Economic and environmental impact assessment of sustainable future irrigation practices in the Indus Basin of Pakistan.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Muzammil M
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8648764 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Intensification of smog episodes, following harvesting of paddy crops in agricultural plains of the Indus basin in the Indian subcontinent, are often attributed to farming practice of burning standing stubble during late autumn (October, November) months. Biomass burning (paddy stubble residual) is a preferred technique to clear farmlands for centuries by farmers in that basin. However, despite stable agricultural landholding and yield, smog is being increasingly associated with burning agricultural biomass, thus creating a paradox. Here, we show that the concentration of smog (NOx, PM2.5, SO2) in the ambient air exceeds the safe threshold limits throughout the entire year in the region. This study argues that agricultural biomass burning is an ephemeral event in the basin that may act as a catalyst to a deteriorated air quality in the entire region. Results further demonstrate that simultaneous saturation of air pollutants along with high ambient moisture content and low wind speeds following the monsoon season are strongly related to aggravated smog events. Findings from this study should help make holistic mitigation and intervention policies to monitor air quality for sustainability of public health in agricultural regions where farming activities are a dominant economic driver for society.
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Project description:Water is essential for life, agriculture, and industrialization; however, a rapid increase in population is constantly causing water scarcity and pollution in Pakistan. Mining activities produce the potential toxic element (PTE) accumulation, which lead to unnatural enrichment, ecological pollution, and environmental degradation. The ecological resources impeded by the PTEs cause serious abnormalities in the population through dermal contact, inhalation, and digestion. Mining induced anthropogenic activities are well-known causes of contamination of ecological resources. The produced effluents have drastic effects by changing the physical, chemical, and biological properties of the concerned resources. The Central Indus Basin is a well-known coal regime, where more than 160 mines are active at present. The samples that were collected from the mine water, groundwater, surface water, and the soil were analyzed by atomic absorption and elemental determination analysis (EDA) for an assessment of their quality and the presence of PTEs. The results were correlated with available quality standards, including the World Health Organization (WHO), National Standard of Drinking Water Quality (NSDWQ), World Wildlife Fund (WWF), and Sediment Quality Guidelines (SQGs). These analyses showed the noticeable anthropogenic concentration of PTEs, like iron, cadmium, sulphur, and copper, which can degrade the quality of resources in the Central Indus Basin and have adverse effects on human health. An excessive amount of acid mine drainage (AMD) draws attention to some suitable active or passive treatments for disposal from mines to avoid degradation of ecological resources in the Central Indus Basin of Pakistan.
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Project description:Agriculture is one of the major contributors to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Pakistan which relies on the availability of water. Hydropower contributes approximately 35% to the national electricity gid of Pakistan. Indus River is the main river of the Indus River System (IRS) which provides water for agriculture, hydropower and other purposes. The outputs of the Conformal-Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) are used to force the University of British Columbia Watershed Model (UBCWM) in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB), to investigate future water availability under the two IPCC emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Tarbela Reservoir which is the outlet of UIB is used as a measurement tool to assess water availability and response of the reservoir to climate change. The results show that maximum and minimum temperature are increasing in the future in comparison to the reference period. The largest increases in maximum temperature are projected for MAM (March-April-May) and JJA (June-July-August), with increases up to 2 °C in MAM and increases up to 6.4 °C in JJA under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, in the future. Minimum temperature has maximum increase (6.7 °C) in DJF (December-January-February) during 2071-2100 under RCP8.5. Precipitation shows a 5.1% decrease in DJF during 2011-2040 under RCP4.5. The statistics about water availability suggest that there is consistent increase in most of the months in the future, however, under the RCP4.5, there is decline in the river flow during 2071-2100 as compared to the 2041-2070. The findings of this study show that most of the time there will be more water available but in some months, there may be water scarcity under the RCP4.5, however, proper management and optimal utilization can reduce the water scarcity.
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Project description:Agricultural irrigation consumes most of the fresh water in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), directly affecting water resource management and allocation. Irrigation water demand is a key component of regional water resources management. We analyzed spatiotemporal variation in irrigation water requirement, irrigation demand index (IDI), and the proposed regional optimization of irrigation water use based on the Bayesian probability network. Results showed that: (1) The IDI in the study area increased slightly (trend slope = 0.028 a-1) as the effective precipitation increased by 63% during this period, and total irrigation water requirement (IR) decreased from 277.61 km3 in 2000 to 240 km3 in 2015. (2) Cotton had the highest crop IDI, followed by maize and wheat. (3) According to the comprehensive scenario analysis, improving the crop planting structure (by moderately increasing the planting proportion of maize in the CPEC) is conducive to improving regional water and food security by enhancing the grain yield (+ 9%), reducing the malnourished proportion of the population (low state + 7.2%), and bolstering water-saving irrigation technologies in Pakistan as well as water conveyance systems in Pakistan. Our results form an important baseline in determining the way forward on sustainable water resource utilization management in the CPEC.
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Project description:In Ethiopia, particularly in Tana Sub-Basin, irrigation development practice is increasing. However, this development ignored the fisheries; no, enough information about its effects. The sub-basin is rich in fisheries, including the 17 Labeobarbus species (the only remaining cyprinid species in the world). The fishery is also supporting over 6000 fishers. Hence, this study investigated the impact of irrigation practices on the Gilgel Abay, Ribb, and Gumara fisheries. Methods include fish sampling below and above the weirs, expert interviews, key informant interviews, secondary data, and impact significance matrix methods. The data collection time was from July 2019 to June 2020. The analysis of the data was qualitative and quantitative. The existing irrigation system affects fisheries by blocking upstream spawning migration routes (Gilgel Abay Weir and Ribb Dam, for sure catch below the Gilgel Abay Weir, significantly higher than above the weir, Shannon Index (H'), P < 0.001). Besides, according to local sources, after 2007, Gumara and Ribb Rivers became seasonal because of excessive water abstraction for irrigation, resulting in mass fish-killing and the failure of juvenile recruitment to the lake. In one instance, we recorded the deaths of over 930 adults and juveniles on the Gumara and the Ribb Rivers. Succeeding low water volume, even non-fishers collect fish from the pools; and during spawning time, fishers target spawning migratory species at the weirs where the catch is prime is also the other problem. Other threatening elements can also aggravate the impact. Hence, these impacts need to be ameliorated by practicing efficacious water use, catchment treatment, fishery management, fish ladder development, and factor alleviation can be solutions.
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