Long-term Infective Endocarditis Mortality Associated With Injection Opioid Use in the United States: A Modeling Study.
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ABSTRACT: Background
The expansion of the US opioid epidemic has led to significant increases in infections, such as infective endocarditis (IE), which is tied to injection behaviors. We aimed to estimate the population-level IE mortality rate among people who inject opioids and compare the risk of IE death against the risks of death from other causes.Methods
We developed a microsimulation model of the natural history of injection opioid use. We defined injection behavior profiles by both injection frequency and injection techniques. We accounted for competing risks of death and populated the model with primary and published data. We modeled cohorts of 1 million individuals with different injection behavior profiles until age 60 years. We combined model-generated estimates with published data to project the total expected number of IE deaths in the United States by 2030.Results
The probabilities of death from IE by age 60 years for 20-, 30-, and 40-year-old men with high-frequency use with higher infection risk techniques compared to lower risk techniques for IE were 53.8% versus 3.7%, 51.4% versus 3.1%, and 44.5% versus 2.2%, respectively. The predicted population-level attributable fraction of 10-year mortality from IE among all risk groups was 20%. We estimated that approximately 257 800 people are expected to die from IE by 2030.Conclusions
The expected burden of IE among people who inject opioids in the United States is large. Adopting a harm reduction approach, including through expansion of syringe service programs, to address injection behaviors could have a major impact on decreasing the mortality rate associated with the opioid epidemic.
SUBMITTER: Barocas JA
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8662770 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundThe incidence of infective endocarditis, a serious heart infection that can result from injection drug use, has increased in step with the opioid epidemic. Harm reduction services aimed at decreasing infectious complications of injection drug use are limited in rural areas; however, it is unknown whether the burden of opioid use-associated infective endocarditis varies between rural and urban populations.MethodsWe used 2003-2016 National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample data and joinpoint regression to compare trends in hospitalization for opioid use-associated infective endocarditis between rural and urban populations.ResultsRates of US hospitalizations for opioid use-associated infective endocarditis increased from 0.28 to 3.86 per 100 000 rural residents, as compared with 1.26 to 3.49 for urban residents (overall difference in annual percent change P < .01). We observed 2 distinct trend periods, with a period of little change between 2003 and 2009/2010 (annual percent change, 0.0% rural vs -0.08% urban) followed by a large increase in hospitalization rates between 2009/2010 and 2016 (annual percent change, 0.35% rural vs 0.36% urban). Over the study period, opioid use-associated infective endocarditis hospitalizations shifted toward younger age groups for both rural and urban residents, and rural resident hospitalizations increasingly occurred at urban teaching hospitals. For both groups, Medicaid was the most common payer.ConclusionsThe increase in US hospitalizations for opioid use-associated infective endocarditis over the past decade supports the importance of public health efforts to reduce injection-related infections in both urban and rural areas. Future studies should examine factors affecting the higher increase in rate of these hospitalizations in rural areas.
| S-EPMC7039404 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundData on national trends in mortality due to infective endocarditis (IE) in the United States are limited.Methods and resultsUtilizing the multiple causes of death data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database from 1999 to 2020, IE and substance use were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Between 1999 and 2020, the IE-related age-adjusted mortality rates declined. IE-related crude mortality accelerated significantly in the age groups 25-34 years (average annual percentage change, 5.4 [95% CI, 3.1-7.7]; P<0.001) and 35-44 years (average annual percentage change, 2.3 [95% CI, 1.3-3.3]; P<0.001), but remained stagnant in those aged 45-54 years (average annual percentage change, 0.5 [95% CI, -1.9 to 3]; P=0.684), and showed a significant decline in those aged ≥55 years. A concomitant substance use disorder as multiple causes of death in those with IE increased drastically in the 25-44 years age group (P<0.001). The states of Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia showed an acceleration in age-adjusted mortality rates in contrast to other states, where there was predominantly a decline or static trend for IE.ConclusionsAge-adjusted mortality rates due to IE in the overall population have declined. The marked acceleration in mortality in the 25- to 44-year age group is a cause for alarm. Regional differences with acceleration in IE mortality rates were noted in Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia. We speculate that this acceleration was likely due mainly to the opioid crisis that has engulfed several states and involved principally younger adults.
