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Artificial intelligence predicts clinically relevant atrial high-rate episodes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices.

ABSTRACT: To assess the utility of machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting clinically relevant atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs), which can be recorded by a pacemaker. We aimed to develop ML-based models to predict clinically relevant AHREs based on the clinical parameters of patients with implanted pacemakers in comparison to logistic regression (LR). We included 721 patients without known atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter from a prospective multicenter (11 tertiary hospitals) registry comprising all geographical regions of Korea from September 2017 to July 2020. Predictive models of clinically relevant AHREs were developed using the random forest (RF) algorithm, support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) algorithm. Model prediction training was conducted by seven hospitals, and model performance was evaluated using data from four hospitals. During a median follow-up of 18 months, clinically relevant AHREs were noted in 104 patients (14.4%). The three ML-based models improved the discrimination of the AHREs (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: RF: 0.742, SVM: 0.675, and XGB: 0.745 vs. LR: 0.669). The XGB model had a greater resolution in the Brier score (RF: 0.008, SVM: 0.008, and XGB: 0.021 vs. LR: 0.013) than the other models. The use of the ML-based models in patient classification was associated with improved prediction of clinically relevant AHREs after pacemaker implantation.

SUBMITTER: Kim M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8741914 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prevalence and Predictors of Clinically Relevant Atrial High-Rate Episodes in Patients with Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices.

Project description:Background and objectivesAtrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) can be continuously detected by cardiovascular implantable electronic devices (CIEDs); however, the predictors of clinically relevant AHREs are unclear.MethodsThis prospective multicenter study monitored 816 patients (median age 73 years, 40.4% male) without atrial fibrillation (AF) from September 2017 to July 2020. AHREs was defined as a programmed atrial detection rate >220 beats/min. The reference values of 6 minutes and 6 hours were set to analyze clinical implication of AHREs based on previously published data that the 6 minutes excluded most episodes of oversensing.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 18 months (interquartile interval 9-26 months), AHREs with the longest durations of >15 seconds, >6 minutes, and >6 hours and clinically documented AF by electrocardiography were noted in 246 (30.1%), 112 (13.7%), 49 (6.0%), and 24 (2.9%) patients, respectively. Among patients developing AHREs >6 minutes, 102 (91.1%) of 112 patients were identified at the 6-month visit. Patients with AHREs >6 minutes had higher proportions of sick sinus syndrome, subjects with atrial premature beat >1% on Holter monitoring, and larger left atrium (LA) size than patients with AHREs ≤6 minutes. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that LA diameter >41 mm (odds ratio [OR], 2.08; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.25-3.45), and sick sinus syndrome (OR, 3.22; 95% CI, 1.91-5.43) were associated with AHREs >6 minutes.ConclusionsIn patients with LA diameter >41 mm, and sick sinus syndrome before CIEDs implantation is associated with risk of developing AHREs >6 minutes.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03303872.

| S-EPMC7925969 | biostudies-literature

Accuracy and comprehensibility of chat-based artificial intelligence for patient information on atrial fibrillation and cardiac implantable electronic devices.

Project description:AimsNatural language processing chatbots (NLPC) can be used to gather information for medical content. However, these tools contain a potential risk of misinformation. This study aims to evaluate different aspects of responses given by different NLPCs on questions about atrial fibrillation (AF) and clinical implantable electronic devices (CIED).Methods and resultsQuestions were entered into three different NLPC interfaces. Responses were evaluated with regard to appropriateness, comprehensibility, appearance of confabulation, absence of relevant content, and recommendations given for clinically relevant decisions. Moreover, readability was assessed by calculating word count and Flesch Reading Ease score. 52, 60, and 84% of responses on AF and 16, 72, and 88% on CIEDs were evaluated to be appropriate for all responses given by Google Bard, (GB) Bing Chat (BC) and ChatGPT Plus (CGP), respectively. Assessment of comprehensibility showed that 96, 88, and 92% of responses on AF and 92 and 88%, and 100% on CIEDs were comprehensible for all responses created by GB, BC, and CGP, respectively. Readability varied between different NLPCs. Relevant aspects were missing in 52% (GB), 60% (BC), and 24% (CGP) for AF, and in 92% (GB), 88% (BC), and 52% (CGP) for CIEDs.ConclusionResponses generated by an NLPC are mostly easy to understand with varying readability between the different NLPCs. The appropriateness of responses is limited and varies between different NLPCs. Important aspects are often missed to be mentioned. Thus, chatbots should be used with caution to gather medical information about cardiac arrhythmias and devices.

