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Quantum chemical predictions of water-octanol partition coefficients applied to the SAMPL6 logP blind challenge.

ABSTRACT: Theoretical approaches for predicting physicochemical properties are valuable tools for accelerating the drug discovery process. In this work, quantum chemical methods are used to predict water-octanol partition coefficients as a part of the SAMPL6 blind challenge. The SMD continuum solvent model was employed with MP2 and eight DFT functionals in conjunction with correlation consistent basis sets to determine the water-octanol transfer free energy. Several tactics towards improving the predictions of the partition coefficient were examined, including increasing the quality of basis sets, considering tautomerization, and accounting for inhomogeneities in the water and n-octanol phases. Evaluation of these various schemes highlights the impact of modeling approaches across different methods. With the inclusion of tautomers and adjustments to the permittivity constants, the best predictions were obtained with smaller basis sets and the O3LYP functional, which yielded an RMSE of 0.79 logP units. The results presented correspond to the SAMPL6 logP submission IDs: DYXBT, O7DJK, and AHMTF.

SUBMITTER: Jones MR

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8690632 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:The SAMPL Challenges aim to focus the biomolecular and physical modeling community on issues that limit the accuracy of predictive modeling of protein-ligand binding for rational drug design. In the SAMPL5 log D Challenge, designed to benchmark the accuracy of methods for predicting drug-like small molecule transfer free energies from aqueous to nonpolar phases, participants found it difficult to make accurate predictions due to the complexity of protonation state issues. In the SAMPL6 log P Challenge, we asked participants to make blind predictions of the octanol-water partition coefficients of neutral species of 11 compounds and assessed how well these methods performed absent the complication of protonation state effects. This challenge builds on the SAMPL6 p[Formula: see text] Challenge, which asked participants to predict p[Formula: see text] values of a superset of the compounds considered in this log P challenge. Blind prediction sets of 91 prediction methods were collected from 27 research groups, spanning a variety of quantum mechanics (QM) or molecular mechanics (MM)-based physical methods, knowledge-based empirical methods, and mixed approaches. There was a 50% increase in the number of participating groups and a 20% increase in the number of submissions compared to the SAMPL5 log D Challenge. Overall, the accuracy of octanol-water log P predictions in SAMPL6 Challenge was higher than cyclohexane-water log D predictions in SAMPL5, likely because modeling only the neutral species was necessary for log P and several categories of method benefited from the vast amounts of experimental octanol-water log P data. There were many highly accurate methods: 10 diverse methods achieved RMSE less than 0.5 log P units. These included QM-based methods, empirical methods, and mixed methods with physical modeling supported with empirical corrections. A comparison of physical modeling methods showed that QM-based methods outperformed MM-based methods. The average RMSE of the most accurate five MM-based, QM-based, empirical, and mixed approach methods based on RMSE were 0.92 ± 0.13, 0.48 ± 0.06, 0.47 ± 0.05, and 0.50 ± 0.06, respectively.

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Quantum chemical predictions of water-octanol partition coefficients applied to the SAMPL6 logP blind challenge.

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