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Prognostic Value of the PROFUND Index for 30-Day Mortality in Acute Heart Failure.

ABSTRACT: Background and Objectives: The prevalence and incidence of heart failure (HF) have been increasing in recent years as the population ages. These patients show a distinct profile of comorbidity, which makes their care more complex. In recent years, the PROFUND index, a specific tool for estimating the mortality rate at one year in pluripathology patients, has been developed. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the PROFUND index and of in-hospital and 30-day mortality after discharge of patients admitted for acute heart failure (AHF). Materials and Methods: A prospective multicenter longitudinal study was performed that included patients admitted with AHF and ≥2 comorbid conditions. Clinical, analytical, and prognostic variables were collected. The PROFUND index was collected in all patients and rates of in-hospital and 30-day mortality after discharge were analyzed. A bivariate analysis was performed with quantitative variables between patients who died and those who survived at the 30-day follow-up. A logistic regression analysis was performed with the variables that obtained statistical significance in the bivariate analysis between deceased and surviving subjects. Results: A total of 128 patients were included. Mean age was 80.5 +/- 9.98 years, and women represented 51.6%. The mean PROFUND index was 5.26 +/- 4.5. The mortality rate was 8.6% in-hospital and 20.3% at 30 days. Preserved left ventricular ejection fraction was found in 60.9%. In the sample studied, there were patients with a PROFUND score < 7 predominated (89 patients (70%) versus 39 patients (31%) with a PROFUND score ≥ 7). Thirteen patients (15%) with a PROFUND score < 7 died versus the 13 (33%) with a PROFUND score ≥ 7, p = 0.03. Twelve patients (15%) with a PROFUND score < 7 required readmission versus 12 patients (35%) with a PROFUND score ≥ 7, p = 0.02. The ROC curve of the PROFUND index for in-hospital mortality and 30-day follow-up in patients with AHF showed AUC 0.63, CI: 95% (0.508-0.764), p <0.033. Conclusions: The PROFUND index is a clinical tool that may be useful for predicting short-term mortality in elderly patients with AHF. Further studies with larger simple sizes are required to validate these results.

SUBMITTER: Mendez-Bailon M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8618627 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectiveDiabetes is a significant risk factor for acute heart failure, associated with an increased risk of mortality. This study aims to analyze the prognostic significance of admission blood glucose (ABG) on 30-day mortality in Chinese patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF), with or without diabetes.MethodsThis retrospective study included 1,462 participants from the JX-ADHF1 cohort established between January 2019 to December 2022. We conducted multivariate cox regression, restricted cubic spline, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and mediation analysis to explore the association and potential mechanistic pathways (inflammation, oxidative stress, and nutrition) between ABG and 30-day mortality in ADHF patients, with and without diabetes.ResultsDuring the 30-day follow-up, we recorded 20 (5.36%) deaths in diabetic subjects and 33 (3.03%) in non-diabetics. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that ABG was independently associated with 30-day mortality in ADHF patients, with a stronger association in diabetics than non-diabetics (hazard ratio: Model 1: 1.71 vs 1.16; Model 2: 1.26 vs 1.19; Model 3: 1.65 vs 1.37; Model 4: 1.76 vs 1.33). Further restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a U-shaped relationship between ABG and 30-day mortality in non-diabetic ADHF patients (P for non-linearity < 0.001), with the lowest risk at ABG levels approximately between 5-7 mmol/L. Additionally, receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated that ABG had a higher predictive accuracy for 30-day mortality in diabetics (area under curve = 0.8751), with an optimal threshold of 13.95mmol/L. Finally, mediation analysis indicated a significant role of inflammation in ABG-related 30-day mortality in ADHF, accounting for 11.15% and 8.77% of the effect in diabetics and non-diabetics, respectively (P-value of proportion mediate < 0.05).ConclusionOur study confirms that ABG is a vital indicator for assessing and predicting 30-day mortality risk in ADHF patients with diabetes. For ADHF patients, both with and without diabetes, our evidence suggests that physicians should be alert and closely monitor any changes in patient conditions when ABG exceeds 13.95 mmol/L for those with diabetes and 7.05 mmol/L for those without. Timely adjustments in therapeutic strategies, including endocrine and anti-inflammatory treatments, are advisable.