| S-EPMC10824484 | biostudies-literature

Atrial high rate episodes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices: implications for clinical outcomes.

Project description:BackgroundAtrial high rate episodes (AHREs) detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are associated with an increased risk of stroke. However, the impact of AHRE on improving stroke risk stratification scheme remains uncertain.ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to assess the impact of AHRE on prognosis in relation with cardiovascular events and risk stratification.MethodsA total of 856 consecutive patients who had dual-chamber CIEDs implanted were retrospectively analyzed. To detect AHREs, they were monitored for 6 months after CIEDs' implantation and were followed for a mean of 4.0 years for clinical outcomes such as thromboembolism or death.ResultsOverall, 125 (14.6%) of patients developed AHREs within the first 6 months (median age 72.0 years, 39.3% female). Patients with AHREs had a high rate of thromboembolism (2.6%/year) and mortality (3.0%/year). On multivariate analysis, AHRE was significantly associated with increased risk of thromboembolism [hazard ratio (HR) 3.40; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.38-8.37, P = 0.01] and death (HR 3.47; 95% CI 1.51-7.95; P < 0.01). The predictive abilities of the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were modest, with no significant improvements by adding AHRE to those scores. However, the integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement showed that the addition of AHRE to the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores statistically improved their predictive ability for the composite outcome.ConclusionsAHRE was an independent factor associated with increased risk of clinical outcomes. The addition of AHRE to the clinical risk scores significantly improved discrimination for thromboembolism or death.

| S-EPMC6694071 | biostudies-literature

HATCH Score and Left Atrial Size Predict Atrial High-Rate Episodes in Patients With Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices.

Project description:Background: Patients with sustained atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) have a high risk of major adverse cardio/cerebrovascular events (MACCE). However, the prediction model and factors for the occurrence of AHRE are unknown. We aimed to identify independent factors and various risk models for predicting MACCE and AHRE. Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 314 consecutive patients who had cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). The primary endpoint was MACCE after AHRE ≥3, 6 min, and 6 h. Atrial high-rate episodes was defined as >175 bpm (Medtronic®) lasting ≥30 s. Multivariate Cox and logistic regression analysis with time-dependent covariates were used to determine variables associated with independent risk of MACCE and occurrence of AHRE ≥3 min, respectively. Results: One hundred twenty-five patients (39.8%) developed AHRE ≥3 min, 103 (32.8%) ≥6 min, and 55 (17.5%) ≥6 h. During follow-up (median 32 months), 77 MACCE occurred (incidence 9.20/100 patient years, 95% CI 5.66-18.39). The optimal AHRE cutoff value was 3 min for MACCE, with highest Youden index 1.350 (AUC, 0.716; 95% CI, 0.638-0.793; p < 0.001). Atrial high-rate episodes ≥3 min-6 h were independently associated with MACCE. HATCH score and left atrial diameter were independently associated with AHRE ≥3 min. The optimal cutoff for HATCH score was 3 and for left atrial diameter was 4 cm for AHRE ≥3 min. Conclusion: Patients with CIEDs who develop AHRE ≥3 min have an independently increased risk of MACCE. Comprehensive assessment using HATCH score and echocardiography of patients with CIEDs is warranted.

| S-EPMC8528173 | biostudies-literature

Inflammation and the risk of atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices.

