Unknown

Dataset Information

0

Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world: modelling disease spread with partial data.


ABSTRACT: 'Big-data' epidemic models are being increasingly used to influence government policy to help with control and eradication of infectious diseases. In the case of livestock, detailed movement records have been used to parametrize realistic transmission models. While livestock movement data are readily available in the UK and other countries in the EU, in many countries around the world, such detailed data are not available. By using a comprehensive database of the UK cattle trade network, we implement various sampling strategies to determine the quantity of network data required to give accurate epidemiological predictions. It is found that by targeting nodes with the highest number of movements, accurate predictions on the size and spatial spread of epidemics can be made. This work has implications for countries such as the USA, where access to data is limited, and developing countries that may lack the resources to collect a full dataset on livestock movements.

SUBMITTER: Dawson PM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4455802 | biostudies-other | 2015 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

altmetric image

Publications

Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world: modelling disease spread with partial data.

Dawson Peter M PM   Werkman Marleen M   Brooks-Pollock Ellen E   Tildesley Michael J MJ  

Proceedings. Biological sciences 20150601 1808


'Big-data' epidemic models are being increasingly used to influence government policy to help with control and eradication of infectious diseases. In the case of livestock, detailed movement records have been used to parametrize realistic transmission models. While livestock movement data are readily available in the UK and other countries in the EU, in many countries around the world, such detailed data are not available. By using a comprehensive database of the UK cattle trade network, we impl  ...[more]

Similar Datasets

| S-EPMC6010299 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC7224118 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6336907 | biostudies-other
| S-EPMC9299334 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC4263813 | biostudies-other
| S-EPMC2679935 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC1635508 | biostudies-other
| S-EPMC4010926 | biostudies-other
| S-EPMC3338450 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6532520 | biostudies-literature