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Adenoma to Colorectal Cancer Estimated Transition Rates Stratified by BMI Categories-A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Asymptomatic Individuals from Screening Colonoscopy Program.

ABSTRACT: Most colorectal cancers (CRC) assumedly develop from precursor lesions, i.e., colorectal adenomas (adenoma-carcinoma sequence). Epidemiological and clinical data supporting this hypothesis are limited. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to estimate relative dynamics of colorectal adenoma-carcinoma sequence for groups of screenees stratified by BMI (body mass index) based on prevalence data from Polish Colonoscopy Screening Program (PCSP). We performed a cross-sectional analysis of database records of individuals who entered the national opportunistic colonoscopy screening program for CRC in Poland. We calculated prevalence of adenomas and CRCs adjusted for sex, 5-year age group, family history of CRC, smoking, diabetes and use of aspirin, hormonal therapy and proton-pump inhibitors use. Thereafter we calculated estimated transition rate (eTR) with confidence intervals (CIs) defined as adjusted prevalence of more advanced lesion divided by adjusted prevalence of less advanced lesion. All analyzes were stratified according to the BMI categories: normal (BMI 18.0 to <25.0), overweight (BMI 25.0 to <30.0) and obese (BMI ≥ 30.0). Results are reported in the same respective order. After exclusions we performed analyses on 147,385 individuals. We found that prevalence of non-advanced adenomas is increasing with BMI category (12.19%, 13.81%, 14.70%, respectively; p < 0.001). Prevalence of advanced adenomas was increasing with BMI category (5.20%, 5.77%, 6.61%, respectively; p < 0.001). Early CRCs prevalence was the highest for obese individuals (0.55%) and the lowest for overweight individuals (0.44%) with borderline significance (p = 0.055). For advanced CRC we found that prevalence seems to be inversely related to BMI category, however no statistically significant differences were observed (0.35%, 0.31%, 0.28%; p = 0.274). eTR for non-advanced adenoma to advanced adenoma is higher for obese individuals than for overweight individuals with bordering CIs (42.65% vs. 41.81% vs. 44.95%) eTR for advanced adenoma to early CRC is highest for normal individuals, however CIs are overlapping with remaining BMI categories (9.02% vs. 7.67% vs. 8.39%). eTR for early CRC to advanced CRC is lower for obese individuals in comparison to both normal and overweight individuals with marginally overlapping CIs (73.73% vs. 69.90% vs. 50.54%). Obese individuals are more likely to develop adenomas, advanced adenomas and early CRC but less likely to progress to advanced CRC. Therefore, this study provides new evidence that obesity paradox exists for colorectal cancer.

SUBMITTER: Spychalski P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8750540 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:The adenoma detection rate (ADR) varies widely between physicians, possibly due to patient population differences, hampering direct ADR comparison. We developed and validated a prediction model for adenoma detection in an effort to determine if physicians' ADRs should be adjusted for patient-related factors.Screening and surveillance colonoscopy data from the cross-sectional multicenter cluster-randomized Endoscopic Quality Improvement Program-3 (EQUIP-3) study (NCT02325635) was used. The dataset was split into two cohorts based on center. A prediction model for detection of ?1 adenoma was developed using multivariable logistic regression and subsequently internally (bootstrap resampling) and geographically validated. We compared predicted to observed ADRs.The derivation (5 centers, 35 physicians, overall-ADR: 36%) and validation (4 centers, 31 physicians, overall-ADR: 40%) cohort included respectively 9934 and 10034 patients (both cohorts: 48% male, median age 60 years). Independent predictors for detection of ?1 adenoma were: age (optimism-corrected odds ratio (OR): 1.02; 95%-confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.03), male sex (OR: 1.73; 95%-CI: 1.60-1.88), body mass index (OR: 1.02; 95%-CI: 1.01-1.03), American Society of Anesthesiology physical status class (OR class II vs. I: 1.29; 95%-CI: 1.17-1.43, OR class ?III vs. I: 1.57; 95%-CI: 1.32-1.86), surveillance versus screening (OR: 1.39; 95%-CI: 1.27-1.53), and Hispanic or Latino ethnicity (OR: 1.13; 95%-CI: 1.00-1.27). The model's discriminative ability was modest (C-statistic in the derivation: 0.63 and validation cohort: 0.60). The observed ADR was considerably lower than predicted for 12/66 (18.2%) physicians and 2/9 (22.2%) centers, and considerably higher than predicted for 18/66 (27.3%) physicians and 4/9 (44.4%) centers.The substantial variation in ADRs could only partially be explained by patient-related factors. These data suggest that ADR variation could likely also be due to other factors, e.g. physician or technical issues.

Project description:ImportanceIndividuals with adenomatous polyps are advised to undergo repeated colonoscopy surveillance to prevent subsequent colorectal cancer (CRC), but the relationship between adenomas at colonoscopy and long-term CRC incidence is unclear.ObjectiveTo compare long-term CRC incidence by colonoscopy adenoma findings.Design, setting, and participantsMulticenter, prospective cohort study of participants in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer randomized clinical trial of flexible sigmoidoscopy (FSG) beginning in 1993 with follow-up for CRC incidence to 2013 across the United States. Participants included 154 900 men and women aged 55 to 74 years enrolled in PLCO of whom 15 935 underwent colonoscopy following their first positive FSG screening result. The final day of follow-up was December 31, 2013.ExposuresEnrolled participants had been randomized to FSG or usual care. Participants who underwent FSG and had abnormal findings were referred for follow-up. Subsequent colonoscopy findings were categorized as advanced adenoma (≥1 cm, high-grade dysplasia, or tubulovillous or villous histology), nonadvanced adenoma (<1 cm without advanced histology), or no adenoma.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was CRC incidence within 15 years of the baseline colonoscopy. The secondary outcome was CRC mortality.ResultsThere were 15 935 participants who underwent colonoscopy (men, 59.7%; white, 90.7%; median age, 64 y [IQR, 61-68]). On initial colonoscopy, 2882 participants (18.1%) had an advanced adenoma, 5068 participants (31.8%) had a nonadvanced adenoma, and 7985 participants (50.1%) had no adenoma; median follow-up for CRC incidence was 12.9 years. CRC incidence rates per 10 000 person-years of observation were 20.0 (95% CI, 15.3-24.7; n = 70) for advanced adenoma, 9.1 (95% CI, 6.7-11.5; n = 55) for nonadvanced adenoma, and 7.5 (95% CI, 5.8-9.7; n = 71) for no adenoma. Participants with advanced adenoma were significantly more likely to develop CRC compared with participants with no adenoma (rate ratio [RR], 2.7 [95% CI, 1.9-3.7]; P < .001). There was no significant difference in CRC risk between participants with nonadvanced adenoma compared with no adenoma (RR, 1.2 [95% CI, 0.8-1.7]; P = .30). Compared with participants with no adenoma, those with advanced adenoma were at significantly increased risk of CRC death (RR, 2.6 [95% CI, 1.2-5.7], P = .01), but mortality risk in participants with nonadvanced adenoma was not significantly different (RR, 1.2 [95% CI, 0.5-2.7], P = .68).Conclusions and relevanceOver a median of 13 years of follow-up, participants with an advanced adenoma at diagnostic colonoscopy prompted by a positive flexible sigmoidoscopy result were at significantly increased risk of developing colorectal cancer compared with those with no adenoma. Identification of nonadvanced adenoma may not be associated with increased colorectal cancer risk.Trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00002540.

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Adenoma to Colorectal Cancer Estimated Transition Rates Stratified by BMI Categories-A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Asymptomatic Individuals from Screening Colonoscopy Program.

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