Project description:IntroductionAtrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) are associated with an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolism. The characteristics of 'real world' patients developing AHREs are poorly known.MethodsWe included 496 consecutive patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). Primary endpoint was occurrence of AHREs, defined as >?175 bpm and lasting?>?5 min, in a median follow-up of 16.5 (IQR 3.9-38.6) months (1082.4 patient-years). We also tested the predictive value of clinical risk scores for AHREs.ResultsMean age was 68.8?±?14.0 years, and 35.5% were women; AHREs were recorded in 173 patients [34.7%, 16.0%/year, 95% confidence interval (CI) 13.7-18.6]. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.020, 95% CI 1.004-1.035, p?=?0.011], prior AF (HR 3.521, 95% CI 2.831-5.206, p?<?0.001), white cell count (HR 1.039, 95% CI 1.007-1.072, p?=?0.016) and high C reactive protein (CRP; HR 1.039, 95% CI 1.021-2.056, p?=?0.038) were independently associated with AHREs. ROC curve analysis showed that the APPLE score (C statistic 0.53, 95% CI 0.48-0.59; p?=?0.296) ALARMEc score (C statistic 0.51, 95% CI 0.44-0.57; p?=?0.810) were non-significantly associated with AHRE. Similar results were obtained for CHADS2 and CHA2DS2VASc score CONCLUSION: AHREs are common in CIEDs patients, with age, prior AF, inflammatory markers (high CRP, white cell count) being factors associated with AHREs onset. Clinical risk scores showed limited value for AHREs prediction in this cohort.

| S-EPMC6105258 | biostudies-literature

The Differential Prognostic Impact of Long-Duration Atrial High-Rate Episodes Detected by Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices between Patients with and without a History of Atrial Fibrillation.

Project description:Long-duration atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) monitored using cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) can predict long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). This study aimed to compare the impact of long-duration AHRE on MACE development between patients with and without a history of atrial fibrillation (AF). This single-center observational study included 132 CIED-implanted patients with AHREs detected via remote monitoring. The population was dichotomized into groups: with (n = 69) and without (n = 63) AF. In each group, cumulative incidences of MACEs comprising all-cause deaths, heart failure hospitalizations, strokes, and acute coronary syndromes were compared between patients with AHRE durations of ≥24 h and <24 h. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify predictors of MACEs among patients without AF. MACE incidence was significantly higher in patients with AHRE ≥24 h than in those with <24 h in the group without AF (92% vs. 30%, p = 0.005). MACE incidence did not significantly differ between AHRE ≥24 h and <24 h in the group with AF (54% vs. 26%, p = 0.44). After a multivariate adjustment, AHRE duration of ≥24 h emerged as the only independent predictor of MACEs among patients without AF (p = 0.03). In conclusion, a long-duration AHRE was prognostic in patients without a history of AF but not in patients with a history of AHREs.

| S-EPMC8954400 | biostudies-literature

Endoscopy and implantable electronic devices.

Project description:The increasing use of implantable electronic devices such as cardiac pacemakers and neurostimulators means that they are being increasingly encountered in endoscopy departments. The electromagnetic fields generated during electrosurgery and with magnetic imaging systems have the potential to interfere with such devices. The authors present a case that highlights some of the steps necessary for minimising risk, review the evidence and summarise the currently available guidance.

| S-EPMC5517255 | biostudies-other

Atrial high-rate episodes predict major adverse cardio/cerebrovascular events in patients with cardiac implantable electrical devices.