| S-EPMC10863783 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceAlthough hospitalizations for injection drug use-associated infective endocarditis (IDU-IE) have increased during the opioid crisis, utilization of and mortality associated with receipt of medication for opioid use disorder (MOUD) after discharge from the hospital among patients with IDU-IE are unknown.ObjectiveTo assess the proportion of patients receiving MOUD after hospitalization for IDU-IE and the association of MOUD receipt with mortality.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort study used a population registry with person-level medical claims, prescription monitoring program, mortality, and substance use treatment data from Massachusetts between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2015; IDU-IE-related discharges between July 1, 2011, and June, 30, 2015, were analyzed. All Massachusetts residents aged 18 to 64 years with a first hospitalization for IDU-IE were included; IDU-IE was defined as any hospitalization with a diagnosis of endocarditis and at least 1 claim in the prior 6 months for OUD, drug use, or hepatitis C and with 2-month survival after hospital discharge. Data were analyzed from November 11, 2018, to June 23, 2020.ExposureReceipt of MOUD, defined as any treatment with methadone, buprenorphine, or naltrexone, within 3 months after hospital discharge excluding discharge month for IDU-IE.Main outcomes and measuresThe main outcome was all-cause mortality. The proportion of patients who received MOUD in the 3 months after hospital discharge was calculated. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to examine the association of MOUD receipt with mortality, adjusting for sex, age, medical and psychiatric comorbidities, and homelessness. In the secondary analysis, receipt of MOUD was considered as a monthly time-varying exposure.ResultsOf 679 individuals with IDU-IE, 413 (60.8%) were male, the mean (SD) age was 39.2 (12.1) years, 298 (43.9%) were aged 18 to 34 years, 419 (72.3) had mental illness, and 209 (30.8) experienced homelessness. A total of 134 individuals (19.7%) received MOUD in the 3 months before hospitalization and 165 (24.3%) in the 3 months after hospital discharge. Of those who received MOUD after discharge, 112 (67.9%) received buprenorphine. The crude mortality rate was 9.2 deaths per 100 person-years. MOUD receipt within 3 months after discharge was not associated with reduced mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.61-2.72); however, MOUD receipt was associated with reduced mortality in the month that MOUD was received (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.10-0.89).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study, receipt of MOUD was associated with reduced mortality after hospitalization for injection drug use-associated endocarditis only in the month it was received. Efforts to improve MOUD initiation and retention after IDU-IE hospitalization may be beneficial.
| S-EPMC7557514 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Severe neurological complications following infective endocarditis remain a major problem with high mortality rate. The long-term neurological consequences following infective endocarditis remain uncertain. Otherwise, neurosurgeries could be performed after these complications; however, few clinical series have reported the results. Therefore, we utilized a large, nationwide database to unveil the long-term mortality and neurosurgical outcome following infective endocarditis. We included patients with a first-time discharge diagnosis of infective endocarditis between January 2001 and December 2013 during hospitalization. Patients were further divided into subgroups consisting of neurological complications under neurosurgical treatment and complications under non-neurosurgical treatment. Long-term result of symptomatic neurological complications after infective endocarditis and all-cause mortality after different kinds of neurosurgeries were analyzed. There were 16,495 patients with infective endocarditis included in this study. Symptomatic neurological complications occurred in 1,035 (6.27%) patients, of which 279 (26.96%) accepted neurosurgical procedures. Annual incidence of neurological complications gradually increased from 3.6% to 7.4% (P?<?0.001). The mortality rate among these patients was higher than that among patients without complications (48.5% vs. 46.1%, P?=?0.012, increased from 20% initially to nearly 50% over the 5-year follow-up). However, neurosurgery had no effect on the long-term mortality rate (50.9% vs. 47.6%, P?=?0.451). Incidence of neurological complications post-infective endocarditis is increasing, and patients with these complications have higher mortality rates than patients without. Neurosurgery in these populations was not associated with higher long-term mortality. Therefore, it should not be ruled out as an option for those with neurological complications.
| S-EPMC7055329 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background To evaluate changes in patient characteristics and outcomes for infective endocarditis (IE) related to opioid use disorder (OUD), we used the National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample (NIS) to characterize the trend in hospitalizations for patients with IE with and without OUD and those treated medically and surgically. Methods and Results Temporal trends in hospitalization characteristics for patients with IE with and without OUD and those treated medically and surgically were estimated via the NIS data in 2005-2014. Hospitalizations for OUD and IE increased from 119 to 202 and from 12 to 15 cases per 100 000 between 2005 and 2014, respectively. Hospitalizations with OUD among all IE hospitalizations increased from 6.3% in 2005 to 11.6% in 2014. Among all IE hospitalizations, patients being admitted for IE in the setting of OUD were younger compared with the cohort of IE without OUD (aged 37.6±0.21 years versus 60.9±0.16 years). Myocardial infarction, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, peripheral vascular disease, and heart failure were more common in patients without OUD. The OUD cohort more frequently had liver disease (46.0% versus 10.8%) and immunosuppressed status (4.3% versus 2.1%). Valve operations for IE accounted for 10.2% of all valve operations in 2005, and this increased to 12.7% in 2014. These proportions were similar between OUD (11.4%) and non-OUD (11.1%) cohorts. Operative mortality was lower in patients with OUD (4.3% versus 9.4%, P<0.001). Conclusions IE associated with OUD has a distinct phenotype and has become more prevalent. Surgical outcomes are favorable and operations were performed in similar proportions of patients who had IE with OUD compared with patients who had IE without OUD.
