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Time-varying effect and long-term survival analysis in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

ABSTRACT: Recent studies have indicated the prognostic value of tumour subtype and pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). However these results were reported after a short follow-up and using a standard Cox model which could be unsatisfactory for time-dependent factors. In the present study, we identified the prognostic factors for long-term outcome after NAC, considering that they could have an inconstant impact over time.Prognostic factors from 956 consecutive breast cancer patients treated with NAC were identified and associated with long-term outcomes. We estimated survival by a time function multivariate Cox model regression and stratified by follow-up length.The prognostic value of tumour histological grade and hormone receptors status varied as distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) increased. The multivariate analysis identified the following significant prognostic factors: tumour size, N stage, clinical and pathological response to NAC, hormone receptors (HR) status and histological tumour grade. The 'prognostic benefit' of low-grade and positive-HR status decreased over the years. Thus, in the early years after cancer diagnosis, the hazard ratio of distant recurrences in patients with positive-HR status increased from 0.26 (95% CI 0.1-0.4) at 6 months to 2.2 (95% CI 1.3-3.7) at 120 months. The histological tumour grade followed a similar trend. The hazard ratio of grade III patients compared with grade I was 1.83 (95% CI 1.1-2.8) at 36 months and diminished over time to 0.70 (95% CI 0.4-1.3) at 120 months. This indicates that the risk of recurrence for positive-HR patients was 74% lower at 6 months compared with the negative-hormone receptor group, but 30% higher at 5 years and more than double at 10 years. High-grade tumours presented a risk of 83% in the earlier years decreasing to 30% at 10 years versus the low-grade group.From the present study, we conclude the importance of identifying time-dependent prognostic factors. Distant recurrence-free interval within women who receive NAC are influenced by achieving pCR and breast cancer subtype. Tumours with more aggressive biology have poorer survival during the first 5 years, but if they exceed this point their prognostic impact is no longer significant. Conversely, positive-HR patients remain at risk for distant recurrence for many years.

SUBMITTER: Baulies S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4647542 | biostudies-other | 2015 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Time-varying effect and long-term survival analysis in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Baulies S S Belin L L Mallon P P Senechal C C Pierga J-Y JY Cottu P P Sablin M-P MP Sastre X X Asselain B B Rouzier R R Reyal F F

British journal of cancer 20150616 1

<h4>Background</h4>Recent studies have indicated the prognostic value of tumour subtype and pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). However these results were reported after a short follow-up and using a standard Cox model which could be unsatisfactory for time-dependent factors. In the present study, we identified the prognostic factors for long-term outcome after NAC, considering that they could have an inconstant impact over time.<h4>Methods</h4>Prognostic f ...[more]

PMID: 26079300

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Project description:ImportanceIn the past decade, the use of neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) has increased for patients with borderline and locally advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Data on pancreatic fistula and related overall survival (OS) in this setting are limited.ObjectiveTo compare postoperative complications in patients undergoing either upfront resection or pancreatectomy following NAT, focusing on clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) and potential associations with OS.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective cohort study was conducted on data from patients who underwent pancreatic resection for PDAC at the Massachusetts General Hospital from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2017.ExposuresPancreatic cancer surgery with or without NAT.Main outcomes and measuresOverall morbidity and CR-POPF rates were compared between NAT and upfront resection. Factors associated with CR-POPF were assessed with univariate and multivariate analysis. Survival data were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier curves and a Cox proportional hazards regression model.ResultsOf 753 patients, 364 were men (48.3%); median (interquartile range) age was 68 (61-75) years. A total of 346 patients (45.9%) received NAT and 407 patients (54.1%) underwent upfront resection. At pathologic examination, NAT was associated with smaller tumor size (mean [SD], 26.0 [15.3] mm vs 32.7 [14.4] mm; P < .001), reduced nodal involvement (102 [25.1%] vs 191 [55.2%]; P < .001), and higher R0 rates (257 [74.3%] vs 239 [58.7%]; P < .001). There were no significant differences in severe complication rate or 90-day mortality. The rate of CR-POPF was 3.6-fold lower in patients receiving NAT vs upfront resection (13 [3.8%] vs 56 [13.8%]; P < .001). In addition, factors associated with CR-POPF changed after NAT, and only soft pancreatic texture was associated with a higher risk of CR-POPF (38.5% vs 6.3%; P < .001). Survival analysis showed no differences between patients with or without CR-POPF after upfront resection (26 vs 25 months; P = .66), but after NAT, a worse overall survival rate was observed in patients with CR-POPF (17 vs 34 months; P = .002). This association was independent of other established predictors of overall survival by multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 2.80; 95% CI, 1.44-5.45; P < .002).Conclusions and relevanceNeoadjuvant therapy may be associated with a significant reduction in the rate of CR-POPF. In addition, standard factors associated with CR-POPF appear to be no longer applicable following NAT. However, once CR-POPF occurs, it is associated with a significant reduction in long-term survival. Patients with CR-POPF may require closer follow-up and could benefit from additional therapy.

