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High postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen as an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer.

ABSTRACT: Postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (post-CEA) has recently been reported to be a reliable prognostic factor for colon cancer. However, most clinicians decide whether or not to conduct adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) for stage II colon cancer according to major guidelines, which do not include post-CEA in their high-risk criteria. The present study aimed to assess post-CEA in stage II colon cancer for which the significance of AC is unknown. The present study analyzed 199 consecutive patients with stage II colon cancer who underwent curative surgery between January 2007 and December 2016. The CEA value was considered high when it was ≥5.0 ng/ml. The prognostic value of high post-CEA values was assessed. Overall, 19 patients exhibited high post-CEA levels. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis demonstrated that patients with high post-CEA levels had significantly worse relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) than those with normal post-CEA [RFS, 63.5 (high post-CEA) vs. 88.0% (normal post-CEA), P=0.003; OS, 76.5 (high post-CEA) vs. 96.8% (normal post-CEA), P<0.001]. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that high post-CEA remained a significant independent risk factor for worse RFS [hazard ratio (HR), 3.98; P=0.006]. The same was also demonstrated for patients without AC (HR, 5.43; P=0.008). To the best of our knowledge, the present study was the first to demonstrate that high post-CEA levels may be an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer, even for patients without AC. These results highlight the need for a multicenter prospective study.

SUBMITTER: Morimoto Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8988258 | biostudies-literature | 2022 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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High postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen as an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer.

Morimoto Yoshihiro Y Takahashi Hidekazu H Arita Asami A Itakura Hiroaki H Fujii Makoto M Sekido Yuki Y Hata Tsuyoshi T Fujino Shiki S Ogino Takayuki T Miyoshi Norikatsu N Uemura Mamoru M Matsuda Chu C Yamamoto Hirofumi H Mizushima Tsunekazu T Doki Yuichiro Y Eguchi Hidetoshi H

Oncology letters 20220330 5

Postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (post-CEA) has recently been reported to be a reliable prognostic factor for colon cancer. However, most clinicians decide whether or not to conduct adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) for stage II colon cancer according to major guidelines, which do not include post-CEA in their high-risk criteria. The present study aimed to assess post-CEA in stage II colon cancer for which the significance of AC is unknown. The present study analyzed 199 consecutive patients with ...[more]

PMID: 35414828

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Project description:ImportanceGuidelines recommend measuring preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in patients with colon cancer. Although persistently elevated CEA after surgery has been associated with increased risk for metastatic disease, prognostic significance of elevated preoperative CEA that normalized after resection is unknown.ObjectiveTo investigate whether patients with elevated preoperative CEA that normalizes after colon cancer resection have a higher risk of recurrence than patients with normal preoperative CEA.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort analysis was conducted at a comprehensive cancer center. Consecutive patients with colon cancer who underwent curative resection for stage I to III colon adenocarcinoma at the center from January 2007 to December 2014 were identified.ExposuresPatients were grouped into 3 cohorts: normal preoperative CEA, elevated preoperative but normalized postoperative CEA, and elevated preoperative and postoperative CEA.Main outcomes and measuresThree-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and hazard function curves over time were analyzed.ResultsA total of 1027 patients (461 [50.4%] male; median [IQR] age, 64 [53-75] years) were identified. Patients with normal preoperative CEA had 7.4% higher 3-year RFS (n = 715 [89.7%]) than the combined cohorts with elevated preoperative CEA (n = 312 [82.3%]) (P = .01) but had RFS similar to that of patients with normalized postoperative CEA (n = 142 [87.9%]) (P = .86). Patients with elevated postoperative CEA had 14.9% lower RFS (n = 57 [74.5%]) than the combined cohorts with normal postoperative CEA (n = 857 [89.4%]) (P = .001). The hazard function of recurrence for elevated postoperative CEA peaked earlier than for the other cohorts. Multivariate analyses confirmed that elevated postoperative CEA (hazard ratio [HR], 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.5), but not normalized postoperative CEA (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.45-1.30), was independently associated with shorter RFS.Conclusions and relevanceElevated preoperative CEA that normalizes after resection is not an indicator of poor prognosis. Routine measurement of postoperative, rather than preoperative, CEA is warranted. Patients with elevated postoperative CEA are at increased risk for recurrence, especially within the first 12 months after surgery.

