Establishing a prognostic model for metachronous second squamous cell lung cancer in patients with resected squamous cell lung cancer.
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ABSTRACT: Background
For metachronous second pulmonary squamous cell carcinoma (msPSC) in patients with resected PSC, the method to distinguish tumour clonality has not yet been well established, which makes it difficult to determine accurate staging and predict prognosis.Methods
Patients who underwent surgery for first PSC and encountered msPSC were recruited from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We extracted overall survival 1 (OS1) for the first PSC, overall survival 2 (OS2) for msPSC, and interval survival for the time interval between the first and second PSC. The nomogram was calibrated for OS2, and recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed for risk stratification.Results
A total of 617 patients were identified. Several independent prognostic factors were identified and integrated into the nomogram for OS2, including gender, age (2nd), nodal status (1st), node metastasis (2nd), and extrapulmonary metastasis (2nd). The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predictions and actual observations, and the c-index was 0.678. Surgery was associated with longer survival for msPSC patients. The prognosis of sublobectomy was comparable and inferior to that of lobectomy in the low- and moderate-risk groups, respectively. Radiotherapy was associated with better outcomes in patients who did not undergo surgery.Conclusions
The RPA-based clinical nomogram appears to be suitable for the prognostic prediction and risk stratification of OS2 in msPSC. This practical system may help clinicians make decisions and design clinical studies.
SUBMITTER: Fu SS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8828508 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:ObjectivesThe optimal surgical approach for metachronous second primary lung cancer (MSPLC), especially ipsilateral MSPLC, remains unclear. This study aimed to review postoperative complications and examine surgical outcomes based on the extent of resection after surgery for ipsilateral MSPLC.MethodsClinical data from 61 consecutive patients who underwent pulmonary resection for ipsilateral MSPLC according to the Martini-Melamed criteria between January 2005 and December 2017 in 3 institutes were retrospectively reviewed.ResultsPostoperative complications were identified in 12 patients (19.7%). Regarding the combination of initial and second surgery, intraoperative bleeding was significantly greater in patients with anatomic-anatomic resection than in others (P < 0.001). Operation time was significantly longer in patients with anatomic-anatomic resection than in others (P < 0.001). However, postoperative complications showed no significant differences based on the combination of surgeries. Five-year overall survival rates in patients with anatomic resection and wedge resection after second surgery were 75.8% and 75.8%, respectively (P = 0.738), and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates were 54.2% and 67.6%, respectively (P = 0.368). Cox multivariate analysis identified ever-smoker status (P = 0.029), poor performance status (P = 0.011) and tumour size >20 mm (P = 0.001) as independent predictors of poor overall survival, while ever-smoker status (P = 0.040) and tumour size >20 mm (P = 0.007) were considered independent predictors of poor recurrence-free survival.ConclusionsRegarding postoperative and long-term outcomes for patients with ipsilateral MSPLC, surgical intervention is safe and offers good long-term survival. Wedge resection is an acceptable provided tumours ≤2 cm and ground-glass opacity-predominant as a second surgery for early-stage ipsilateral MSPLC.
| S-EPMC8691583 | biostudies-literature
Project description:With the increase of long-term primary lung cancer survivors, studies focused on metachronous second primary lung cancer (SPLC) have become very urgent. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram and determine therapeutic options of cancer-specific death for patients with metachronous SPLC with and without the competing risk of other-specific death. Study population came from the SEER-18 database between 2006 and 2016. According to the clinical practice guideline of SPLC, the interval time of IPLC and metachronous SPLC was set to 4 years. We constructed nomograms with Lasso + Cox regression model and competing risk model to predict the prognosis and identify therapeutic options of metachronous SPLC patients with the assessment of model performance by the C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. In addition, two subgroup analyses stratified by histology and tumor size were used to better select therapeutic options for a certain population. 1300 patients with metachronous SPLC were incorporated in this study with 50.1% of the 5-year cumulative incidence in cancer-specific death. Compared with Lasso + Cox regression analysis, competing risk analysis harbored a higher C-index (0.811 vs. 0.76) and better net benefit in predicting cancer-specific death of metachronous SPLC. Two statistical analyses suggested that surgery alone was a preferentially therapeutic option of metachronous SPLC, whereas the effect of surgery + radiation in treating metachronous SPLC was similar to radiation alone. Subgroup analyses indicated that patients with metachronous SPLC were considered receiving different therapeutic options in different histology and tumor size but preferred to receive surgical treatment as the first choice. For primary lung cancer survivors, aggressive surgical treatment was the first-line selection of metachronous SPLC, followed by radiation alone, surgery + radiation, and no surgery + radiation.
