Establishing a prognostic model for metachronous second squamous cell lung cancer in patients with resected squamous cell lung cancer.
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ABSTRACT: Background
For metachronous second pulmonary squamous cell carcinoma (msPSC) in patients with resected PSC, the method to distinguish tumour clonality has not yet been well established, which makes it difficult to determine accurate staging and predict prognosis.Methods
Patients who underwent surgery for first PSC and encountered msPSC were recruited from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We extracted overall survival 1 (OS1) for the first PSC, overall survival 2 (OS2) for msPSC, and interval survival for the time interval between the first and second PSC. The nomogram was calibrated for OS2, and recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed for risk stratification.Results
A total of 617 patients were identified. Several independent prognostic factors were identified and integrated into the nomogram for OS2, including gender, age (2nd), nodal status (1st), node metastasis (2nd), and extrapulmonary metastasis (2nd). The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predictions and actual observations, and the c-index was 0.678. Surgery was associated with longer survival for msPSC patients. The prognosis of sublobectomy was comparable and inferior to that of lobectomy in the low- and moderate-risk groups, respectively. Radiotherapy was associated with better outcomes in patients who did not undergo surgery.Conclusions
The RPA-based clinical nomogram appears to be suitable for the prognostic prediction and risk stratification of OS2 in msPSC. This practical system may help clinicians make decisions and design clinical studies.
SUBMITTER: Fu SS
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8828508 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundFor selected early stage small cell lung cancer (SCLC), curative intent surgery is often performed. Previous studies, predominantly from East Asia, reported that high neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) correlate with poor prognosis in several types of tumors including SCLC. Our aim was to investigate the prognostic value of NLR and PLR in Caucasian patients with resected SCLC, as potential tool to select patients for multimodal treatment including surgery.MethodsConsecutive patients evaluated at three centers between 2000 and 2013 with histologically confirmed and surgically resected SCLC were retrospectively analyzed. NLR and PLR at diagnosis was used to categorize patients into "high" and "low" groups based on receiver operating curve analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to evaluate the impact of clinical and pathological characteristics on outcome.ResultsThere were a total of 189 patients with a median age of 58 years, and the majority had stage I or II disease. We found a significant correlation between NLR and tumor stage (p = 0.007) and age (p = 0.038). Low NLR (LNLR) was associated with significantly longer overall survival, while PLR had no prognostic impact. There were significant associations between NLR and PLR but not with gender, vascular involvement, tumor necrosis, peritumoral inflammation, or tumor grade.ConclusionPre-operative LNLR may be a favorable prognostic factor in stage I-II SCLCs. PLR is not prognostic in this population. LNLR is easy to assess and can be integrated into routine clinical practice. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these observations.
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