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Predictive Score for Carbapenem-Resistant Gram-Negative Bacilli Sepsis: Single-Center Prospective Cohort Study.


ABSTRACT: A clinical-epidemiological score to predict CR-GNB sepsis to guide empirical antimicrobial therapy (EAT), using local data, persists as an unmet need. On the basis of a case-case-control design in a prospective cohort study, the predictive factors for CR-GNB sepsis were previously determined as prior infection, use of mechanical ventilation and carbapenem, and length of hospital stay. In this study, each factor was scored according to the logistic regression coefficients, and the ROC curve analysis determined its accuracy in predicting CR-GNB sepsis in the entire cohort. Among the total of 629 admissions followed by 7797 patient-days, 329 single or recurrent episodes of SIRS/sepsis were enrolled, from August 2015 to March 2017. At least one species of CR-GNB was identified as the etiology in 108 (33%) episodes, and 221 were classified as the control group. The cutoff point of ≥3 (maximum of 4) had the best sensitivity/specificity, while ≤1 showed excellent sensitivity to exclude CR-GNB sepsis. The area under the curve was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76-0.85) and the number needed to treat was 2.0. The score may improve CR-GNB coverage and spare polymyxins with 22% (95% CI: 17-28%) adequacy rate change. The score has a good ability to predict CR-GNB sepsis and to guide EAT in the future.

SUBMITTER: Gomes MZR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9854893 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictive Score for Carbapenem-Resistant Gram-Negative Bacilli Sepsis: Single-Center Prospective Cohort Study.

Gomes Marisa Zenaide Ribeiro MZR   Braga Douglas Quintanilha DQ   Pinheiro Debora Otero Britto Passos DOBP   Verduc Renata Cristina Amorim Silveira RCAS   Dos Reis Letícia Vellozo LV   de Lima Elisangela Martins EM   Lourenço Newton Dias ND   Cid Patrícia Aquen PA   Beck Debora Souza DS   Pinheiro Luiz Henrique Zanata LHZ   Tonhá João Pedro Silva JPS   de Sousa Luiza Silva LS   Dias Mayra Lopes Secundo MLS   da Silva Machado Amanda Aparecida AA   Castro Murillo Marçal MM   Dutra Vitoria Pinson Ruggi VPR   de Mello Luciana Sênos LS   da Silva Maxuel Cassiano MC   Tozo Thaisa Medeiros TM   Mathuiy Yann Rodrigues YR   de Abreu Rosas Lucas Lameirão Pinto LLP   Barros Paulo Cesar Mendes PCM   da Silva Jeane Oliveira JO   da Silva Priscila Pinho PP   Bandeira Carolina Souza CS   de Sant Anna Reis Di Chiara Salgado Scyla Maria SM   de Oliveira Alves Marcio Zenaide MZ   Santos Roberto Queiroz RQ   Marques José Aurélio JA   Rodrigues Caio Augusto Santos CAS   Dos Santos Gomes Junior Saint Clair SC  

Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) 20221223 1


A clinical-epidemiological score to predict CR-GNB sepsis to guide empirical antimicrobial therapy (EAT), using local data, persists as an unmet need. On the basis of a case-case-control design in a prospective cohort study, the predictive factors for CR-GNB sepsis were previously determined as prior infection, use of mechanical ventilation and carbapenem, and length of hospital stay. In this study, each factor was scored according to the logistic regression coefficients, and the ROC curve analy  ...[more]

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