Dataset Information

Duration of inter-pregnancy interval and its predictors among pregnant women in urban South Ethiopia: Cox gamma shared frailty modeling.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Short inter-pregnancy interval is a public health concern because it results in adverse perinatal outcomes such as postpartum hemorrhage, anemia, premature birth, low birth weight, and perinatal deaths. Although it is critical to understand the factors that contribute to short inter-pregnancy interval to reduce the risk of these negative outcomes, adequate evidence about the factors in the urban context is lacking. Therefore, we aimed to assess the duration of the inter-pregnancy interval and its predictors among pregnant women in urban South Ethiopia.

Methods

A community-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 2171 pregnant women in five geographically diverse urban settings in South Ethiopia. For the analysis, a Cox gamma shared frailty (random-effect) model was used. Adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with a 95% CI was used to assess significant predictors. The median hazard ratio (MHR) used to report clustering effect.

Results

The median duration of the inter-pregnancy interval was 22 months, 95% CI (21, 23), with an inter-quartile range of 14 months. Maternal age ≥30 years [AHR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.97], having no formal education [AHR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.46, 0.78], contraceptive non-use [AHR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.94, 2.66], breastfeeding for <24 months [AHR = 4.92, 95% CI: 3.95, 6.12], death of recent child [AHR = 2.90, 95% CI: 1.41, 5.97], plan pregnancy within 24 months [AHR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.26, 2.35], lack of discussion with husband [AHR = 1.33, 95% CI: 1.10, 1.60] and lack of husband encouragement about pregnancy spacing [AHR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.48] were predictors of short inter-pregnancy interval. Adjusting for predictors, the median increase in the hazard of short inter-pregnancy interval in a cluster with higher short inter-pregnancy interval is 30% [MHR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.43] than lower cluster.

Conclusions

In the study settings, the duration of the inter-pregnancy interval was shorter than the World Health Organization recommendation. There is a need to improve contraceptive use and breastfeeding duration to maximize the inter-pregnancy interval. Men's involvement in reproductive health services and advocacy for women's reproductive decision-making autonomy are fundamental. The contextual disparities in the inter-pregnancy interval suggests further study and interventions.

SUBMITTER: Jena BH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9342774 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Duration of inter-pregnancy interval and its predictors among pregnant women in urban South Ethiopia: Cox gamma shared frailty modeling.

Jena Belayneh Hamdela BH Biks Gashaw Andargie GA Gete Yigzaw Kebede YK Gelaye Kassahun Alemu KA

PloS one 20220801 8

<h4>Background</h4>Short inter-pregnancy interval is a public health concern because it results in adverse perinatal outcomes such as postpartum hemorrhage, anemia, premature birth, low birth weight, and perinatal deaths. Although it is critical to understand the factors that contribute to short inter-pregnancy interval to reduce the risk of these negative outcomes, adequate evidence about the factors in the urban context is lacking. Therefore, we aimed to assess the duration of the inter-pregna ...[more]

PMID: 35913995

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Project description:BackgroundThe World Health Organization recommended a minimum of 33 months between consecutive live births to reduce the incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Poorly spaced pregnancies are associated with poor maternal and child health outcomes such as low birth weight, stillbirth, uterine rupture, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality, child malnutrition, and maternal hemorrhage. However, there was limited evidence on the duration of birth interval and its predictors among reproductive-age women in Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the duration of birth interval and its predictors among reproductive-age women in Ethiopia.MethodsA secondary data analysis was conducted based on the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data. A total weighted sample of 11022 reproductive-age women who gave birth within five years preceding the survey was included for analysis. To identify the predictors, the Gompertz gamma shared frailty model was fitted. The theta value, Akakie Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and deviance was used for model selection. Variables with a p-value of less than 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable Gompertz gamma shared frailty analysis, the Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) with a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was reported to show the strength and statistical significance of the association.ResultsThe median inter-birth interval in Ethiopia was 38 months (95% CI: 37.58, 38.42). Being living in Addis Ababa (AHR = 0.15, 95% CI: 0.03, 0.70), being rural resident (AHR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.23), being Muslim religious follower (AHR = 6.53, 95% CI: 2.35, 18.18), having three birth (AHR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.10, 0.83), having four birth (AHR = 0.30, 95% CI: 0.09, 0.74), five and above births (AHR = 0.10, 95% CI: 0.02, 0.41), and using contraceptive (AHR = 2.35, 95% CI: 1.16, 4.77) were found significant predictors of duration of birth interval.ConclusionThe length of the inter-birth interval was consistent with the World Health Organization recommendation. Therefore, health care interventions that enhance modern contraceptive utilization among women in rural areas and Muslim religious followers would be helpful to optimize birth interval.

