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A Five-Gene Risk Score Model for Predicting the Prognosis of Multiple Myeloma Patients Based on Gene Expression Profiles.

ABSTRACT: Multiple myeloma is a heterogeneous plasma cell malignancy that remains incurable because of the tendency of relapse for most patients. Survival outcomes may vary widely due to patient and disease variables; therefore, it is necessary to establish a more accurate prognostic model to improve prognostic precision and guide clinical therapy. Here, we developed a risk score model based on myeloma gene expression profiles from three independent datasets: GSE6477, GSE13591, and GSE24080. In this model, highly survival-associated five genes, including EPAS1, ERC2, PRC1, CSGALNACT1, and CCND1, are selected by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. At last, we analyzed three validation datasets (including GSE2658, GSE136337, and MMRF datasets) to examine the prognostic efficacy of this model by dividing patients into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the median risk score. The results indicated that the survival of patients in low-risk group was greatly prolonged compared with their counterparts in the high-risk group. Therefore, the five-gene risk score model could increase the accuracy of risk stratification and provide effective prediction for the prognosis of patients and instruction for individualized clinical treatment.

SUBMITTER: Chen X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8669596 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundMultiple myeloma (MM) is a highly malignant hematological tumor with a poor overall survival (OS). Due to the high heterogeneity of MM, it is necessary to explore novel markers for the prognosis prediction for MM patients. Ferroptosis is a form of regulated cell death, playing a critical role in tumorigenesis and cancer progression. However, the predictive role of ferroptosis-related genes (FRGs) in MM prognosis remains unknown.MethodsThis study collected 107 FRGs previously reported and utilized the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) cox regression model to construct a multi-genes risk signature model upon FRGs. The ESTIMATE algorithm and immune-related single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were carried out to evaluate immune infiltration level. Drug sensitivity was assessed based on the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer database (GDSC). Then the synergy effect was determined with Cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) assay and SynergyFinder software.ResultsA 6-gene prognostic risk signature model was constructed, and MM patients were divided into high and low risk groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients in the high risk group had significantly reduced OS compared with patients in the low risk group. Besides, the risk score was an independent predictor for OS. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis confirmed the predictive capacity of the risk signature. Combination of risk score and ISS stage had better prediction performance. Enrichment analysis revealed immune response, MYC, mTOR, proteasome and oxidative phosphorylation were enriched in high risk MM patients. We found high risk MM patients had lower immune scores and immune infiltration levels. Moreover, further analysis found that MM patients in high risk group were sensitive to bortezomib and lenalidomide. At last, the results of the in vitro experiment showed that ferroptosis inducers (RSL3 and ML162) may synergistically enhance the cytotoxicity of bortezomib and lenalidomide against MM cell line RPMI-8226.ConclusionThis study provides novel insights into roles of ferroptosis in MM prognosis prediction, immune levels and drug sensitivity, which complements and improves current grading systems.

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A Five-Gene Risk Score Model for Predicting the Prognosis of Multiple Myeloma Patients Based on Gene Expression Profiles.

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