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Benefit of chemotherapy as part of treatment for HPV DNA-positive but p16-negative squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx.

ABSTRACT: To determine (a) the cause of an improvement in survival from oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) in South East Scotland and (b) whether this improvement was human papillomavirus (HPV) and p16 subtype-dependent.Clinicopathological characteristics and outcome data for patients referred with OSCC from 1999 to 2001 (Cohort-1) and 2003 to 2005 (Cohort-2) were obtained. Molecular HPV detection and immunohistochemistry for p16 were performed from paraffin blocks.Cohort-1 and Cohort-2 contained 118 and 136 patients, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed significantly improved survival in Cohort-2 (P<0.0001). Sub-classification according to HPV and p16 status revealed no improvement in survival in Class-I (HPV-ve/p16-ve; 47 patients) or Class-III (HPV+ve/p16+ve; 77 patients). However in Class-II (HPV+ve/p16-ve; 56 patients) an increase in 5-year cause-specific survival from 36% in Cohort-1 to 73% in Cohort-2 was detected (P=0.0001).Proportional hazards analysis of 217 patients treated radically demonstrated that significant variables were p16 (P<0.0001), N stage (P=0.0006) and cohort (P=0.0024). Removing cohort from the variables offered to the model showed that, whereas p16 (P<0.0001) and N stage (P=0.0016) remain significant, chemotherapy (P=0.0163) and T stage (P=0.0139) are now significant. This suggests that much of the cohort effect is due to the higher use of chemotherapy in the second cohort.These data suggest that HPV+ve/p16-ve patients constitute a separate subclass of OSCC who may particularly benefit from chemotherapy. They imply that p16 status cannot be considered a surrogate for HPV status, and those trials to de-escalate treatment in HPV+ve OSCC should take p16 status into account.

SUBMITTER: Junor E

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3261669 | biostudies-other | 2012 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Project description:Importance:Clinical trials that deintensify treatment for patients with suspected human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) use p16 expression to identify HPV-mediated tumors and guide treatment. While p16 staining has a strong correlation with good outcomes, approximately 12% of p16-positive patients have recurrent disease. Biomarkers that reveal tumor-specific characteristics, such as nodal involvement, may change therapy decisions. Objective:To assess whether if a tumor-specific genetic signature exists for node-negative vs node-positive HPV 16-positive/p16-positive OPSCCs. Design, Setting, and Participants:This was a retrospective cohort study with randomized case selection for p16 OPSCCs undertaken at a university-based, tertiary care cancer center. Samples were collected from patients with p16-positive OPSCC. A total of 21 HPV 16/p16-positive tumors were used in this study. Main Outcomes and Measures:Gene expression profiles of node-negative vs node-positive tumor samples were evaluated using a differential expression analysis approach and the sensitivity and specificity of a molecular signature was determined. Results:Among the 21 patients in the study (3 women, 18 men; mean [SD] age, 54.6 [9.6] years), 6 had node-negative disease and 15 had node-positive disease. Using differential expression analysis, we found 146 genes that were significantly different in patients with node-negative disease vs those with node-positive disease, of which 15 genes were used to create a genetic signature that could distinguish node-negative-like from node-positive-like disease. The resultant molecular signature has a sensitivity of 88.2% (95% CI, 63.6%-98.5%) and specificity of 85.7% (95% CI, 42.1%-99.6%). The positive likelihood ratio of this signature was 6.1 (95% CI, 1.0-38.2) and the negative likelihood ratio was 0.1 (95% CI, 0.04-0.5). Given this population's prevalence of node-positive disease of 70.8%, the positive- and negative-predicative values for this gene signature were 93.7% (95% CI, 70.8%-98.9%) and 75.0% (95% CI, 44.1%-92.0%), respectively. In addition, we developed a gene signature using agnostic, machine learning software that identified a 40-gene profile that predicts node-negative disease from node-positive disease (area under the curve, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.63-1.00). Conclusions and Relevance:Many HPV-16 and p16-positive tumors are treated as "lower-risk," but they do not have similar genetic compositions at the biological level. The identification of subgroups with unique expression patterns, such as those with nodal metastases, may guide physicians toward alternative or more aggressive therapies. In our study, unguided clustering suggested that that the larger biological characteristics of a tumor could be a better prognostic biomarker.

Project description:BackgroundThe prescribed radiation dose to patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is standardized, even if the prognosis for individual patients may differ. Easy-at-hand pre-treatment risk stratification methods are valuable to individualize therapy. In the current study we assessed the prognostic impact of primary tumor volume for p16-positive and p16-negative tumors and in relationship to other prognostic factors for outcome in patients with OPSCC treated with primary radiation therapy (RT).MethodsFive hundred twenty-three OPSCC patients with p16-status treated with primary RT (68.0 Gy to 73.1 Gy in 7 weeks, or 68.0 Gy in 4.5 weeks), with or without concurrent chemotherapy, within three prospective trials were included in the study. Local failure (LF), progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in relationship to the size of the primary gross tumor volume (GTV-T) and other prognostic factors were investigated. Efficiency of intensified RT (RT with total dose 73.1 Gy or given within 4.5 weeks) was analyzed in relationship to tumor volume.ResultsThe volume of GTV-T and p16-status were found to be the strongest prognostic markers for LF, PFS and OS. For p16-positive tumors, an increase in tumor volume had a significantly higher negative prognostic impact compared with p16-negative tumors. Within a T-classification, patients with a smaller tumor, compared with a larger tumor, had a better prognosis. The importance of tumor volume remained after adjusting for nodal status, age, performance status, smoking status, sex, and hemoglobin-level. The adjusted hazard ratio for OS per cm3 increase in tumor volume was 2.3% (95% CI 0-4.9) for p16-positive and 1.3% (95% 0.3-2.2) for p16-negative. Exploratory analyses suggested that intensified RT could mitigate the negative impact of a large tumor volume.ConclusionsOutcome for patients with OPSCC treated with RT is largely determined by tumor volume, even when adjusting for other established prognostic factors. Tumor volume is significantly more influential for patients with p16-positive tumors. Patients with large tumor volumes might benefit by intensified RT to improve survival.

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Benefit of chemotherapy as part of treatment for HPV DNA-positive but p16-negative squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx.

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