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Utility of pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning models for outcome prediction in classical Hodgkin lymphoma.


ABSTRACT:

Objectives

Relapse occurs in ~20% of patients with classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) despite treatment adaption based on 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography response. The objective was to evaluate pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning (ML) models for predicting outcome in patients with cHL.

Methods

All cHL patients undergoing pre-treatment PET/CT at our institution between 2008 and 2018 were retrospectively identified. A 1.5 × mean liver standardised uptake value (SUV) and a fixed 4.0 SUV threshold were used to segment PET/CT data. Feature extraction was performed using PyRadiomics with ComBat harmonisation. Training (80%) and test (20%) cohorts stratified around 2-year event-free survival (EFS), age, sex, ethnicity and disease stage were defined. Seven ML models were trained and hyperparameters tuned using stratified 5-fold cross-validation. Area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operator characteristic analysis was used to assess performance.

Results

A total of 289 patients (153 males), median age 36 (range 16-88 years), were included. There was no significant difference between training (n = 231) and test cohorts (n = 58) (p value > 0.05). A ridge regression model using a 1.5 × mean liver SUV segmentation had the highest performance, with mean training, validation and test AUCs of 0.82 ± 0.002, 0.79 ± 0.01 and 0.81 ± 0.12. However, there was no significant difference between a logistic model derived from metabolic tumour volume and clinical features or the highest performing radiomic model.

Conclusions

Outcome prediction using pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived ML models is feasible in cHL patients. Further work is needed to determine optimum predictive thresholds for clinical use.

Key points

• A fixed threshold segmentation method led to more robust radiomic features. • A radiomic-based model for predicting 2-year event-free survival in classical Hodgkin lymphoma patients is feasible. • A predictive model based on ridge regression was the best performing model on our dataset.

SUBMITTER: Frood R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9403224 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Utility of pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning models for outcome prediction in classical Hodgkin lymphoma.

Frood Russell R   Clark Matt M   Burton Cathy C   Tsoumpas Charalampos C   Frangi Alejandro F AF   Gleeson Fergus F   Patel Chirag C   Scarsbrook Andrew A  

European radiology 20220825 10


<h4>Objectives</h4>Relapse occurs in ~20% of patients with classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) despite treatment adaption based on 2-deoxy-2-[<sup>18</sup>F]fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography response. The objective was to evaluate pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning (ML) models for predicting outcome in patients with cHL.<h4>Methods</h4>All cHL patients undergoing pre-treatment PET/CT at our institution between 2008 and 2018 were retrospectively identif  ...[more]

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