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Soluble ST2 and All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease-A 10-Year Cohort Study.

ABSTRACT: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an inflammatory condition with constantly increasing mortality rates. Interleukin (IL)-33 and its decoy receptor, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2), play a central role in the inflammatory response during infection. sST2 was suggested as a factor in the pathogenesis of COPD and emerged as a predictor of mortality in other non-communicable diseases. The role of sST2 as a predictor of mortality remains unclear in COPD yet. In this cohort study, we measured circulating concentrations of IL-33 and sST2 in the serum of patients with stable COPD (n = 59), patients with acute exacerbation of COPD (n = 29) and smoking (n = 20) and non-smoking controls (n = 20), using commercially available ELISAs, and investigated the prognostic role of sST2 in stable COPD. sST2 levels were significantly higher in COPD patients and smokers compared with non-smoking controls. We identified systolic blood pressure, forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1% predicted), neutrophil count, lactate dehydrogenase and pack-years index as independent predictors of sST2 levels. During a median follow-up time of 10.6 years, 28 patients (47.5%) died. sST2 was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with COPD with a hazard ratio of 2.9 (95% CI 1.1-8.4, p = 0.035) per one standard deviation after adjustment for age, sex, pack-years, FEV1% predicted and C-reactive protein (CRP). sST2 concentrations are associated with severity of disease and long-term outcome in patients with COPD.

SUBMITTER: Urban MH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8745630 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundHeart failure (HF) is the terminal stage of all cardiovascular events. Although implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapies have reduced mortality among the high-risk HF population, it is necessary to determine whether certain factors can predict mortality even after cardiac device implantation. Growth stimulation expressed gene 2 (ST2) is an emerging biomarker for HF patient stratification in different clinical settings.AimsThis study aimed to investigate the relationship between baseline soluble ST2 (sST2) levels in serum and the clinical outcomes of high-risk HF patients with device implantation.MethodsBetween January 2017 and August 2018, we prospectively recruited consecutive patients implanted with an ICD for heart failure, with LVEF ≤35% as recommended, and analyzed the basic characteristics, baseline serum sST2, and NT-proBNP levels, with at least 1-year follow-up. All-cause mortality was the primary endpoint.ResultsDuring a 643-day follow-up, all-cause mortality occurred in 16 of 150 patients (10.67%). Incidence of all-cause mortality increased significantly in patients with sST2 levels above 34.98846 ng/ml (16.00% vs. 5.33%, P = 0.034). After adjusting the model (age, gender, device implantation, prevention of sudden death, LVEDD, LVEF, WBC and CLBBB, hsTNT, etiology, and eGFR) and the model combined with NT-proBNP, the risk of all-cause death was increased by 2.5% and 1.9%, respectively, per ng/ml of sST2. The best sST2 cutoff for predicting all-cause death was 43.42671 ng/ml (area under the curve: 0.72, sensitive: 0.69, and specificity: 0.69). Compared to patients with sST2 levels below 43.42671 ng/ml, the risk of all-cause mortality was higher in those with values above the threshold (5.1% vs. 21.2%, P = 0.002). ST2 level ≥43.42671 ng/ml was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR: 3.30 [95% CI 1.02-10.67]). Age (HR: 1.06 [95% CI: 1.01-1.12]) and increased NT-proBNP per 100 (HR: 1.02 [95% CI: 1.01-1.03]) were also associated with all-cause mortality in ICD patients.ConclusionssST2 level was associated with risk of all-cause mortality, and a threshold of 43.43 ng/ml showed good distinguishing performance to predict all-cause mortality in patients with severe heart failure, recommended for ICD implantation. Patients with sST2 levels more than 43.42671 ng/ml even after ICD implantation should therefore be monitored carefully.

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Soluble ST2 and All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease-A 10-Year Cohort Study.

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