Project description:BackgroundStillbirth is an invisible and poorly understood adverse pregnancy outcome that remains a challenge in clinical practice in low-resource settings. It is also a key concern in Ethiopia where more than half of pregnancies occur shortly after preceding childbirth. Whether the interval between pregnancies has an effect on stillbirth or not is unclear. Therefore, we aimed to assess the effect of inter-pregnancy interval on stillbirth in urban South Ethiopia.MethodsA community-based prospective cohort study was conducted among 2578 pregnant women and followed until delivery. Baseline data were collected at the household level during registration and enrolment. End-line data were collected from hospitals during delivery. Exposed groups were pregnant women with inter-pregnancy intervals < 18 months and 18-23 months. Unexposed group contains women with inter-pregnancy intervals 24-60 months. A generalized linear model for binary outcome was applied, using R version 4.0.5 software. Relative risk (RR) was used to estimate the effect size with a 95% confidence level. Attributable fraction (AF) and population attributable fraction (PAF) were used to report the public health impact of exposure.ResultsThe overall incidence of stillbirth was 15 per 1000 total births, (95% CI: 11, 20%). However, the incidence was varied across months of inter-pregnancy intervals; 30 (< 18 months), 8 (18-23 months) and 10 (24-60 months) per 1000 total births. The risk of stillbirth was nearly four times (ARR = 3.55, 95%CI: 1.64, 7.68) higher for women with inter-pregnancy interval < 18 months as compared to 24-60 months. This means, about 72% (AF = 72, 95%CI: 39, 87%) of stillbirth among the exposed group (inter-pregnancy interval < 18 months category) and 42% (PAF = 42, 95%CI: 23, 50%) of stillbirth in the study population were attributed to inter-pregnancy interval < 18 months. These could be prevented with an inter-pregnancy interval that is at least 18 months or longer.ConclusionsInter-pregnancy interval under 18 months increases the risk of stillbirth in this population in urban South Ethiopia. Interventions targeting factors contributing to short inter-pregnancy intervals could help in reducing the risk of stillbirth. Improving contraceptive utilization in the community could be one of these interventions.

Project description:BackgroundGlobally, postpartum hemorrhage is the leading preventable cause of maternal mortality. To decrease postpartum hemorrhage-related maternal mortalities, identifying its risk factors is crucial to suggest interventions. In this regard, little is known about the link between primary postpartum hemorrhage and inter-pregnancy interval in Ethiopia, where more than half of pregnancies occur shortly after the preceding childbirth. Therefore, we aimed to elucidate the association of primary postpartum hemorrhage with an inter-pregnancy interval in urban South Ethiopia.MethodsA community-based matched nested case-control study was conducted among a cohort of 2548 pregnant women. All women with primary postpartum hemorrhage during the follow-up (n = 73) were taken as cases. Women who were randomly selected from those without primary postpartum hemorrhage (n = 292) were taken as controls. Cases were individually matched with controls (1:4 ratio) for age group and location. A conditional logistic regression analysis was done using R version 4.0.5 software. Statistically, a significant association was declared using 95% CI and p-value. Attributable fraction (AF) and population attributable fraction (PAF) were used to estimate the public health impacts of the inter-pregnancy interval.ResultsThis study found out that more than half (66%) of primary postpartum hemorrhage was attributed to inter-pregnancy interval <24 months (AF = 66.3%, 95% CI: 37.5, 82.5%). This could be prevented if the inter-pregnancy interval was increased to 24-60 months. Likewise, nearly half (49%) of primary postpartum hemorrhage in the study population could be prevented if the inter-pregnancy interval <24 months was prevented. Additionally, primary postpartum hemorrhage was attributed to antepartum hemorrhage, prolonged labour and multiple pregnancies.ConclusionsPrimary postpartum hemorrhage was associated with inter-pregnancy interval under 24 months, highlighting the need to improve postpartum modern contraceptive utilization in the community. Counseling couples about how long to wait until subsequent pregnancy and the risk when the inter-pregnancy interval is short need to be underlined.

