) of 72%. Furthermore, we showed that the highest quartile of FPG change enhanced the T2D risk to 1.65 (95% CI 1.2 to 2.27) compared with the lowest quartile (p for trend=0.004).The independent risk of FPG change resisted further adjustment with 2-hPCG change. Adding the 2-hPCG change only slightly increased the discriminative power of the model including FPG change and baseline value of WC (0.73% vs 0.72%). After the study population had been limited to those with normal fasting glucose/normal glucose tolerance, FPG change remained an independent predictor (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.88). CONCLUSIONS:Two measurements of FPG obtained about 3?years apart can help to identify populations at risk of incident T2D independently of important traditional risk factors and their changes, including 2-hPCG change.
| S-EPMC4885425 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundUncertainty remains concerning association between long-term physical activity and incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). We intended to evaluate physical activity participation over a 6-year span and assess association with subsequent 10-year incident DM risk, as well as examine mediation role by obesity.MethodsA total of 9757 community-dwelling adults aged ≥ 50 years in England were included in the population-based cohort. Physical activity participation, including trajectories and cumulative participation were assessed using weighted Z score over a 6-year span from wave 1 (2002-2003) to wave 4 (2008-2009). Incident DM recorded over a 10-year span from wave 4 (2008-2009) to wave 9 (2018-2019) was outcome.Results5 distinct activity trajectories were identified, including persistently low (N=3037, incident DM=282), initially low then improving (1868, 90), initially high then declining (325, 20), persistently moderate (2489, 170), and persistently high (2038, 108). Compared with persistently low, participants of initially low then improving, persistently moderate and high were associated with lower incident DM risk, with multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of 0.41 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.32 to 0.53, P<0.001), 0.70 (95% CI: 0.56 to 0.89, P=0.004) and 0.49 (95% CI: 0.37 to 0.65, P <0.001), respectively. Elevated cumulative activity was also associated with lower DM risk, with each quintile increment in cumulative weighted Z score corresponding to HR of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71 to 0.82, P <0.001). Mediation analysis found that body mass index, waist circumference and change in body mass index mediate 10% (P <0.001), 17% (P <0.001) and 9% (P <0.001) of the observed association between activity and incident DM, respectively.ConclusionsFor middle aged and older adults, both gradually improved and persistently active participation in physical activity were associated with subsequent lower risk of incident DM, with obesity playing a potential mediator. Strategies focusing on improving and maintaining active participation in physical activity might be beneficial from DM prevention perspective.
| S-EPMC8669796 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe association between air pollution and mental disorders has been widely documented in the general population. However, the evidence among susceptible populations, such as individuals with prediabetes or diabetes, is still insufficient.MethodsWe analyzed data from 48,515 participants with prediabetes and 24,393 participants with diabetes from the UK Biobank. Annual pollution data were collected for fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and nitrogen dioxides (NOx) during 2006-2021. The exposure to air pollution and temperature for each participant were estimated by the bilinear interpolation approach and time-weighted method based on their geocoded home addresses and time spent at each address. We employed the generalized propensity score model based on the generalized estimating equation and the time-varying covariates Cox model to assess the effects of air pollution.ResultsWe observed causal links between air pollutants and mental disorders among both prediabetic and diabetic participants, with stronger effects among those with diabetes than prediabetes. The hazard ratios were 1.18 (1.12, 1.24), 1.15 (1.10, 1.20), 1.18 (1.13, 1.23), and 1.15 (1.11, 1.19) in patients with prediabetes, and 1.21 (1.13, 1.29), 1.17 (1.11, 1.24), 1.19 (1.13, 1.25), and 1.17 (1.12, 1.23) in patients with diabetes per interquartile range elevation in PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and NOx. Furthermore, the effects were more pronounced among people who were older, alcohol drinkers, and living in urban areas.ConclusionsOur study indicates the potential causal links between long-term exposure to air pollution and incident mental disorders among those with prediabetes and diabetes. Reducing air pollution levels would significantly benefit this vulnerable population by reducing the incidence of mental disorders.
| S-EPMC10522921 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveThis study aimed to investigate the prospective interrelationships among biomarkers that may provide mechanistic insights into obesity-related diseases.MethodsA total of 850 women in the Nurses' Health Study II with two fasting blood measurements (1996-1999 and 2010-2011) of adiponectin, leptin, soluble leptin receptor, insulin, retinol-binding protein 4, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and interleukin-6 were included. Biomarker interrelationships were examined in the following three ways: (1) cross-sectional associations at baseline and follow-up, (2) longitudinal associations of concurrent biomarker changes, and (3) prospective associations of each baseline biomarker with other biomarker changes.ResultsIn cross-sectional analyses, most biomarkers were correlated after multivariable adjustment including BMI, with the strongest correlations observed between leptin and insulin and between hsCRP and interleukin-6. In longitudinal analyses, similar results were observed after multivariable adjustment including weight change. However, in prospective analyses, only three associations observed in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses were consistently significant (P < 0.05). Every doubling in baseline adiponectin was associated with -9.0% insulin change. The corresponding estimate was 9.3% for baseline leptin and hsCRP change and 3.1% for baseline hsCRP and leptin change.ConclusionsBaseline adiponectin concentrations were inversely associated with subsequent insulin change, whereas baseline leptin concentrations were positively associated with hsCRP change and vice versa.
| S-EPMC6986339 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background: The prolongation or shortening of heart rate-corrected QT (QTc) predisposes patients to fatal ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death (SCD), but the association of dynamic change of QTc interval with mortality in the general population remains unclear. Methods: A total of 11,798 middle-aged subjects from the prospective, population-based cohort were included in this analysis. The QTc interval corrected for heart rate was measured on two occasions around 3 years apart in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The ΔQTc interval was calculated by evaluating a change in QTc interval from visit 1 to visit 2. Results: After a median follow-up of 19.5 years, the association between the dynamic change of QTc interval and endpoints of death was U-shaped. The multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) comparing subjects above the 95th percentile of Framingham-corrected ΔQTc (ΔQTcF) (≥32 ms) with subjects in the middle quintile (0-8 ms) were 2.69 (95% CI, 1.68-4.30) for SCD, 2.51 (1.68-3.74) for coronary heart disease death, 2.10 (1.50-2.94) for cardiovascular death, and 1.30 (1.11-1.55) for death from any cause. The corresponding HRs comparing subjects with a ΔQTcF below the fifth percentile (<-23 ms) with those in the middle quintile were 1.82 (1.09-3.05) for SCD, 1.83 (1.19-2.81) for coronary heart disease death, 2.14 (1.51-2.96) for cardiovascular death, and 1.31 (1.11-1.56) for death from any cause. Less extreme deviations of ΔQTcF were also associated with an increased risk of death. Similar, albeit weaker associations also were observed with ΔQTc corrected with Bazett's formula. Conclusions: A dynamic change of QTc interval is associated with increased mortality risk in the general population, indicating that repeated measurements of the QTc interval may be available to provide additional prognostic information.
| S-EPMC8669365 | biostudies-literature