Dataset Information

Long-term mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection: A national cohort study from Estonia.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The objective of this study was to describe 12-month mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with a reference population with no history of SARS-CoV-2.

Methods

Nationwide cohort study using electronic health care data on SARS-CoV-2 RNA positive cases (n= 66,287) and reference group subjects (n=254,969) with linkage to SARS-CoV-2 testing and death records.

Findings

People infected with SARS-COV-2 had more than three times the risk of dying over the following year compared with those who remained uninfected (aHR 3·1, 95%CI 2·9-3·3). Short-term mortality (up to 5 weeks post-infection) was significantly higher among COVID-19 group (1623·0/10 000) than in the reference group (118/10 000). For COVID-19 cases aged 60 years or older, increased mortality persisted until the end of the first year after infection, and was related to increased risk for cardiovascular (aHR 2·1, 95%CI 1·8-2·3), cancer (aHR 1·5, 95%CI 1·2-1·9), respiratory system diseases (aHR 1·9, 95%CI 1·2-3·0), and other causes of death (aHR 1·8, 95%CI 1·4-2·2).

Interpretation

Increased risk of death from SARS-CoV-2 is not limited to the acute illness: SARS-CoV-2 infection carries a substantially increased mortality in the following 12 months. This excess death mainly occurs in older people and is driven by broad array of causes of death.

Funding

Research was carried out with the support of Estonian Research Council (grants PRG1197, PRG198), European Regional Development Fund (RITA 1/02-120) and European Social Fund via IT Academy program.

SUBMITTER: Uuskula A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9051903 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:ObjectivesStudies have reported high incidences of stroke in patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2, but the impact of disease severity is unexplored. We aimed to estimate the risk of incident ischaemic stroke in SARS-CoV-2 test-positive individuals compared with test-negative individuals stratified by disease severity during acute infection and post infection.DesignA register-based cohort study.SettingA Danish nationwide study.ParticipantsAll Danish adults who had PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2 performed between 1 March 2020 and 30 November 2021. Test-positive individuals were included at their first positive test. For individuals tested prior to 30 November 2021, we randomly sampled an index date from the distribution of test dates among SARS-CoV-2 test-positive individuals. Test-positive individuals were followed during the acute phase of infection (days 0-14) and post infection (180 days after the acute phase). Test-negative individuals were followed in equivalent time periods.Primary and secondary outcome measuresIncident ischaemic stroke risk in SARS-CoV-2 test-positive individuals compared with test-negative individuals during acute infection and post infection. We calculated subdistribution HRs (SHR) with death as a competing risk using propensity score weighting as confounder control. The risk was stratified according to disease severity: community managed, hospitalised, or admission to the intensive care unit.ResultsAmong 3 910 219 SARS-CoV-2 PRC-tested individuals, 356 421 test-positive and 3 067 456 test-negative individuals were included. A positive SARS-CoV-2 test was associated with an SHR of 3.32 (95% CI 2.60 to 4.25) overall for stroke compared with test negative in the acute phase. In the postinfection period, the risk of stroke remained increased in individuals hospitalised during the acute phase (SHR 1.85, 95% CI 1.45 to 2.37). Individuals with community-managed SARS-CoV-2 had no increased long-term risk of stroke (SHR 1.01, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.16).ConclusionSARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with increased stroke risk. Disease severity seems to be an important factor. Individuals with community-managed SARS-CoV-2 had no increased stroke risk.