Dataset Information

Risk Factors Associated With SARS-CoV-2 Breakthrough Infections in Fully mRNA-Vaccinated Individuals: Retrospective Analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

COVID-19 messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines have demonstrated efficacy and effectiveness in preventing symptomatic COVID-19, while being relatively safe in trial studies. However, vaccine breakthrough infections have been reported.

Objective

This study aims to identify risk factors associated with COVID-19 breakthrough infections among fully mRNA-vaccinated individuals.

Methods

We conducted a series of observational retrospective analyses using the electronic health records (EHRs) of the Columbia University Irving Medical Center/New York Presbyterian (CUIMC/NYP) up to September 21, 2021. New York City (NYC) adult residences with at least 1 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) record were included in this analysis. Poisson regression was performed to assess the association between the breakthrough infection rate in vaccinated individuals and multiple risk factors-including vaccine brand, demographics, and underlying conditions-while adjusting for calendar month, prior number of visits, and observational days in the EHR.

Results

The overall estimated breakthrough infection rate was 0.16 (95% CI 0.14-0.18). Individuals who were vaccinated with Pfizer/BNT162b2 (incidence rate ratio [IRR] against Moderna/mRNA-1273=1.66, 95% CI 1.17-2.35) were male (IRR against female=1.47, 95% CI 1.11-1.94) and had compromised immune systems (IRR=1.48, 95% CI 1.09-2.00) were at the highest risk for breakthrough infections. Among all underlying conditions, those with primary immunodeficiency, a history of organ transplant, an active tumor, use of immunosuppressant medications, or Alzheimer disease were at the highest risk.

Conclusions

Although we found both mRNA vaccines were effective, Moderna/mRNA-1273 had a lower incidence rate of breakthrough infections. Immunocompromised and male individuals were among the highest risk groups experiencing breakthrough infections. Given the rapidly changing nature of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, continued monitoring and a generalizable analysis pipeline are warranted to inform quick updates on vaccine effectiveness in real time.

SUBMITTER: Liu C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9132195 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:ObjectiveWe aimed to identify risk factors for hospital admission and severe disease among fully vaccinated (FV) individuals with COVID-19. Further, we investigated if risk factors for hospitalization and severe disease are similar between unvaccinated (UV) and vaccinated individuals.MethodsThis was a multicenter, observational cohort analysis from a large regional healthcare system in metro Detroit using electronic health record data to evaluate risk factors for hospitalization and severe COVID-19 disease. Vaccination data were retrieved using electronic medical records linked to our statewide immunization database. Consecutive adult FV and UV patients with a primary admission diagnosis of COVID-19 were included in the comparative analysis. Partially vaccinated patients and patients who had received a booster dose were excluded. The primary outcome of this study was hospital admission and severe disease inclusive of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation, or death.ResultsBetween December 15, 2020 and December 19, 2021, 20,584 emergency department visits met our inclusion criteria. Among these, 2005 (9.7%) visits consisted of FV individuals, 18,579 (90.3%) were UV, and 40.3% of UV and 52.7% of FV required hospitalization with similar (12.7% and 12.6%, respectively) rates of severe disease. Hospitalized UV patients with severe disease were younger than their FV counterparts (49.5% <65 years vs. 13.5% p < 0.001). Risk factors for severe disease on UV and FV included age ≥65 years (UV: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-1.73, p < 0.001 and FV: aOR 2.50, 95% CI 1.44-4.36 p = 0.001) and weighted Elixhauser score >10 (UV: aOR 9.11, 95% CI 6.92-12.00, p < 0.001 and FV: aOR 6.04, 95% CI 2.68-13.26, p < 0.001). However, only on UV status, body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg/m2 was associated with increased odds of severe disease (aOR 2.59, 95% CI 2.09-3.22, p < 0.001).ConclusionsFV patients with breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection who require hospitalization and have severe disease are older and have more medical comorbidities compared to UV patients. When comparing risk factors for severe disease between UV and FV individuals, FV status is particularly associated with reduced risk among patients with a BMI ≥30 kg/m2 and a moderate number of medical comorbidities, regardless of age, highlighting the importance of vaccination in these particularly vulnerable groups.