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Prediction of measured GFR after living kidney donation from pre-donation parameters.


ABSTRACT:

Background

One of the challenges in living kidney donor screening is to estimate remaining kidney function after donation. Here we developed a new model to predict post-donation measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) from pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex.

Methods

In the prospective development cohort (TransplantLines, n = 511), several prediction models were constructed and tested for accuracy, precision and predictive capacity for short- and long-term post-donation 125I-iothalamate mGFR. The model with optimal performance was further tested in specific high-risk subgroups (pre-donation eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2, a declining 5-year post-donation mGFR slope or age >65 years) and validated in internal (n = 509) and external (Mayo Clinic, n = 1087) cohorts.

Results

In the development cohort, pre-donation estimated GFR (eGFR) was 86 ± 14 mL/min/1.73 m2 and post-donation mGFR was 64 ± 11 mL/min/1.73 m2. Donors with a pre-donation eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (present in 43%) had a mean post-donation mGFR of 69 ± 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 5% of these donors reached an mGFR <55 mL/min/1.73 m2. A model using pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex performed optimally, predicting mGFR with good accuracy (mean bias 2.56 mL/min/1.73 m2, R2 = 0.29, root mean square error = 11.61) and precision [bias interquartile range (IQR) 14 mL/min/1.73 m2] in the external validation cohort. This model also performed well in donors with pre-donation eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 [bias 0.35 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 10)], in donors with a negative post-donation mGFR slope [bias 4.75 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 13)] and in donors >65 years of age [bias 0.003 mL/min/1.73 m2 (IQR 9)].

Conclusions

We developed a novel post-donation mGFR prediction model based on pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex.

SUBMITTER: van Londen M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9869859 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Prediction of measured GFR after living kidney donation from pre-donation parameters.

van Londen Marco M   van der Weijden Jessica J   Niznik Robert S RS   Mullan Aidan F AF   Bakker Stephan J L SJL   Berger Stefan P SP   Nolte Ilja M IM   Sanders Jan-Stephan F JF   Navis Gerjan G   Rule Andrew D AD   de Borst Martin H MH  

Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association 20230101 1


<h4>Background</h4>One of the challenges in living kidney donor screening is to estimate remaining kidney function after donation. Here we developed a new model to predict post-donation measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) from pre-donation serum creatinine, age and sex.<h4>Methods</h4>In the prospective development cohort (TransplantLines, n = 511), several prediction models were constructed and tested for accuracy, precision and predictive capacity for short- and long-term post-donation  ...[more]

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