Epidemiology of cardiovascular death in kidney failure: An Australian and New Zealand cohort study using data linkage.
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ABSTRACT: Aim
Cardiovascular mortality risk evolves over the lifespan of kidney failure (KF), as patients develop comorbid disease and transition between treatment modalities. Absolute cardiovascular death rates would help inform clinical practice and health-care provision, but are not well understood across a continuum of dialysis and transplant states. We aimed to characterize cardiovascular death across the natural history of KF using a lifespan approach.Methods
We performed a population-based cohort study of incident patients commencing kidney replacement therapy in Australia and New Zealand. Cardiovascular deaths were identified using data linkage to national death registers. We estimated the probability of death and kidney transplant using multi-state models, and calculated rates of graft failure and cardiovascular death across demographic factors and comorbidities.Results
Among 60 823 incident patients followed over 381 874 person-years, 25% (8492) of deaths were from cardiovascular disease. At 15 years from treatment initiation, patients had a 15.2% probability of cardiovascular death without being transplanted, but only 2.3% probability of cardiovascular death post-transplant. Females had a 3% lower probability of cardiovascular death at 15 years (15.3% vs. 18.6%) but 4% higher probability of non-cardiovascular death (54.5% vs. 50.8%). Within the first year of dialysis, cardiovascular mortality peaked in the second month and showed little improvement across treatment era.Conclusion
Despite improvements over time, cardiovascular death remains common in KF, particularly among the dialysis population and in the first few months of treatment. Multi-state models can provide absolute measures of cardiovascular mortality across both dialysis and transplant states.
SUBMITTER: Khou V
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9306651 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Background and objectivesUromodulin is exclusively produced by tubular epithelial cells and released into urine and serum. Higher serum uromodulin has been associated with lower risk for kidney failure in Chinese patients with CKD and with lower risk for mortality in the elderly and in patients undergoing coronary angiography. We hypothesized that lower serum uromodulin is associated with mortality, cardiovascular events, and kidney failure in white patients with CKD.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsWe measured serum uromodulin in 5143 participants enrolled in the German CKD (GCKD) study. The associations of baseline serum uromodulin with all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; a composite of cardiovascular mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke, or incident peripheral vascular disease), and kidney failure (dialysis or transplantation) were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses in a cohort study design, adjusting for demographics, eGFR, albuminuria, cardiovascular risk factors, and medication.ResultsThe mean age of participants was 60±12 years, 60% were male. Mean serum uromodulin concentration was 98±60 ng/ml, eGFR was 49±18 ml/min per 1.73 m2, and 78% had eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Participants in lower serum uromodulin quartiles had lower eGFR and higher albuminuria, prevalence of diabetes, hypertension, coronary artery disease, and more frequent history of stroke at baseline. During a follow-up of 4 years, 335 participants died, 417 developed MACE, and 229 developed kidney failure. In multivariable analysis, the highest serum uromodulin quartile was associated with lower hazard for mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.87), MACE (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.90), and kidney failure (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.55) compared with the lowest quartile.ConclusionsHigher serum uromodulin is independently associated with lower risk for mortality, cardiovascular events, and kidney failure in white patients with CKD.Clinical trial registry name and registration numberDeutsches Register für Klinische Studien (DRKS; German national database of clinical studies), DRKS00003971.
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Project description:IntroductionThe ageing global population presents a novel set of challenges for trauma systems. Less research has focused on the older adult population with burns and how they differ compared to younger patients. This study aimed to describe, and compare with younger peers, the number, causes and surgical management of older adults with burn injuries in Australia and New Zealand.MethodsThe Burns Registry of Australia and New Zealand was used to identify patients with burn injuries between 1 July 2009 and 31 December 2018. Temporal trends in incidence rates were evaluated and categorised by age at injury. Patient demographics, injury severity and event characteristics, surgical intervention and in-hospital outcomes were investigated.ResultsThere were 2394 burn-injured older adults admitted during the study period, accounting for 13.4% of adult admissions. Scalds were the most common cause of burn injury in older adults. The incidence of older adult burns increased by 2.96% each year (incidence rate ratio = 1.030, 95% confidence interval = 1.013-1.046, P < 0.001). Compared to their younger peers, a smaller proportion of older adult patients were taken to theatre for a surgical procedure, though a larger proportion of older adults received a skin graft.DiscussionDifferences in patient and injury characteristics, surgical management and in-hospital outcomes were observed for older adults. These findings provide the Australian and New Zealand burn care community with a greater understanding of burn injury and their treatments in a unique group of patients who are at risk of poorer outcomes than younger people.Lay summaryThe number and proportion of older persons in every country of the world is growing. This may create challenges for healthcare systems. While burn injuries are a unique subset of trauma that affect individuals of all ages, less is known about burns in older adults and how they differ from younger patients.We wanted to look at the number, type, management, and outcomes of burns in older adults in Australia and New Zealand. To do this, we used data from the Burns Registry of Australia and New Zealand, or BRANZ. The BRANZ is a database that collects information on patients that present to Australian and New Zealand hospitals that have a specialist burns unit.Our research found that one in eight adult burns patients was over the age of 65, and that the rate of burn injuries in older adults has increased over the last decade. Older adult burns patients were most commonly affected by scalds after coming in contact with wet heat such as boiling liquids or steam. Fewer older adults went to theatre for an operation or surgical procedure compared to their younger counterparts. However, a larger proportion of older adults that went to theatre had a skin graft (where skin is removed from an uninjured part of the body and placed over the injured part).This research provides important information about a unique and growing group of patients to the local burn care community. It also highlights potential avenues for injury prevention initiatives.
