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The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs).


ABSTRACT: We estimated the probability of undetected emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in 25 low and middle-income countries (LMICs) prior to December 5, 2021. In nine countries, the risk exceeds 50 %; in Turkey, Pakistan and the Philippines, it exceeds 99 %. Risks are generally lower in the Americas than Europe or Asia.

SUBMITTER: Bi K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9727964 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs).

Bi Kaiming K   Herrera-Diestra Jose Luis JL   Bai Yuan Y   Du Zhanwei Z   Wang Lin L   Gibson Graham G   Johnson-Leon Maureen M   Fox Spencer J SJ   Meyers Lauren Ancel LA  

Epidemics 20221207


We estimated the probability of undetected emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in 25 low and middle-income countries (LMICs) prior to December 5, 2021. In nine countries, the risk exceeds 50 %; in Turkey, Pakistan and the Philippines, it exceeds 99 %. Risks are generally lower in the Americas than Europe or Asia. ...[more]

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