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Metastatic Pattern Discriminates Survival Benefit of Type of Surgery in Patients With De Novo Stage IV Breast Cancer Based on SEER Database.

ABSTRACT: Background: The role of surgery and surgery type in de novo stage IV breast cancer (BC) is unclear. Methods: We carried out a retrospective cohort study that included the data of 4,108 individuals with de novo stage IV BC abstracted from SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) data resource from 2010 to 2015. The patients were stratified into the non-surgery group, breast-conserving (BCS) surgery group, and mastectomy group. Inverse probability propensity score weighting (IPTW) was then used to balance clinicopathologic factors. Overall survival (OS), as well as the breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS), was assessed in the three groups using Kaplan-Meier analysis and COX model. Subgroups were stratified by metastatic sites for analysis. Results: Of the 4,108 patients, 48.5% received surgery and were stratified into the BCS group (574 cases) and mastectomy group (1,419 cases). After IPTW balance demographic and clinicopathologic factors, BCS and mastectomy groups had better OS (BCS group: HR, 0.61; 95% CI: 0.49-0.75; mastectomy group: HR, 0.7; 95% CI: 0.63-0.79) and BCSS (BCS group: HR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.47-0.75; mastectomy group: HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.63-0.81) than the non-therapy group. Subgroup analyses revealed that BCS, rather than mastectomy, was linked to better OS (HR, 0.66; 95% CI: 0.48-0.91) and BCSS (HR, 0.63; 95% CI: 0.45-0.89) for patients with bone-only metastasis. For patients with viscera metastasis or bone+viscera metastases, BCS achieved similar OS (viscera metastasis: HR, 1.05; 95% CI: 0.74-1.48; bone+viscera metastases: HR, 1.01; 95% CI: 0.64-1.61) and BCSS (viscera metastasis: HR, 0.94; 95% CI: 0.64-1.38; bone+viscera metastases: HR, 1.06; 95% CI: 0.66-1.73) in contrast with mastectomy. Conclusions: Local surgery for patients with distant metastasis (DS) exhibited a remarkable survival advantage in contrast with non-operative management. BCS may have more survival benefits for patients with de novo stage IV BC with bone-only metastasis than other metastatic sites. Decisions on de novo stage IV BC primary surgery should be tailored to the metastatic pattern.

SUBMITTER: Li K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8595123 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectiveThe efficacy of primary tumor surgery on survival in female patients with de novo stage IV breast cancer (BC) remains unclear. Our study endeavored to develop comprehensive competing risk nomograms to predict clinical outcomes and guide precision treatment in these patients.Participants and methodsA total of 12281 patients who had distant metastasis at initial BC diagnosis between 2010 and 2017 in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, were enrolled in this study. First, we assessed the impacts of primary tumor surgery on overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) using the Kaplan-Meier curves. Then subgroup analyses stratified by different metastatic patterns were performed using Cox and competing risk models (CRM). Based on the filtered independent prognostic parameters by CRM, we established two nomograms to predict the probability of breast cancer-specific death (BCSD) at 1-,2- and 3-year intervals. Furthermore, calibration curves and area under the curves (AUC) were conducted for validation.ResultsKaplan-Meier analysis revealed that surgery was associated with better OS and BCSS (P<0.001). Subgroup analyses demonstrated that in bone-only metastases pattern, relative to breast-conserving surgery (BCS), patients receiving mastectomy had worse prognosis and the poorest survival belonged to non-surgery individuals (BCSS: mastectomy: HR=1.35; 95%CI=1.15-1.60; non-surgery: 2.42; 2.08-2.82; OS: mastectomy: 1.44; 1.23-1.68; non-surgery: 2.40; 2.08-2.78). Additionally, no survival difference was observed between BCS and reconstruction recipients (BCSS: HR=1.10; 95%CI=0.85-1.43; OS: 1.11; 0.86-1.44). Furthermore, patients undergoing BCS possessed similar BCSS with mastectomy recipients as well as reconstruction recipients in viscera metastases pattern, whereas non-surgery individuals had a worse survival (mastectomy: HR=1.04; 95%CI=0.92-1.18; reconstruction: 0.86; 0.69-1.06; non-surgery: 1.83; 1.63-2.05). Two competing risk nomograms of distinct metastatic patterns were established to comprehensively predict the survival of patients. Calibration curves indicated the terrific consistency of the models. Moreover, the AUC values in the training and validation sets were in the range of 0.70-0.80, exhibiting good specificity and sensitivity.ConclusionThe surgery implementation was associated with a lower probability of BCSD in de novo stage-IV BC patients. Our nomograms could offer a relatively accurate and individualized prediction of the cumulative incidence rate of BCSD after primary tumor resection.

Project description:Locoregional treatment has been increasingly adopted for metastatic breast cancer at presentation. This study aims to develop an individualized calculator to predict the benefit of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) for patients with surgically resected de novo stage IV breast cancer. We searched the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for patients diagnosed with stage IV breast cancer between 2010 and 2014. After applying exclusion criteria, a total of 4473 patients were included in the analysis. Propensity score matching was used to balance the individual characteristics of the patients. After identifying the significant prognosticators, a nomogram was developed using multivariate regression models and internally validated. A web-based calculator was then constructed using a fitted survival prediction model. With a median follow-up of 34 months, the three-year overall survival (OS) rates were 54.1% in the surgery alone group and 63.5% in the surgery + PORT group (p < 0.001). The survival benefit of PORT was maintained after propensity score matching (p < 0.001). Interaction testing of the prognostic variables found significant interactions between PORT and the presence of brain metastasis (p = 0.001), and between PORT and hormonal receptor expression (p = 0.018). After reviewing the performance of various models, a log-normal distributed survival model was adopted, with a C-index of 0.695. A calibration plot verified that the predicted survival rates were strongly correlated with the actual OS rates. A web-based survival calculator was constructed to provide individualized estimates of survival according to PORT. PORT significantly improved OS rates, though the individual benefit was affected by a number of factors. We successfully developed a nomogram and web-based calculator that predicted the prognosis according to PORT in patients with surgically resected de novo stage IV breast cancer. These tools are expected to be useful in clinical practice and in the design of related trials.

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Metastatic Pattern Discriminates Survival Benefit of Type of Surgery in Patients With De Novo Stage IV Breast Cancer Based on SEER Database.

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