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Risk scoring system to predict contrast induced nephropathy following percutaneous coronary intervention.

ABSTRACT: Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of this study is to evaluate the collective probability of CIN in Indian population by developing a scoring system of several identified risk factors in patients undergoing PCI.This is a prospective single center study of 1200 consecutive patients who underwent PCI from 2008 to 2011. Patients were randomized in 3:1 ratio into development (n = 900) and validation (n = 300) groups. CIN was defined as an increase of ?25% and/or ?0.5 mg/dl in serum creatinine at 48 hours after PCI when compared to baseline value. Seven independent predictors of CIN were identified using logistic regression analysis - amount of contrast, diabetes with microangiopathy, hypotension, peripheral vascular disease, albuminuria, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and anemia. A formula was then developed to identify the probability of CIN using the logistic regression equation.The mean (±SD) age was 57.3 (±10.2) years. 83.6% were males. The total incidence of CIN was 9.7% in the development group. The total risk of renal replacement therapy in the study group is 1.1%. Mortality is 0.5%. The risk scoring model correlated well in the validation group (incidence of CIN was 8.7%, sensitivity 92.3%, specificity 82.1%, c statistic 0.95).A simple risk scoring equation can be employed to predict the probability of CIN following PCI, applying it to each individual. More vigilant preventive measures can be applied to the high risk candidates.

SUBMITTER: Victor SM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4223201 | biostudies-other | 2014 Sep-Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Risk scoring system to predict contrast induced nephropathy following percutaneous coronary intervention.

Victor Suma M SM Gnanaraj Anand A S VijayaKumar V Deshmukh Rajendra R Kandasamy Mani M Janakiraman Ezhilan E Pandurangi Ulhas M UM Latchumanadhas K K Abraham Georgi G Mullasari Ajit S AS

Indian heart journal 20140610 5

<h4>Background</h4>Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of this study is to evaluate the collective probability of CIN in Indian population by developing a scoring system of several identified risk factors in patients undergoing PCI.<h4>Methods</h4>This is a prospective single center study of 1200 consecutive patients who underwent PCI from 2008 to 2011. Patients were randomized in 3:1 ra ...[more]

PMID: 25443605

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Project description:Background Previous studies have suggested a strong association of liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) with cardiovascular outcomes in patients with different cardiovascular diseases. Nonetheless, it is basically blank regarding the prognostic significance of LFSs in patients following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This study sought to examine the potential role of LFSs in predicting long-term outcomes in a large cohort of patients with stable coronary artery disease after elective PCI. Methods and Results In this multicenter, prospective study, we consecutively enrolled 4003 patients with stable coronary artery disease undergoing PCI. Eight currently available noninvasive LFSs were assessed for each subject. All patients were followed up for the occurrence of cardiovascular events including cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and stroke. During an average follow-up of 5.0±1.6 years, 315 (7.87%) major cardiovascular events were recorded. Subjects who developed cardiovascular events were more likely to have intermediate or high LFSs, including nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score; fibrosis-4 score; body mass index, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, diabetes mellitus score (BARD); and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio. Furthermore, compared with subjects with low scores, those with intermediate plus high score levels had significantly increased risk of cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratios ranging 1.57-1.92). Moreover, the addition of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score; fibrosis-4 score; or body mass index, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, diabetes mellitus score into a model with established cardiovascular risk factors significantly improved the prediction ability. Conclusions High LFSs levels might be useful for predicting adverse prognosis in patients with stable coronary artery disease following PCI, suggesting the possibility of the application of LFSs in the risk stratification before elective PCI.

Dataset Information

Risk scoring system to predict contrast induced nephropathy following percutaneous coronary intervention.

Publications

Risk scoring system to predict contrast induced nephropathy following percutaneous coronary intervention.

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