Project description:BackgroundOutcomes associated with episodes of hypotension while hospitalized with acute decompensated heart failure are not well understood.Methods and resultsUsing data from Acute Study of Clinical Effectiveness of Nesiritide in Decompensated Heart Failure (ASCEND-HF), we assessed factors associated with in-hospital hypotension and subsequent 30-day outcomes. Patients were classified as having symptomatic or asymptomatic hypotension. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine factors associated with in-hospital hypotension, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between hypotension and 30-day outcomes. We also tested for treatment interaction with nesiritide on 30-day outcomes and the association between in-hospital hypotension and renal function at hospital discharge. Overall, 1555 of 7141 (21.8%) patients had an episode of hypotension, of which 73.1% were asymptomatic and 26.9% were symptomatic. Factors strongly associated with in-hospital hypotension included randomization to nesiritide (odds ratio, 1.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.76-2.23; P<0.001), chronic metolazone therapy (odds ratio, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.17-2.60; P<0.001), and baseline orthopnea (odds ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.13-1.52; P=0.001) or S3 gallop (odds ratio, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.06-1.40; P=0.006). In-hospital hypotension was associated with increased hazard of 30-day mortality (hazard ratio, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.57-2.61; P<0.001), 30-day heart failure hospitalization or mortality (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.34-1.86; P<0.001), and 30-day all-cause hospitalization or mortality (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.22-1.61; P<0.001). Nesiritide had no interaction on the relationship between hypotension and 30-day outcomes (interaction P=0.874 for death, P=0.908 for death/heart failure hospitalization, P=0.238 death/all-cause hospitalization).ConclusionsHypotension while hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure is an independent risk factor for adverse 30-day outcomes, and its occurrence highlights the need for modified treatment strategies.Clinical trial registration urlhttp://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00475852.

Project description:BackgroundFibrosis-5 (FIB-5) index is a marker of liver fibrosis and has been shown to have a good prognostic value for patients with acute heart failure (AHF), and C-reactive protein (CRP) has inflammatory properties and predicts adverse prognosis in patients with HF. However, the long-term prognostic value of FIB-5 index combined with CRP in patients with acute decompensated HF (ADHF) is yet unclear.MethodsThis retrospective study included 1153 patients with ADHF hospitalized from January 2018 to May 2022.The FIB-5 index was calculated as (albumin [g/L]×0.3 + PLT count [109/L]×0.05)-(ALP [U/L]×0.014 + AST to ALT ratio×6 + 14). Patients were stratified into the following four groups according to the median value of FIB-5 index (=-2.11) and CRP (= 4.5): Group 1 had a high FIB-5 index (FIB-5 index >-2.11) and a low CRP (CRP ≤ 4.5); Group 2 had both low FIB-5 index and low CRP; Group 3 had both high FIB-5 index and high CRP; Group 4 had a low FIB-5 index (FIB-5 index ≤-2.11) and a high CRP (CRP > 4.5). The endpoint was major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACCEs). Multivariate Cox analysis was used to evaluate the association of the combination with the development of MACCEs. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analysis were used to compare the accuracy of the combination with a single prognostic factor for predicting the risk of MACCEs.ResultsDuring the mean follow-up period of 584 ± 12 days, 488 (42.3%) patients had MACCEs. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the incidence of MACCEs was different in the four groups (P < 0.001). After adjusting for the confounding factors, the hazard ratio (HR) for MACCEs in Group 4 (low FIB-5 index + high CRP) was the highest (Model 1, HR = 2.04, 95%CI 1.58-2.65, P < 0.001; Model 2, HR = 1.67, 95%CI 1.28-2.18, P < 0.001; Model 3, HR = 1.66, 95%CI: 1.27-2.17, P < 0.001). Additionally, the combination of FIB-5 index and CRP enabled more accurate prediction of MACCEs than FIB-5 index alone (NRI, 0.314,95%CI 0.199-0.429; P < 0.001; IDI, 0.023; 95% CI 0.015-0.032; P < 0.001).ConclusionsIn patients with ADHF, the combination of the FIB-5 index and CRP may be useful in risk stratification in the future.

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Prognostic Value of the PROFUND Index for 30-Day Mortality in Acute Heart Failure.

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