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Time-dependent risk of developing distant metastasis in breast cancer patients according to treatment, age and tumour characteristics.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Metastatic breast cancer is a severe condition without curative treatment. How relative and absolute risk of distant metastasis varies over time since diagnosis, as a function of treatment, age and tumour characteristics, has not been studied in detail. METHODS: A total of 9514 women under the age of 75 when diagnosed with breast cancer in Stockholm and Gotland regions during 1990-2006 were followed up for metastasis (mean follow-up=5.7 years). Time-dependent development of distant metastasis was analysed using flexible parametric survival models and presented as hazard ratio (HR) and cumulative risk. RESULTS: A total of 995 (10.4%) patients developed distant metastasis; the most common sites were skeleton (32.5%) and multiple sites (28.3%). Women younger than 50 years at diagnosis, with lymph node-positive, oestrogen receptor (ER)-negative, >20 mm tumours and treated only locally, had the highest risk of distant metastasis (0-5 years' cumulative risk =0.55; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.47-0.64). Women older than 50 years at diagnosis, with ER-positive, lymph node-negative and ≤20-mm tumours, had the same and lowest cumulative risk of developing metastasis 0-5 and 5-10 years (cumulative risk=0.03; 95% CI: 0.02-0.04). In the period of 5-10 years after diagnosis, women with ER-positive, lymph node-positive and >20-mm tumours were at highest risk of distant recurrence. Women with ER-negative tumours showed a decline in risk during this period. CONCLUSION: Our data show no support for discontinuation at 5 years of clinical follow-up in breast cancer patients and suggest further investigation on differential clinical follow-up for different subgroups of patients.

SUBMITTER: Colzani E

PROVIDER: S-EPMC3950882 | biostudies-other | 2014 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Project description:The identification of women with early-stage breast cancer who will develop distant metastasis may improve clinical management. The transcriptional regulator Enhancer of Zeste-2 (EZH2) is overexpressed in invasive breast carcinoma compared with benign breast tissues, with maximal expression in breast cancer metastasis. In this article, our purpose was to investigate the performance of EZH2 protein detection as a predictor of metastasis in women with early-stage breast cancer, which is unknown. We developed a cohort of 480 women with stage I-IIA breast cancer diagnosed between 1996 and 2002 and recorded detailed sociodemographic, clinical, and pathological information. Tumors were histologically characterized and arrayed in tissue microarrays containing 1,443 samples. The nuclear EZH2 expression was investigated by immunohistochemistry and was scored as 1-2 (negative and weak) or 3-4 (moderate and strong) using a validated scoring schema. Scores 1-2 were considered low EZH2; scores 3-4 were considered high EZH2. In this study, we found that after a median follow up of 9 years (range 0.04-14.5 years) 46 of 480 patients (9.6%) developed distant metastasis. High EZH2 was associated with larger size, high histological grade, negative hormone receptors, and first degree family history of breast and/or ovarian carcinoma. While EZH2 could not predict survival in the entire cohort, high EZH2 was a predictor of disease-specific survival in patients with early-stage disease and first degree family history (log rank P value 0.05). Importantly, in this group of patients, high EZH2 was an independent predictor of distant metastasis up to 15 years after primary carcinoma diagnosis (hazard ratio 6.58, 95% CI: 1.40-30.89, P = 0.016) providing survival information above and beyond currently used prognosticators. In conclusion, EZH2 may be a useful biomarker of long-term metastatic risk in women with familial early-stage breast cancer, and warrant further validation studies.

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Time-dependent risk of developing distant metastasis in breast cancer patients according to treatment, age and tumour characteristics.

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