| S-EPMC7335511 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe rise in the number of valve operations performed for infective endocarditis (IE) due to drug use is an important manifestation of the opioid epidemic. This study characterized national trends and outcomes of valve surgery for drug use-associated IE (DU-IE).MethodsAdults undergoing valve surgery for active IE in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database between July 2011 and June 2018 were stratified as DU-IE and non-DU-IE. Trends and clinical profiles were analyzed. Early outcomes were assessed. The association of DU-IE with outcomes was analyzed with multivariable regression, adjusting for STS Valve Risk model covariates.ResultsThere were 34,905 valve operations performed for IE, of which 33.7% were for DU-IE. DU-IE operations increased 2.7-fold during the study period. There was considerable regional variability in DU-IE operations, ranging from 28% to 58% of all IE surgeries in 2018, with highest rates observed in East South Central and South Atlantic regions. DU-IE patients were younger and had fewer cardiovascular comorbidities. Risk-adjusted major morbidity and in-hospital mortality were significantly higher in the DU-IE group. Redo valve procedures in DU-IE patients were associated with worse outcomes, compared with those receiving a first valve operation.ConclusionsOperations for DU-IE have increased sharply in the United States during the last several years, exhibiting substantial regional variability. DU-IE patients have unique clinical profiles, and worse risk-adjusted outcomes. This demonstrates the significant impact of the opioid epidemic on endocarditis surgeries and punctuates the urgent need for multidisciplinary regional and national efforts to reverse this trend.
| S-EPMC7502470 | biostudies-literature
Project description:OBJECTIVES:Infective endocarditis (IE) with non-HACEK Gram-negative (GN) organisms is rare, but associated with poor outcomes. The purpose of this study was to quantify the microbiology, treatment strategies, and frequency of poor outcomes in patients with non-HACEK GN IE. MATERIALS:Retrospective cohort of adults with definite non-HACEK GN IE from 1/11-1/19. The primary endpoint was poor patient outcome, defined as a composite of all-cause death or infection-related readmission within 90-days of index infection. RESULTS:43 patients were included: 51% patients were men, and the median (IQR) age was 40 (31-50) years. Forty patients reported injection drug use. The most common organisms were Pseudomonas aeruginosa (68%) and Serratia marcescens (9%). Seventy-six percent of patients received definitive combination therapy; the most common antibiotics used in combination with a β-lactam were aminoglycosides (50%) and fluoroquinolones (34%). Three patients discontinued combination therapy due to toxicity. Twelve-month, all-cause mortality and readmission was 30% and 54%, respectively. In multivariable logistic regression, variables independently associated with composite poor outcome were receipt of fluoroquinolone-based IE combination therapy and septic shock. CONCLUSIONS:Long-term mortality and readmission rates were high. Patients who received fluoroquinolone-based IE combination therapy more frequently developed poor outcomes than those who did not.
| S-EPMC7064227 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Aggressive pain treatment was advocated for ESRD patients, but new Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines recommend cautious opioid prescription. Little is known regarding outcomes associated with ESRD opioid prescription. We assessed opioid prescriptions and associations between opioid prescription and dose and patient outcomes using 2006-2010 US Renal Data System information in patients on maintenance dialysis with Medicare Part A, B, and D coverage in each study year (n=671,281, of whom 271,285 were unique patients). Opioid prescription was confirmed from Part D prescription claims. In the 2010 prevalent cohort (n=153,758), we examined associations of opioid prescription with subsequent all-cause death, dialysis discontinuation, and hospitalization controlled for demographics, comorbidity, modality, and residence. Overall, >60% of dialysis patients had at least one opioid prescription every year. Approximately 20% of patients had a chronic (?90-day supply) opioid prescription each year, in 2010 usually for hydrocodone, oxycodone, or tramadol. In the 2010 cohort, compared with patients without an opioid prescription, patients with short-term (1-89 days) and chronic opioid prescriptions had increased mortality, dialysis discontinuation, and hospitalization. All opioid drugs associated with mortality; most associated with worsened morbidity. Higher opioid doses correlated with death in a monotonically increasing fashion. We conclude that opioid drug prescription is associated with increased risk of death, dialysis discontinuation, and hospitalization in dialysis patients. Causal relationships cannot be inferred, and opioid prescription may be an illness marker. Efforts to treat pain effectively in patients on dialysis yet decrease opioid prescriptions and dose deserve consideration.