Project description:Objective Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the most common primary malignant central nervous system (CNS) tumor. The Stupp regimen is the standard treatment, although the optimal number of temozolomide (TMZ) treatment cycles remains controversial. We compared the effects of standard 6 cycles versus > 6 cycles of TMZ chemotherapy post-surgery with concurrent chemoradiotherapy on primary GBM patient survival. Patients and methods We performed a single center retrospective study of GBM patients that underwent total resection, concurrent chemoradiotherapy, and at least 6 cycles of adjuvant TMZ chemotherapy from June 2011 to August 2018. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on adjuvant TMZ treatment plan: Group A(n = 27): standard 6-cycle adjuvant TMZ therapy and Group B(n = 26): > 6 cycles of adjuvant TMZ therapy. Primary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Continuous variables were analyzed by ANOVA, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to evaluate PFS and OS. Univariate and multivariate COX analyses determined correlation between survival rates and covariates. We used The Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) to assess patients’ neurocognitive function and quality of life. Results After follow-up, median PFS was 15 months in in Group A (95%CI 9.5–20.5) and 20.1 months in Group B (95%CI 15.9–24.4). Group A median OS was 19.4 months (95%CI 15.5–23.2), compared to 25.6 months in Group B (95%CI 20.4–30.8). The 2-year survival rate of Groups A and B was 36% was 66%, respectively (P = 0.02). and 5-year survival was 7% in both. Multivariate COX regression analysis showed association between patient PFS and long-period adjuvant chemotherapy, but not OS. There were no significant difference in disability or quality of life during treatment with Stupp protocol, but differences in MMSE and KPS were in favour of the Groups B after year 1 of the treatment (P < 0.05). Conclusions Long-term adjuvant TMZ chemotherapy was beneficial for PFS and 2-year survival rate in GBM patients, and improved their quality of life contemporarily. But OS was not significantly improved.

Project description:BackgroundChemotherapeutic agents such as anthracyclines and taxanes are commonly used in the neoadjuvant setting. Bevacizumab is an antibody which binds to vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGFA) and inhibits its receptor interaction, thus obstructing the formation of new blood vessels.MethodsA phase II randomized clinical trial of 123 patients with Her2-negative breast cancer was conducted, with patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (fluorouracil (5FU)/epirubicin/cyclophosphamide (FEC) and taxane), with or without bevacizumab. Serial biopsies were obtained at time of diagnosis, after 12 weeks of treatment with FEC ± bevacizumab, and after 25 weeks of treatment with taxane ± bevacizumab. A time course study was designed to investigate the genomic landscape at the three time points when tumor DNA alterations, tumor percentage, genomic instability, and tumor clonality were assessed. Substantial differences were observed with some tumors changing mainly between diagnosis and at 12 weeks, others between 12 and 25 weeks, and still others changing in both time periods.ResultsIn both treatment arms, good responders (GR) and non-responders (NR) displayed significant difference in genomic instability index (GII) at time of diagnosis. In the combination arm, copy number alterations at 25 loci at the time of diagnosis were significantly different between the GR and NR. An inverse aberration pattern was also observed between the two extreme response groups at 6p22-p12 for patients in the combination arm. Signs of subclonal reduction were observed, with some aberrations disappearing and others being retained during treatment. Increase in subclonal amplification was observed at 6p21.1, a locus which contains the VEGFA gene for the protein which are targeted by the study drug bevacizumab. Of the 13 pre-treatment samples that had a gain at VEGFA, 12 were responders. Significant decrease of frequency of subclones carrying gains at 17q21.32-q22 was observed at 12 weeks, with the peak occurring at TMEM100, an ALK1 receptor signaling-dependent gene essential for vasculogenesis. This implies that cells bearing amplifications of VEGFA and TMEM100 are particularly sensitive to this treatment regime.ConclusionsTaken together, these results suggest that heterogeneity and subclonal architecture influence the response to targeted treatment in combination with chemotherapy, with possible implications for clinical decision-making and monitoring of treatment efficacy.Trial registrationNCT00773695 . Registered 15 October 2008.

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Time-varying effect and long-term survival analysis in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

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Time-varying effect and long-term survival analysis in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

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