Project description:BackgroundUnder-five mortality continues to be a serious public health concern in low-and middle-income countries, particularly in Africa. This study investigates the probability of under-five survival and its predictors of mortality in the African continent using a recent demographic health survey from 2014-2022.MethodsThis study utilized recent Demographic and Health Survey data from 30 African countries, encompassing 226,862 live births. This study employed a multivariable lognormal accelerated failure time gamma shared frailty parametric survival regression analysis to identify the predictors of time-to-death among under-five children in these African nations.ResultThe overall under-five child mortality rate in Africa was 37.55 per 1,000 live births (95% CI: 37.35, 37.74. In this study, children born in Western Africa; children born in Eastern Africa; children born to mothers aged 15-19 years; maternal educational status; maternal decision autonomy; being female; place of delivery; number of ANC visits; children born among mothers who delivered by Cesarean section; mothers who have multiple birth outcome; children who were second birth order; and third birth order and third birth order; children who were small in size at birth; children who were born from a community with a low women education; having poor wealth index; respondents working; mothers delivered at the age between 20-35 were significant predictors of survival time to event of under-five children in Africa.ConclusionThis study found that the overall under-five mortality rates remain high across Africa. In this study country region, maternal age, maternal education status, maternal age at first birth, respondent's employment status, birth outcome, wealth index, birth order, place of delivery, mode of delivery, women's autonomy in healthcare decision-making, number of antenatal care visits, child's size at birth, sex of the neonate, and community-level women's education were found to be significant predictors of survival time to death of under-five children. Addressing these multilevel factors is crucial for developing targeted interventions to reduce under-five mortality further and improve child survival in African countries.

Project description:BackgroundPerinatal mortality remains a problem in Ethiopia. Findings of primary studies varied on level of perinatal mortality and its predictors including inter-pregnancy interval. The aim of this review was to estimate the pooled perinatal mortality rate, its trend overtime and verify the association with inter-pregnancy interval in Ethiopian context.MethodsStudies were accessed through the electronic web-based search strategies from PubMed, ScienceDirect, Hinari for health via Research4Life, Google and Advanced Google search, and retrieving via relevant references using a combination of medical subject headings (MeSH terms) and key words related with inter-pregnancy interval. R version 3.4.3 software was used for the meta-analysis. A forest plot and I2 test were done to assess heterogeneity. Sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis were done to deal with heterogeneity. A weighted inverse variance random-effects model was applied to estimate pooled effect sizes. A funnel plot and Egger's regression test were done to check publication bias.ResultsA total of 34 studies used to answer review questions (30 for perinatal mortality rate and its trend estimation from 1997 to 2019 and 8 for its relationship with inter-pregnancy interval). The pooled perinatal mortality rate was 51.3 per 1000 total births (95% CI: 40.8-62.8). The pooled stillbirth rate was 36.9 per 1000 births (95% CI: 27.3-47.8) and early neonatal mortality rate was 29.5 per 1000 live births (95% CI: 23.9-35.6). Increasing trend was seen in stillbirth rate (23.7 to 36.9 per 1000 births) while decreasing trend in early neonatal mortality rate (51 to 29.5 per 1000 live births). Slight reduction trend was observed in overall perinatal mortality rate (66 to 51.3 per 1000 births). An inter-pregnancy interval less than 15 months was found to be statistically significantly associated with perinatal mortality; pooled OR = 2.76 (95% CI: 2.1-3.62). Spacing pregnancy for at least 15 months was related with reducing perinatal mortality by 64% (95% CI: 52.38, 72.38%).ConclusionsIn Ethiopia, perinatal mortality rate remains high. Insignificant reduction trend was observed in overall perinatal mortality rate. Counseling couples about the importance of spacing pregnancy and intensifying long-acting contraceptive use will help in reducing perinatal mortality related to poor pregnancy spacing.

Dataset Information

Duration of inter-pregnancy interval and its predictors among pregnant women in urban South Ethiopia: Cox gamma shared frailty modeling.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Duration of inter-pregnancy interval and its predictors among pregnant women in urban South Ethiopia: Cox gamma shared frailty modeling.

Similar Datasets

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