Project description:Patients with atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) have a high risk of neurologic events, although the causal role and optimal cutoff threshold of AHRE for major adverse cardio/cerebrovascular events (MACCE) are unknown. This study aimed to identify independent factors for AHRE and subsequent atrial fibrillation (AF) after documented AHRE. We enrolled 470 consecutive patients undergoing cardiac implantable electrical device (CIED) implantations. The primary endpoint was subsequent MACCE after AHRE ≥ 6 min, 6 h, and 24 h. AHRE was defined as > 175 beats per minute (bpm) (Medtronic®) or > 200 bpm (Biotronik®) lasting ≥ 30 s. Multivariate Cox regression analysis with time-dependent covariates was used to determine variables associated with independent risk of MACCE. The patients' median age was 76 year, and 126 patients (26.8%) developed AHRE ≥ 6 min, 63 (13.4%) ≥ 6 h, and 39 (8.3%) ≥ 24 h. During follow-up (median: 29 months), 142 MACCE occurred in 123 patients. Optimal AHRE cutoff value was 6 min, with highest Youden index for MACCE. AHRE ≥ 6 min ~ 24 h was independently associated with MACCE and predicted subsequent AF. Male gender, lower body mass index, or BMI, and left atrial diameter were independently associated with AHRE ≥ 6 min ~ 24 h. Patients with CIEDs who develop AHRE ≥ 6 min have an independently increased risk of MACCE. Comprehensive assessment of patients with CIEDs is warranted.

| S-EPMC8460667 | biostudies-literature

Risk of Atrial Fibrillation and Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices.

Project description:Background and objectivesComprehensive epidemiological data are lacking on the incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). This study aimed to examine the incidence, risk factors, and AF-related adverse outcomes of patients with CIEDs.MethodsThis was an observational cohort study that analyzed patients without prevalent AF who underwent CIED implantation in 2009-2018 using a Korean nationwide claims database. The subjects were divided into three groups by CIED type and indication: pacemaker (n=21,438), implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD)/cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) with heart failure (HF) (n=3,450), and ICD for secondary prevention without HF (n=2,146). The incidence of AF, AF-associated predictors, and adverse outcomes were evaluated.ResultsDuring follow-up, the incidence of AF was 4.3, 7.3, and 5.1 per 100 person-years in the pacemaker, ICD/CRT with HF, and ICD without HF cohorts, respectively. Across the three cohorts, older age and valvular heart disease were commonly associated with incident AF. Incident AF was consistently associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (3.8-11.4-fold), admission for HF (2.6-10.5-fold), hospitalization for any cause (2.4-2.7-fold), all-cause death (4.1-5.0-fold), and composite outcomes (3.4-5.7-fold). Oral anticoagulation rates were suboptimal in patients with incident AF (pacemaker, 51.3%; ICD/CRT with HF, 51.7%; and ICD without HF, 33.8%, respectively).ConclusionsA substantial proportion of patients implanted CIED developed newly diagnosed AF. Incident AF was associated with a higher risk of adverse events. The importance of awareness, early detection, and appropriate management of AF in patients with CIED should be emphasized.

| S-EPMC10784609 | biostudies-literature

Cost-effectiveness analysis of cardiac implantable electronic devices with reactive atrial-based antitachycardia pacing.

Project description:AimsReactive atrial-based anti-tachycardia pacing (rATP) in pacemakers (PMs) and cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators (CRT-Ds) has been reported to prevent progression of atrial fibrillation, and this reduced progression is expected to decrease the risk of complications such as stroke and heart failure (HF). This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of rATP in PMs and CRT-Ds in the Japanese public health insurance system.Methods and resultsWe developed a Markov model comprising five states: bradycardia, post-stroke, mild HF, severe HF, and death. For devices with rATP and control devices without rATP, we compared the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) from the payer's perspective. Costs were estimated from healthcare resource utilisation data in a Japanese claims database. We evaluated model uncertainty by analysing two scenarios for each device. The ICER was 763 729 JPY/QALY (5616 EUR/QALY) for PMs and 1,393 280 JPY/QALY (10 245 EUR/QALY) for CRT-Ds. In all scenarios, ICERs were below 5 million JPY/QALY (36 765 EUR/QALY), supporting robustness of the results.ConclusionAccording to a willingness to pay threshold of 5 million JPY/QALY, the devices with rATP were cost-effective compared with control devices without rATP, showing that the higher reimbursement price of the functional categories with rATP is justified from a healthcare economic perspective.

| S-EPMC10062312 | biostudies-literature

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