| S-EPMC8789464 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPatients who have previously undergone surgical resection of initial primary lung cancer (IPLC) are at high risk of developing second primary lung cancer (SPLC). There are still no standard treatments for SPLC. This study aimed to identify the prognostic factors and compare survival between the different SPLC treatment groups.MethodsSPLC patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2007 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Prognostic factors for SPLC were identified, using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and univariate Cox analysis to select variables for multivariate Cox analysis. Kaplan-Meier method plus log-rank test and restricted mean survival time (RMST) were used to compare survival outcome.ResultsA total of 665 SPLC patients were finally enrolled into the study. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that male vs. female (HR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.29-2.59, P = 0.001), tumor size of SPLC ≥1 cm vs. <1 cm (HR = 1.80, 96% CI: 1.07-3.02, P = 1.028), IPLC characteristics of squamous cell carcinoma vs. adenocarcinoma (HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.17-3.04, P = 0.009), clinical stage II vs. stage I (HR = 2.60, 95% CI: 1.08-6.27, P = 0.033), and T2 stage vs. T1 stage (HR = 1.68, 95% CI: 1.04-2.72, P = 0.034) indicated worse survival. SPLC patients demonstrated a five-year survival rate of 68.6% and a five-year RMST of 49.4 months. The choice of surgical procedure (wedge resection, segmentectomy and lobectomy) for both IPLC and SPLC had no significant effect on prognosis (P > 0.05). Patients that received radiotherapy for SPLC also demonstrated similar survival when compared with those that underwent surgery (P > 0.05).ConclusionsRadiotherapy and sublobar resection can be considered reasonable alternative treatments for SPLC, especially when patients are unable to tolerate lobectomy.
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| S-EPMC8349336 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BACKGROUND:This study was designed to estimate the trends in 5-year incidence of metachronous second primary lung cancer(SPLC) and to establish a risk prediction model to identify candidates who were at high risk of developing metachronous SPLC. METHODS:Incidence data between 2004 and 2007 were obtained from SEER database, including 42453 participants who survived ? 2 years after the initial diagnosis of lung cancer. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate the 5-year incidence rates of metachronous SPLC per 100 000 population. Related risk factors of the survivors who developed MSPLC during five years were identified through logistic regression analysis, followed by establishment of risk prediction nomogram. Discrimination (C-index), calibration and decision analysis were further performed to assess the validation and clinical net benefit of risk prediction nomogram. RESULTS:A total of 1412 survivors with lung cancer developed MSPLC during five years, with 3546 per 100 000 population of age-adjusted 5-year incidence. Age, histology, tumor stage, and radiation were recognized as risk factors of metachronous SPLC, as indicated by logistic regression analysis. The risk prediction nomogram of metachronous SPLC harbored moderate discrimination(C-index = 0.67) and good calibration, with the risk of 0.01 to 0.11.The decision curve analysis showed that clinical net benefit of this risk prediction nomogram in a range of risk thresholds (0.01 to 0.06) was higher compared to all-screening or no-screening strategies. CONCLUSIONS:Collectively, the cumulative risk of metachronous SPLC of the survivors increased over time. The risk prediction nomogram was available to select high-risk survivors who should regularly undergo computed tomography screening.