Project description:BackgroundSerum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is an important biomarker for diagnosis, prognosis, recurrence, metastasis monitoring, and the evaluation of the effect of chemotherapy in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, few studies have focused on the role of early postoperative CEA in the prognosis of stage II CRC.MethodsPatients with stage II CRC diagnosed between January 2007 and December 2015 were included. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to obtain the cutoff value of early postoperative CEA, CEA ratio and CEA absolute value. The areas under curves (AUCs) were used to estimate the predictive abilities of the CEA and T stage. The stepwise regression method was used to screen the factors included in the Cox regression analysis. Before and after propensity score (PS) - adjusted Cox regression and sensitivity analysis were used to identify the relationship between early postoperative CEA and prognosis. Meta-analysis was performed to verify the results. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to estimate the effects of CEA on prognosis.ResultsWe included 1081 eligible patients. ROC curves suggested that the cutoff value of early postoperative CEA was 3.66 ng/ml (P <0.001) and the AUC showed early postoperative CEA was the most significant prognostic marker in stage II CRC (P = 0.0189). The Cox regression and sensitivity analysis before and after adjusting for PS both revealed elevated early postoperative CEA was the strongest independent prognostic factor of OS, DFS, and CSS (P < 0.001). Survival analysis revealed that patients with elevated early postoperative CEA had lower OS (53.62% VS 84.16%), DFS (50.03% VS 86.75%), and CSS (61.77% VS 90.30%) than patients with normal early postoperative CEA (P < 0.001). When the postoperative CEA was positive, the preoperative CEA level showed no significant effect on the patient's prognosis (all P-values were > 0.05). Patients with a CEA ratio ≤0.55 or CEA absolute value ≤-0.98 had a worse prognosis (all P-values were < 0.001). Survival analysis suggested that adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II CRC patients with elevated early postoperative CEA may improve the CSS (P = 0.040).ConclusionsEarly postoperative CEA was a better biomarker for prognosis of stage II CRC patients than T stage and preoperative CEA, and has the potential to become a high-risk factor to guide the prognosis and treatment of stage II CRC patients.

Project description:BackgroundColon cancer incidence is rising in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where resource limitations and cost often dictate treatment decisions. In this study, we evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer treatment in South Africa (ZA) and illustrate how such analyses can inform cancer treatment recommendations in a LMIC.MethodsWe created a decision-analytic Markov model to compare lifetime costs and outcomes for patients with high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer treated with three adjuvant chemotherapy regimens in a public hospital in ZA: capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) for 3 and 6 months, and capecitabine for 6 months, compared to no adjuvant treatment. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in international dollars (I$) per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted, at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold equal to the 2021 ZA gross domestic product per capita (I$13,764/DALY averted).ResultsCAPOX for 3 months was cost-effective for both patients with high-risk stage II and patients with stage III colon cancer (ICER = I$250/DALY averted and I$1042/DALY averted, respectively), compared to no adjuvant chemotherapy. In subgroup analyses of patients by tumor stage and number of positive lymph nodes, for patients with high-risk stage II colon cancer and T4 tumors, and patients with stage III colon cancer with T4 or N2 disease. CAPOX for 6 months was cost-effective and the optimal strategy. The optimal strategy in other settings will vary by local WTP thresholds. Decision analytic tools can be used to identify cost-effective cancer treatment strategies in resource-constrained settings.ConclusionColon cancer incidence is increasing in low- and middle-income countries, including South Africa, where resource constraints can impact treatment decisions. This cost-effectiveness study evaluates three systemic adjuvant chemotherapy options, compared to surgery alone, for patients in South African public hospitals after surgical resection for high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer. Doublet adjuvant chemotherapy (capecitabine and oxaliplatin) for 3 months is the cost-effective strategy and should be recommended in South Africa.

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High postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen as an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer.

Publications

High postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen as an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer.

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