| S-EPMC5698071 | biostudies-other
Project description:ImportanceRisk of long-term opioid use among patients with hidradenitis suppurativa (HS), who experience pain that substantially impairs quality of life, is unknown to date.ObjectiveTo compare overall and subgroup incidence of long-term opioid use in a population of opioid-naive patients with HS and control patients.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort study was based on a demographically heterogeneous population-based sample of more than 56 million unique patients from January 1, 2008, through December 10, 2018. Patients with HS (n = 22 277) and controls (n = 828 832) were identified using electronic health records data. Data were analyzed from December 13, 2018, through January 28, 2019.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was incident long-term opioid use.ResultsAmong the 22 277 patients with HS, mean (SD) age was 40.8 (14.6) years, 16 912 (75.9%) were women, and 13 190 (59.2%) were white. Crude 1-year incidence of long-term opioid use among opioid-naive patients with HS was 0.33% (74 of 22 277), compared with 0.14% (1168 of 828 832) among controls (P < .001). In adjusted analysis, patients with HS had 1.53 (95% CI, 1.20-1.95; P < .001) times the odds of new long-term opioid use compared with controls. Among patients with HS, advancing age (odds ratio [OR], 1.02 per 1-year increase; 95% CI, 1.00-1.03; P = .05), ever smoking (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 2.06-6.41; P < .001), history of depression (OR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.21-3.19; P = .006), and baseline Charlson comorbidity index score (OR, 1.15 per 1-point increase; 95% CI, 1.03-1.29; P = .01) were associated with higher odds of long-term opioid use. Among patients with HS and long-term opioid use, 4 of 74 (5.4%) were diagnosed with opioid use disorder during the study period. The most frequent schedule II opioid prescriptions included oxycodone hydrochloride (55 of 74 patients [74.3%]), hydrocodone bitartrate (44 [59.5%]), hydromorphone hydrochloride (16 [21.6%]), morphine sulfate (13 [17.6%]), and fentanyl citrate (6 [8.1%]). Tramadol hydrochloride (32 [43.2%]) represented the most frequent non-schedule II prescription. Disciplines prescribing the most opioids to patients with HS included primary care (398 [72.8%]), anesthesiology/pain management (48 [8.8%]), gastroenterology (25 [4.6%]), surgery (23 [4.2%]), and emergency medicine (10 [1.8%]).Conclusions and relevanceIn this study, patients with HS were at higher risk for long-term opioid use. These results suggest that periodic assessment of pain and screening for long-term opioid use may be warranted, particularly among patients who are older, who smoke tobacco, or who have depression and other medical comorbidities.
| S-EPMC6739733 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Background and objectivesCompared with conventional treatment, early surgery significantly reduced the composite end point of all-cause death and embolic events during hospitalization, but long-term data in this area are lacking. This study sought to compare long-term outcomes of early surgery with a conventional treatment strategy in patients with infective endocarditis (IE) and large vegetations.Subjects and methodsThe Early Surgery versus Conventional Treatment in Infective Endocarditis (EASE) trial randomly assigned patients with left-sided IE, severe valve disease and large vegetation to early surgery (37 patients) or conventional treatment groups (39 patients). The pre-specified end points were all-cause death, embolic events, recurrence of IE and repeat hospitalizations due to the development of congestive heart failure occurring during follow-up.ResultsThere were no significant differences between the early surgery and the conventional treatment group in all-cause mortality at 4 years (8.1% and 7.7%, respectively; hazard ratio [HR] 1.04; 95% CI, 0.21 to 5.15; p=0.96). The rate of the composite end point of death from any cause, embolic events or recurrence of IE at 4 years was 8.1% in the early surgery group and 30.8% in the conventional treatment group (HR, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.06-0.78; p=0.02). The estimated actuarial rate of end points at 7 years was significantly lower in the early surgery group than in the conventional treatment group (log-rank p=0.007).ConclusionThere was a substantial benefit in having early surgery for patients with IE and large vegetations whose health was sustained up to 7 years, and late clinical outcome after surgery was excellent in survivors of IE. (EASE clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00750373).
| S-EPMC5099342 | biostudies-literature