Circulating cardiac biomarkers improve risk stratification for incident cardiovascular disease in community dwelling populations.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT: Background
Plasma cardiac markers may assist in prediction of incident cardiovascular disease.Methods
The incremental value of cardiac Troponins (T and I) and NT-proBNP added to risk factors in the PREDICT score for incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in primary care, was assessed in 4102 asymptomatic participants in a randomised controlled trial of Vitamin D (ViDA). Findings were corroborated in 2528 participants in a separate community-based observational registry of CVD-free volunteers (HVOLS).Findings
Hazard ratios for first cardiovascular events adjusted for PREDICT risk factors, comparing fifth to first quintiles of marker plasma concentrations, were 2.57 (95% CI 1.47-4.49); 3.01 (1.66-5.48) and 3.38 (2.04-5.60) for hs-cTnI, hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP respectively. The C statistic for discrimination of the primary endpoint increased from 0.755 to 0.771 (+0.016, p = 0.01). Cardiac marker data correctly reclassified risk upwards in 6.7% of patients and downwards in 3.3%. These findings were corroborated by results from HVOLS.Interpretation
Increments in plasma cardiac biomarkers robustly and reproducibly predicted increased hazard of incident CVD, independent of established risk factors, in two community-dwelling populations. Cardiac markers may augment risk assessment for onset of CVD in primary care.Funding
ViDA was funded by the Health Research Council of New Zealand (grant 10/400) and the Accident Compensation Corporation. HVOLS was funded by the Health Research Council of NZ Programme Grants (grants 02/152 and 08/070) and by grants from the Heart Foundation of NZ and the Christchurch Heart Institute Trust. Roche Diagnostics provided in-kind support for NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT assays and Abbott Laboratories for hs-cTnI assays.
SUBMITTER: Wu Z
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9294489 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Similar Datasets
Project description:BackgroundEchocardiographic measures are known predictors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the general population. This study compared the predictive value of such measures to that of circulating cardiac biomarkers for a composite cardiovascular disease outcome in an aging population.MethodsIn this prospective population-based cohort study, echocardiography was performed at baseline together with assessments of traditional CVD risk factors and circulating cardiac biomarkers, NT-proBNP and troponin I, in 1016 individuals all aged 70 years. Assessments were repeated at ages 75 and 80. A composite CVD outcome (myocardial infarction, heart failure or ischemic stroke) was charted over 15 years. All echocardiography variables, except for the E/A ratio, were analyzed on a continuous scale.ResultsOver 10 years, left atrial (LA) diameter, left ventricular mass index (LVMI) and high E/A ratio (>1.5) increased, while left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) remained unchanged. Using Cox proportional hazard analyses with time-updated variables for echocardiographic measures and traditional risk factors, an enlarged LA diameter and a low LVEF were independently related to incident CVD in 222 participants. The addition of LA diameter and LVEF to traditional risk factors increased the C-statistic by 1.5% (p = 0.008). However, the addition of troponin I and NT-proBNP to traditional risk factors increased the C-statistic by 3.0% (p<0.001).ConclusionAn enlarged LA diameter and a low LVEF improved the prediction of incident CVD compared to traditional risk factors. However, given that troponin I and NT-proBNP improved prediction to a similar extent, the use of simple blood tests to improve clinical cardiovascular disease risk prediction is only further supported by this study.
| S-EPMC9312363 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundAPOL1 renal risk variants are strongly associated with chronic kidney disease in Black adults, but reported associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) have been conflicting.MethodsWe examined associations of APOL1 with incident coronary heart disease (n=323), ischemic stroke (n=331), and the composite CVD outcome (n=500) in 10 605 Black participants of the REGARDS study (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke). Primary analyses compared individuals with APOL1 high-risk genotypes to APOL1 low-risk genotypes in Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for CVD risk factors and African ancestry.ResultsAPOL1 high-risk participants were younger and more likely to have albuminuria at baseline than APOL1 low-risk participants. The risk of incident stroke, coronary heart disease, or composite CVD end point did not significantly differ by APOL1 genotype status in multivariable models. The association of APOL1 genotype with incident composite CVD differed by diabetes mellitus status (Pinteraction=0.004). In those without diabetes mellitus, APOL1 high-risk genotypes associated with greater risk of incident composite CVD (hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.47) compared with those with APOL1 low-risk genotypes in multivariable adjusted models. This latter association was driven by ischemic strokes (hazard ratio, 2.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-4.07), in particular, those related to small vessel disease (hazard ratio, 5.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.55-16.56). There was no statistically significant association of APOL1 genotypes with incident CVD in subjects with diabetes mellitus. The APOL1 high-risk genotype was associated with higher stroke risk in individuals without but not those with chronic kidney disease in fully adjusted models.ConclusionsAPOL1 high-risk status is associated with CVD events in community-dwelling Black adults without diabetes mellitus.
