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ABSTRACT: Aims/introduction
We aimed to study the predictive ability of visit-to-visit variability in albuminuria for changes in renal function in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.Materials and methods
The cohort study was carried out in a single medical center. In the model development cohort of 1008 subjects, we developed the albuminuria variability score (AVS) to evaluate the visit-to-visit variability in albuminuria, which was the percentage of the number of changes in the urine albumin : creatinine ratio ≥3.39 mg/mmol among all visit-to-visit urine albumin : creatinine ratio differences within an individual. Multivariate logistic regression was applied to predict the influence of AVS levels on the occurrence of study end-points. In another independent validation cohort of 310 participants, survival analysis was carried out to evaluate the ability of AVS in predicting the study end-point.Results
In the model development cohort, a higher AVS was associated with higher adjusted odds of having a declined or rapidly declined estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectory (1.84, 95% confidence interval 1.23-2.76 and 5.70, 95% confidence interval 2.28-14.25, respectively), a resultant eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (2.61, 95% confidence interval 1.63-4.16) and a >40% decline in eGFR from baseline (6.44, 95% confidence interval 2.15-19.26). In the validation cohort, a higher AVS independently predicted a 5-year decrease of >40% in eGFR to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio 3.33, 95% confidence interval 1.10-10.05). Integrated discrimination index and concordance statistics showed that AVS significantly improved the predictive ability of the models.Conclusions
Visit-to-visit variability in albuminuria can independently predict long-term renal function deterioration in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Further investigations are warranted to elucidate the potential clinical applications.
SUBMITTER: Lin CH
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9153848 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Lin Chih-Hung CH Lai Ying-Chuen YC Chang Tien-Jyun TJ Jiang Yi-Der YD Chang Yi-Cheng YC Chuang Lee-Ming LM
Journal of diabetes investigation 20220216 6
<h4>Aims/introduction</h4>We aimed to study the predictive ability of visit-to-visit variability in albuminuria for changes in renal function in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.<h4>Materials and methods</h4>The cohort study was carried out in a single medical center. In the model development cohort of 1008 subjects, we developed the albuminuria variability score (AVS) to evaluate the visit-to-visit variability in albuminuria, which was the percentage of the number of changes in the urine ...[more]