Dataset Information

Initial Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Viral Load Is Associated With Disease Severity: A Retrospective Cohort Study

ABSTRACT: Abstract

Background

We assessed the association between severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) viral load and hospital admission, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and in-hospital mortality.

Methods

All SARS-CoV-2–positive persons with a combined nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swab that was collected between 17 March 2020 and 31 March 2021 in public health testing facilities were included.

Results

From 20 207 SARS-CoV-2–positive persons, 310 (1.5%) were hospitalized within 30 days. High viral loads (crossing point [Cp] <25) were associated with an increased risk of hospitalization as compared to low viral loads (Cp >30), adjusted for age and sex (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.57 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.11–2.26]). The same association was seen for ICU admission (aOR, 7.06 [95% CI, 2.15–43.57]). The median [interquartile range] Cp value of the 17 patients who died in hospital was significantly lower compared to the 226 survivors (22.7 [3.4] vs 25.0 [5.2]).

Conclusions

Higher initial SARS-CoV-2 viral load is associated with an increased risk of hospital admission, ICU admission, and in-hospital mortality. Our findings emphasize the added value of reporting SARS-CoV-2 viral load or cycle threshold/Cp values to identify persons who are at the highest risk of adverse outcomes such as hospital or ICU admission and who therefore may benefit from more intensive monitoring or early initiation of antiviral therapy. Higher initial SARS-CoV-2 viral load is associated with an increased risk of hospital admission, intensive care unit admission, and in-hospital mortality.

SUBMITTER: Souverein D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9272435 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundRecent surges in coronavirus 2019 disease (COVID-19) is attributed to the emergence of more transmissible severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern (VOCs). However, the relative severity of SARS-CoV-2 VOCs in children is unknown.MethodsThis retrospective single-center cohort study was performed at the Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, academic free-standing children's hospital. We included all children ≤ 18 years-old diagnosed with COVID-19 between October 15 th , 2020 and August 31 st , 2021 and whose SARS-CoV-2 isolate was sequenced using the Illumina platform. For each patient sample, we identified the SARS-CoV-2 lineage, which was assigned to one of the following groups: Non-VOC, alpha VOC, beta VOC, gamma VOC, or delta VOC. We measured frequency of 5 markers of COVID-19 severity: hospitalization; COVID-19 pharmacologic treatment; respiratory support; intensive care unit admission; and severe disease as classified by the COVID-19 World Health Organization (WHO) Clinical Progression Scale (severe disease; score ≥ 6). A series of logistic regression models were fitted to estimate odds of each severity marker with each VOC (in comparison to non-VOCs), adjusting for COVID-19 community incidence and demographic and clinical co-variates.ResultsDuring the study period, 2,025 patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2; 1,422 (70.2%) had sufficient viral load to permit sequencing. Among the 499 (35.1%) patients whose isolate was sequenced, median (inter-quartile range) age was 7 (1,12) years; 256 (51.3%) isolates were a VOC: 96 (37.5%) alpha, 38 (14.8%) gamma, and 119 (46.5%) delta. After adjusting for age, Black race, Hispanic ethnicity, high-risk medical conditions, and COVID-19 community incidence, neither alpha nor delta was associated with severe COVID-19. Gamma was independently associated with hospitalization (OR 5.9, 95% CI 1.6-21.5, p =0.007), respiratory support (OR 8.3, 95% CI 1.5-56.3, p =0.02), and severe disease as classified by the WHO Clinical Progression Scale (OR 7.7, 95% CI 1.0-78.1, p =0.05).ConclusionsCompared to non-VOC COVID-19 infections, the gamma VOC, but not the alpha or delta VOCs, was associated with increased severity. These data suggest that recent increased in pediatric COVID-19 hospitalizations are related to increased delta COVID-19 incidence rather than increased delta virulence in children.