| S-EPMC6339526 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ContextPrior studies have demonstrated conflicting results regarding how much information novel biomarkers add to cardiovascular risk assessment.ObjectiveTo evaluate the utility of contemporary biomarkers for predicting cardiovascular risk when added to conventional risk factors.Design, setting, and participantsCohort study of 5067 participants (mean age, 58 years; 60% women) without cardiovascular disease from Malmö, Sweden, who attended a baseline examination between 1991 and 1994. Participants underwent measurement of C-reactive protein (CRP), cystatin C, lipoprotein-associated phospholipase 2, midregional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM), midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (N-BNP) and underwent follow-up until 2006 using the Swedish national hospital discharge and cause-of-death registers and the Stroke in Malmö register for first cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary death).Main outcome measuresIncident cardiovascular and coronary events.ResultsDuring median follow-up of 12.8 years, there were 418 cardiovascular and 230 coronary events. Models with conventional risk factors had C statistics of 0.758 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.734 to 0.781) and 0.760 (0.730 to 0.789) for cardiovascular and coronary events, respectively. Biomarkers retained in backward-elimination models were CRP and N-BNP for cardiovascular events and MR-proADM and N-BNP for coronary events, which increased the C statistic by 0.007 (P = .04) and 0.009 (P = .08), respectively. The proportion of participants reclassified was modest (8% for cardiovascular risk, 5% for coronary risk). Net reclassification improvement was nonsignificant for cardiovascular events (0.0%; 95% CI, -4.3% to 4.3%) and coronary events (4.7%; 95% CI, -0.76% to 10.1%). Greater improvements were observed in analyses restricted to intermediate-risk individuals (cardiovascular events: 7.4%; 95% CI, 0.7% to 14.1%; P = .03; coronary events: 14.6%; 95% CI, 5.0% to 24.2%; P = .003). However, correct reclassification was almost entirely confined to down-classification of individuals without events rather than up-classification of those with events.ConclusionsSelected biomarkers may be used to predict future cardiovascular events, but the gains over conventional risk factors are minimal. Risk classification improved in intermediate-risk individuals, mainly through the identification of those unlikely to develop events.
| S-EPMC3090639 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Dementia is currently diagnosed based on clinical symptoms and signs, but significant brain damage has already occurred by the time a clinical diagnosis of dementia is made, and it is increasingly recognized that this may be too late for any effective intervention. It would therefore be of great public health and preventive value to define a variety of biomarkers that could permit early detection of persons at a higher risk for developing dementia, and specifically dementia due to Alzheimer's disease. Nevertheless, for the purpose of large-scale screening, circulating biomarkers are more appropriate because they are less invasive than lumbar puncture, less costly than brain amyloid imaging and can be easily assessed repeatedly in a primary care clinic setting. In this brief review we will review a number of candidate molecules implicated as possible predictors of dementia risk. These candidates include markers of vascular injury, metabolic and inflammatory states, amyloid and tau pathway markers, measures of neural degeneration and repair efforts, and other molecules that might contribute to anatomical and functional changes characteristic of dementia and Alzheimer's disease.