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| S-EPMC2042516 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundCure and long-term survival for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains hard to achieve. Cellular senescence, an emerging hallmark of cancer, is considered as an endogenous tumor suppressor mechanism. However, senescent cancer cells can paradoxically affect the surrounding tumor microenvironment (TME), ultimately leading to cancer relapse and metastasis. As such, the role of cellular senescence in cancer is highly controversial.MethodsIn 155 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) samples from surgically resected NSCLC patients with pathological tumor-node-metastasis (pTNM) stages I-IV (8th edition), cellular senescence was assessed using a combination of four immunohistochemical senescence markers, i.e., lipofuscin, p16INK4a, p21WAF1/Cip1 and Ki67, and correlated to clinicopathological parameters and outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).ResultsA tumoral senescence signature (SS) was present in 48 out of 155 NSCLC patients, but did not correlate to any clinicopathological parameter, except for p53 mutation status. In a histologically homogenous patient cohort of 100 patients who fulfilled the following criteria: (I) one type of histology, i.e., adenocarcinoma, (II) without known epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation, (III) curative (R0) resection and (IV) no neoadjuvant systemic therapy or radiotherapy, the median OS and DFS for patients with a tumoral SS (n=30, 30.0%) compared to patients without a tumoral SS (n=70, 70.0%) was 53 versus 141 months (P=0.005) and 45 versus 55 months (P=0.25), respectively. In multiple Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) model analysis correcting for age, pTNM stage I-III and adjuvant therapy, a tumoral SS remained a significant prognostic factor for OS (HR =2.03; P=0.014).ConclusionsThe presence of a tumoral SS particularly based on high p16INK4a expression significantly affects OS in NSCLC adenocarcinoma. In this light, adjuvant senolytic therapy could be an interesting strategy for NSCLC patients harboring a tumoral SS, ultimately to improve survival of these patients.
| S-EPMC9459607 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Our study aims to estimate the incidence of metachronous second primary lung cancer(SPLC) in initial primary lung cancer(IPLC) survivors and to determine whether radiotherapy affects the risk of metachronous SPLC in the first five years after the diagnosis of lung cancer. Incidence data of IPLC individuals who survived ?2 years were obtained from SEER-18 database in 2004-2007. Joinpoint regression analysis and competing risk analysis were used to calculate the incidence of metachronous SPLC. Propensity score matching and decision analysis were available to estimate the effect of radiotherapy on metachronous SPLC. 264 of 11657 IPLC survivors with radiotherapy and 1090 of 24499 IPLC survivors without radiotherapy developed metachronous SPLC during 5-year follow-up, respectively. In joinpoint regression analysis, the 5-year incidence of metachronous SPLC in the radiotherapy group was lower than that in the nonradiotherapy group(2385 per 100,000 vs 4748 per 100,000, HR?=?0.43,95% CI:0.39-0.47). Competing risk analysis showed that the survivors with radiotherapy were associated with the lower 5 year incidence of metachronous SPLC compared with those without radiotherapy(2.28% vs 4.47%, HR?=?0.49,95% CI:0.43-0.57). Through propensity score matching, 4077 pairs of survivors were available to further study that radiotherapy potentially decreased the risk of developing metachronous SPLC with the adjustment of various factors(2.5% vs 3.3%, HR?=?0.72, 95% CI:0.55-0.96). Decision analysis suggested that radiotherapy was a negative independent risk factor of metachronous SPLC with clinical net benefit in a range of risk thresholds (2% to 5%). Survivors of IPLC with radiotherapy likely had a low risk of metachronous SPLC during the first five years follow-up, especially non-small cell lung cancer.
| S-EPMC6917769 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundFor selected early stage small cell lung cancer (SCLC), curative intent surgery is often performed. Previous studies, predominantly from East Asia, reported that high neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) correlate with poor prognosis in several types of tumors including SCLC. Our aim was to investigate the prognostic value of NLR and PLR in Caucasian patients with resected SCLC, as potential tool to select patients for multimodal treatment including surgery.MethodsConsecutive patients evaluated at three centers between 2000 and 2013 with histologically confirmed and surgically resected SCLC were retrospectively analyzed. NLR and PLR at diagnosis was used to categorize patients into "high" and "low" groups based on receiver operating curve analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to evaluate the impact of clinical and pathological characteristics on outcome.ResultsThere were a total of 189 patients with a median age of 58 years, and the majority had stage I or II disease. We found a significant correlation between NLR and tumor stage (p = 0.007) and age (p = 0.038). Low NLR (LNLR) was associated with significantly longer overall survival, while PLR had no prognostic impact. There were significant associations between NLR and PLR but not with gender, vascular involvement, tumor necrosis, peritumoral inflammation, or tumor grade.ConclusionPre-operative LNLR may be a favorable prognostic factor in stage I-II SCLCs. PLR is not prognostic in this population. LNLR is easy to assess and can be integrated into routine clinical practice. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these observations.
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