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Project description:BACKGROUND: Fertility treatment is associated with increased risk of major birth defects, which varies between in vitro fertilisation (IVF) and intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI), and is significantly reduced by embryo freezing. We therefore examined a range of additional perinatal outcomes for these exposures. METHODS: All patients in South Australia receiving assisted conception between Jan 1986-Dec 2002 were linked to the state-wide perinatal collection (all births/stillbirths ?20 weeks gestation or 400 g birth weight, n?=?306 995). We examined stillbirth, mean birth weight, low birth weight (<2500 g, <1500 g), small size for gestational age (<10th percentile, <3rd percentile), large size for gestational age (>90th percentile), preterm birth (32-<37 weeks, <32 weeks gestation), postterm birth (?41 weeks gestation), Apgar <7 at 5 minutes and neonatal death. RESULTS: Relative to spontaneous conceptions, singletons from assisted conception were more likely to be stillborn (OR?=?1.82, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.34-2.48), while survivors as a group were comprehensively disadvantaged at birth, including lower birth weight (-109 g, CI -129--89), very low birth weight (OR?=?2.74, CI 2.19-3.43), very preterm birth (OR?=?2.30, CI 1.82-2.90) and neonatal death (OR?=?2.04, CI 1.27-3.26). Outcomes varied by type of assisted conception. Very low and low birth weight, very preterm and preterm birth, and neonatal death were markedly more common in singleton births from IVF and to a lesser degree, in births from ICSI. Using frozen-embryos eliminated all significant adverse outcomes associated with ICSI but not with IVF. However, frozen-embryo cycles were also associated with increased risk of macrosomia for IVF and ICSI singletons (OR?=?1.36, CI 1.02-1.82; OR?=?1.55, CI 1.05-2.28). Infertility status without treatment was also associated with adverse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Births after assisted conception show an extensive range of compromised outcomes that vary by treatment modality, that are substantially reduced after embryo freezing, but which co-occur with an increased risk of macrosomia.
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Project description:Genome-wide mRNA expression profiles of 70 primary gastric tumors from the Australian patient cohort. Like many cancers, gastric adenocarcinomas (gastric cancers) show considerable heterogeneity between patients. Thus, there is intense interest in using gene expression profiles to discover subtypes of gastric cancers with particular biological properties or therapeutic vulnerabilities. Identification of such subtypes could generate insights into the mechanisms of cancer progression or lay the foundation for personalized treatments. Here we report a robust gene-xpression-based clustering of a large collection of gastric adenocarcinomas from Singaporean patients [GSE34942 and GSE15459]. We developed and validated a classifier for the three subtypes in Australian patient cohort. Profiling of 70 primary gastric tumors on Affymetrix GeneChip Human Genome U133 Plus 2.0 Array. All tumors were collected with approvals from Peter MacCallum Cancer Center, Australia; the Research Ethics Review Committee; and signed patient informed consent.
2012-07-04 | E-GEOD-35809 | biostudies-arrayexpress
Project description:RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE:Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is common and overall graft survival is suboptimal among kidney transplant recipients. Although albuminuria is a known risk factor for adverse outcomes among persons with native chronic kidney disease, the relationship of albuminuria with cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in transplant recipients is uncertain. STUDY DESIGN:Post hoc longitudinal cohort analysis of the Folic Acid for Vascular Outcomes Reduction in Transplantation (FAVORIT) Trial. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS:Stable kidney transplant recipients with elevated homocysteine levels from 30 sites in the United States, Canada, and Brazil. PREDICTOR:Urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) at randomization. OUTCOMES:Allograft failure, CVD, and all-cause death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH:Multivariable Cox models adjusted for age; sex; race; randomized treatment allocation; country; systolic and diastolic blood pressure; history of CVD, diabetes, and hypertension; smoking; cholesterol; body mass index; estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR); donor type; transplant vintage; medications; and immunosuppression. RESULTS:Among 3,511 participants with complete data, median ACR was 24 (Q1-Q3, 9-98) mg/g, mean eGFR was 49±18 (standard deviation) mL/min/1.73m2, mean age was 52±9 years, and median graft vintage was 4.1 (Q1-Q3, 1.7-7.4) years. There were 1,017 (29%) with ACR < 10mg/g, 912 (26%) with ACR of 10 to 29mg/g, 1,134 (32%) with ACR of 30 to 299mg/g, and 448 (13%) with ACR ? 300mg/g. During approximately 4 years, 282 allograft failure events, 497 CVD events, and 407 deaths occurred. Event rates were higher at both lower eGFRs and higher ACR. ACR of 30 to 299 and ?300mg/g relative to ACR < 10mg/g were independently associated with graft failure (HRs of 3.40 [95% CI, 2.19-5.30] and 9.96 [95% CI, 6.35-15.62], respectively), CVD events (HRs of 1.25 [95% CI, 0.96-1.61] and 1.55 [95% CI, 1.13-2.11], respectively), and all-cause death (HRs of 1.65 [95% CI, 1.23-2.21] and 2.07 [95% CI, 1.46-2.94], respectively). LIMITATIONS:No data for rejection; single ACR assessment. CONCLUSIONS:In a large population of stable kidney transplant recipients, elevated baseline ACR is independently associated with allograft failure, CVD, and death. Future studies are needed to evaluate whether reducing albuminuria improves these outcomes.