| S-EPMC4056619 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundLower health-related quality of life (HRQoL) has been shown to predict a higher risk of hospital readmission and mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Few studies have explored the associations between HRQoL and incident CVD. We explored the associations between baseline HRQoL and incident and fatal CVD in community-dwelling older people in Australia and the United States.MethodsLongitudinal study using ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial data. This includes 19,106 individuals aged 65-98 years, initially free of CVD, dementia, or disability, and followed between March 2010 and June 2017. The physical (PCS) and mental component scores (MCS) of HRQoL were assessed using the SF-12 questionnaire. Incident major adverse CVD events included fatal CVD (death due to atherothrombotic CVD), hospitalizations for heart failure, myocardial infarction or stroke. Analyses were performed using Cox proportional-hazard regression.ResultsOver a median 4.7 follow-up years, there were 922 incident CVD events, 203 fatal CVD events, 171 hospitalizations for heart failure, 355 fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction and 403 fatal or nonfatal strokes. After adjustment for sociodemographic, health-related behaviours and clinical measures, a 10-unit higher PCS, but not MCS, was associated with a 14% lower risk of incident CVD, 28% lower risk of hospitalization for heart failure and 15% lower risk of myocardial infarction. Neither PCS nor MCS was associated with fatal CVD events or stroke.ConclusionPhysical HRQoL can be used in combination with clinical data to identify the incident CVD risk among older individuals.
| S-EPMC9993351 | biostudies-literature
Project description:To examine the association of orthostatic hypotension with incident heart failure (HF) in older adults.Of the 5,273 community-dwelling adults aged 65 years and older free of baseline prevalent HF in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 937 (18%) had orthostatic hypotension, defined as ?20 mmHg drop in systolic or ?10 mmHg drop in diastolic blood pressure from supine to standing position at 3 minutes. Of the 937, 184 (20%) had symptoms of dizziness upon standing and were considered to have symptomatic orthostatic hypotension. Propensity scores for orthostatic hypotension were estimated for each of the 5,273 participants and were used to assemble a cohort of 3,510 participants (883 participants with and 2,627 participants without orthostatic hypotension) who were balanced on 40 baseline characteristics. Cox regression models were used to estimate the association of orthostatic hypotension with centrally adjudicated incident HF and other outcomes during 13 years of follow-up.Participants (n = 3,510) had a mean (±standard deviation) age of 74 (±6) years, 58% were women, and 15% nonwhite. Incident HF occurred in 25% and 21% of matched participants with and without orthostatic hypotension, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.45; p = .007). Among matched participants, hazard ratios for incident HF associated with symptomatic (n = 173) and asymptomatic (n = 710) orthostatic hypotension were 1.57 (95% confidence interval, 1.16-2.11; p = .003) and 1.17 (95% confidence interval, 0.99-1.39; p = .069), respectively.Community-dwelling older adults with orthostatic hypotension have higher independent risk of developing new-onset HF, which appeared to be more pronounced in those with symptomatic orthostatic hypotension.
| S-EPMC4038247 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundMobility disability and parkinsonism are associated with decreased survival in older adults. This study examined the transition from no motor impairment to mobility disability and parkinsonism and their associations with death.Methods867 community-dwelling older adults without mobility disability or parkinsonism at baseline were examined annually. Mobility disability was based on annual measured gait speed. Parkinsonism was based on the annual assessment of 26 items from the motor portion of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale. A multistate Cox model simultaneously examined the incidences of mobility disability and parkinsonism and their associations with death.ResultsAverage age at baseline was 75 years old and 318 (37%) died during 10 years of follow-up. Mobility disability was almost 2-fold more common than parkinsonism. Some participants developed mobility disability alone (42%), or parkinsonism alone (5%), while many developed both (41%). Individuals with mobility disability or parkinsonism alone had an increased risk of death, but their risk was less than the risk in individuals with both impairments. The risk of death did not depend on the order in which impairments occurred.ConclusionThe varied patterns of transitions from no motor impairment to motor impairment highlights the heterogeneity of late-life motor impairment and its contribution to survival. Further studies are needed to elucidate the underlying biology of these different transitions and how they might impact survival.
