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ABSTRACT: Background
Risk stratification plays an essential role in the management of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The current European guidelines propose a three-stratum model to categorise risk as low, intermediate or high, based on the expected 1-year mortality. However, with this model, most patients are categorised as intermediate risk. We investigated a modified approach based on four risk categories, with intermediate risk subdivided into intermediate-low and intermediate-high risk.Methods
We analysed data from the Comparative, Prospective Registry of Newly Initiated Therapies for Pulmonary Hypertension (COMPERA), a European pulmonary hypertension registry, and calculated risk at diagnosis and first follow-up based on World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walk distance (6MWD) and serum levels of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP), using refined cut-off values. Survival was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analyses, log-rank testing and Cox proportional hazards models.Results
Data from 1655 patients with PAH were analysed. Using the three-stratum model, most patients were classified as intermediate risk (76.0% at baseline and 63.9% at first follow-up). The refined four-stratum risk model yielded a more nuanced separation and predicted long-term survival, especially at follow-up assessment. Changes in risk from baseline to follow-up were observed in 31.1% of the patients with the three-stratum model and in 49.2% with the four-stratum model. These changes, including those between the intermediate-low and intermediate-high strata, were associated with changes in long-term mortality risk.Conclusions
Modified risk stratification using a four-stratum model based on refined cut-off levels for functional class, 6MWD and BNP/NT-proBNP was more sensitive to prognostically relevant changes in risk than the original three-stratum model.
SUBMITTER: Hoeper MM
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9260123 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Hoeper Marius M MM Pausch Christine C Olsson Karen M KM Huscher Doerte D Pittrow David D Grünig Ekkehard E Staehler Gerd G Vizza Carmine Dario CD Gall Henning H Distler Oliver O Opitz Christian C Gibbs J Simon R JSR Delcroix Marion M Ghofrani H Ardeschir HA Park Da-Hee DH Ewert Ralf R Kaemmerer Harald H Kabitz Hans-Joachim HJ Skowasch Dirk D Behr Juergen J Milger Katrin K Halank Michael M Wilkens Heinrike H Seyfarth Hans-Jürgen HJ Held Matthias M Dumitrescu Daniel D Tsangaris Iraklis I Vonk-Noordegraaf Anton A Ulrich Silvia S Klose Hans H Claussen Martin M Lange Tobias J TJ Rosenkranz Stephan S
The European respiratory journal 20220707 1
<h4>Background</h4>Risk stratification plays an essential role in the management of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The current European guidelines propose a three-stratum model to categorise risk as low, intermediate or high, based on the expected 1-year mortality. However, with this model, most patients are categorised as intermediate risk. We investigated a modified approach based on four risk categories, with intermediate risk subdivided into intermediate-low and interme ...[more]