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Project description:ObjectiveLower limb complications are major adverse events in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). These complications can lead to morbidity, disability, reduced quality of life, and higher health care costs. We sought to determine how interim lower limb complications modify the subsequent risk of progression to kidney failure, all-cause mortality before kidney failure, and cardiovascular (CV) events in a cohort of patients with CKD stages G3 to G5.MethodsWe performed a retrospective cohort study using patient-level data obtained by linking several administrative databases from Manitoba, Canada. We used Fine and Gray regression models for the primary outcomes of (1) kidney failure adjusted for the competing risk of all-cause mortality, (2) death before kidney failure, and (3) cardiovascular-related hospitalization with the competing risk of non-CV death.ResultsA total of 92,618 patients were included in the final cohort, with a median follow-up time of 2.56 years. Compared with patients who did not experience an interim lower limb complication, there was a higher risk of kidney failure (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.10-3.00), all-cause mortality before kidney failure (adjusted HR 2.73, 95% CI 2.55-2.92), and CV events (adjusted HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.90-2.38).ConclusionsInterim lower limb complications are associated with an increased risk of kidney failure, all-cause mortality before kidney failure, and cardiovascular-related hospitalization. Clinical trials of screening and treatment strategies for patients with CKD at risk for lower limb complications may help determine optimal strategies to manage this risk.
| S-EPMC7879126 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Genome-wide mRNA expression profiles of 70 primary gastric tumors from the Australian patient cohort. Like many cancers, gastric adenocarcinomas (gastric cancers) show considerable heterogeneity between patients. Thus, there is intense interest in using gene expression profiles to discover subtypes of gastric cancers with particular biological properties or therapeutic vulnerabilities. Identification of such subtypes could generate insights into the mechanisms of cancer progression or lay the foundation for personalized treatments. Here we report a robust gene-xpression-based clustering of a large collection of gastric adenocarcinomas from Singaporean patients [GSE34942 and GSE15459]. We developed and validated a classifier for the three subtypes in Australian patient cohort.
2012-07-05 | GSE35809 | GEO
Project description:ObjectivesWe aimed to investigate the long-term absolute risk of hypertension and cardiovascular disease after kidney donation in living kidney donors.DesignLiving kidney donors were matched to 10 controls from the general population.SettingMultiple Danish national registries were used to identify living kidney donors from 1 January 1996 to 31 December 2017 nationwide.Participants1262 living kidney donors and 12 620 controls.Main outcome measuresHypertension, cardiovascular disease and diabetes.ResultsThe median age of living kidney donors was 52 (men 43%). Hypertension developed in 50 (4%) and 231 (1.8%) with a median follow-up of 7 years (IQR 3.3-12.1 years with a maximum follow-up of 22 years) and 6.9 years (IQR 3.2-11.7 years and maximum follow-up of 22 years) for donors and controls, respectively. The absolute risk of hypertension was 2.3% (95% CI 1.4% to 3.2%) and 1.2% (95% CI 1.0% to 1.4%), 4.2% (95% CI 2.8% to 5.7%) and 2.4% (95% CI 2.1% to 2.8%), 8.6% (95% CI 6.0% to 11.3%) and 3.3% (95% CI 2.8% to 3.8%) within 5, 10, 15 years for donors and controls, respectively. The ratio of the 10-year absolute risks for hypertension was 1.64 (95% CI 1.44 to 1.88) for donors compared with the controls. Two donors and four controls developed renal replacement therapy requiring end-stage renal disease during follow-up. The absolute risk of cardiovascular disease and diabetes was 7.3% (95% CI 5.7% to 9.5%) and 8.3% (95% CI 7.7% to 9.0%), 1.7% (95% CI 0.7% to 2.8%) and 3.2% (95% CI 2.7% to 3.6%) at 10 years for donors and controls, respectively.ConclusionsLiving kidney donors have an increased long-term absolute risk of hypertension compared with controls from the general population.
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