| S-EPMC7857621 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Rationale & objectiveRecent literature suggests improvement in kidney function after percutaneous valvular replacement therapies, implying a pathophysiological contribution of valvular heart disease to chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, this association has not been investigated epidemiologically. We aimed to assess the association of valvular abnormality with prevalent and incident CKD.Study designCross-sectional and prospective analyses.Setting & participantsCommunity-dwelling participants (mean age 75.5 [standard deviation 5.1] years) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (2011-2013).ExposureValvular abnormality defined as echocardiography-based aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, and mitral regurgitation.OutcomesPrevalent CKD was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR]) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Incident CKD was defined as progression to eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 with ≥25% decline or hospitalization/deaths with CKD diagnosis.Analytical approachWe cross-sectionally evaluated the association between valvular abnormality and prevalent CKD with logistic regression in 5,216 participants. Then, 3,752 participants without prevalent CKD were analyzed for incident CKD using Cox models.ResultsThere were 1.4% (n = 74) with any aortic stenosis, 10.6% (n = 555) with any aortic regurgitation, and 43.1% (n = 2,249) with any mitral regurgitation. After adjustment for potential confounders, any mitral regurgitation and moderate/severe aortic regurgitation showed significant associations with prevalent CKD (adjusted OR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.03-1.34] and 2.82 [95% CI, 1.12-7.10]), as did any aortic stenosis in a sensitivity analysis with prevalent CKD defined including albuminuria ≥30 mg/g (1.83 [95% CI, 1.10-3.05]). Only any aortic stenosis showed an independent association with incident CKD (adjusted HR, 2.12 [95% CI, 1.13-4.00]).LimitationsDespite a relatively large study population, some subgroups had small numbers. Although we minimized reverse causation, we cannot completely rule it out.ConclusionsDifferent valvular abnormality types were associated with prevalent CKD. Only aortic stenosis was robustly associated with incident CKD. These findings suggest an etiological link between valvular abnormality and CKD, highlighting the importance of clinical attention to kidney function in individuals with aortic stenosis.
| S-EPMC9722472 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe benefit of cardiovascular magnetic resonance Imaging (CMR) in assessing occupational risk is unknown. Pilots undergo frequent medical assessment for occult disease, which threatens incapacitation or distraction during flight. ECG and examination anomalies often lead to lengthy restriction, pending full investigation. CMR provides a sensitive, specific assessment of cardiac anatomy, tissue characterisation, perfusion defects and myocardial viability. We sought to determine if CMR, when added to standard care, would alter occupational outcome.MethodsA retrospective review was conducted of all personnel attending the RAF Aviation Medicine Consultation Service (AMCS) for assessment of a cardiac anomaly, over a 2-year period. Those undergoing standard of care (history, examination, exercise ECG, 24?h-Holter and transthoracic echocardiography), and those undergoing a CMR in addition, were identified. The influence of CMR upon the final decision regarding flying restriction was determined by comparing the diagnosis reached with standard of care plus CMR vs. standard of care alone.ResultsOf the ~?8000 UK military aircrew, 558 personnel were seen for cardiovascular assessment. Fifty-two underwent CMR. A normal TTE did not reliably exclude abnormalities subsequently detected by CMR. Addition of CMR resulted in an upgraded occupational status in 62% of those investigated, with 37% returning to unrestricted duties. Only 8% of referrals were undiagnosed following CMR. All these were cases of borderline chamber dilatation and reduction in systolic function in whom diagnostic uncertainty remained between physiological exercise adaptation and early cardiomyopathy.ConclusionsCMR increases the likelihood of a definitive diagnosis and of return to flying. This study supports early use of CMR in occupational assessment for high-hazard occupations.
| S-EPMC6661777 | biostudies-literature
Project description:OBJECTIVE:To quantify longitudinal change in financial and health literacy and examine the associations of declining literacy with incident Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). METHOD:Data came from 799 participants of an ongoing cohort study. Literacy was measured using a battery of 32 questions. Clinical diagnoses were made annually following uniform structured procedures. The associations of declining literacy with incident AD dementia and MCI were tested using a joint model for longitudinal and time-to-event data. RESULTS:We observed an overall decline in total literacy score over up to 6 years of follow-up ( p < .001). Faster decline in literacy was associated with higher risks for incident AD dementia (hazard ratio = 4.526, 95% confidence interval = [2.993, 6.843], p < .001) and incident MCI (hazard ratio = 2.971, 95% confidence interval = [1.509, 5.849], p = .002). DISCUSSION:Declining literacy among community-dwelling older persons predicts adverse cognitive outcomes and serves as an early indicator of impending dementia.
| S-EPMC5869171 | biostudies-literature