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A combined polygenic score of 21,293 rare and 22 common variants improves diabetes diagnosis based on hemoglobin A1C levels.


ABSTRACT: Polygenic scores (PGSs) combine the effects of common genetic variants1,2 to predict risk or treatment strategies for complex diseases3-7. Adding rare variation to PGSs has largely unknown benefits and is methodically challenging. Here, we developed a method for constructing rare variant PGSs and applied it to calculate genetically modified hemoglobin A1C thresholds for type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosis7-10. The resultant rare variant PGS is highly polygenic (21,293 variants across 154 genes), depends on ultra-rare variants (72.7% observed in fewer than three people) and identifies significantly more undiagnosed T2D cases than expected by chance (odds ratio = 2.71; P = 1.51 × 10-6). A PGS combining common and rare variants is expected to identify 4.9 million misdiagnosed T2D cases in the United States-nearly 1.5-fold more than the common variant PGS alone. These results provide a method for constructing complex trait PGSs from rare variants and suggest that rare variants will augment common variants in precision medicine approaches for common disease.

SUBMITTER: Dornbos P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9995082 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A combined polygenic score of 21,293 rare and 22 common variants improves diabetes diagnosis based on hemoglobin A1C levels.

Dornbos Peter P   Koesterer Ryan R   Ruttenburg Andrew A   Nguyen Trang T   Cole Joanne B JB   Leong Aaron A   Meigs James B JB   Florez Jose C JC   Rotter Jerome I JI   Udler Miriam S MS   Flannick Jason J  

Nature genetics 20221024 11


Polygenic scores (PGSs) combine the effects of common genetic variants<sup>1,2</sup> to predict risk or treatment strategies for complex diseases<sup>3-7</sup>. Adding rare variation to PGSs has largely unknown benefits and is methodically challenging. Here, we developed a method for constructing rare variant PGSs and applied it to calculate genetically modified hemoglobin A1C thresholds for type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosis<sup>7-10</sup>. The resultant rare variant PGS is highly polygenic (21,29  ...[more]

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