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Spatial distribution of psychotic disorders in an urban area of France: an ecological study.

ABSTRACT: Previous analyses of neighbourhood variations of non-affective psychotic disorders (NAPD) have focused mainly on incidence. However, prevalence studies provide important insights on factors associated with disease evolution as well as for healthcare resource allocation. This study aimed to investigate the distribution of prevalent NAPD cases in an urban area in France. The number of cases in each neighbourhood was modelled as a function of potential confounders and ecological variables, namely: migrant density, economic deprivation and social fragmentation. This was modelled using statistical models of increasing complexity: frequentist models (using Poisson and negative binomial regressions), and several Bayesian models. For each model, assumptions validity were checked and compared as to how this fitted to the data, in order to test for possible spatial variation in prevalence. Data showed significant overdispersion (invalidating the Poisson regression model) and residual autocorrelation (suggesting the need to use Bayesian models). The best Bayesian model was Leroux's model (i.e. a model with both strong correlation between neighbouring areas and weaker correlation between areas further apart), with economic deprivation as an explanatory variable (OR = 1.13, 95% CI [1.02-1.25]). In comparison with frequentist methods, the Bayesian model showed a better fit. The number of cases showed non-random spatial distribution and was linked to economic deprivation.

SUBMITTER: Pignon B

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4870636 | biostudies-other | 2016 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-other

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Project description:BackgroundMapping the spatial distribution of disease occurrence is a strategy to identify contextual factors that could be useful for public health policies. The purpose of this ecological study was to examine to which extent the socioeconomic deprivation and the urbanization level can explain gender difference of geographic distribution in stroke incidence in Pays de Brest, France between 2008 and 2013.MethodsStroke cases aged 60 years or more were extracted from the Brest stroke registry and combined at the census block level. Contextual socioeconomic, demographic, and geographic variables at the census block level come from the 2013 national census. We used spatial and non-spatial regression models to study the geographic correlation between socioeconomic deprivation, degree or urbanization and stroke incidence. We generated maps using spatial geographically weighted models, after longitude and latitude smoothing and adjustment for covariates.ResultsStroke incidence was comparable in women and men (6.26 ± 3.5 vs 6.91 ± 3.3 per 1000 inhabitants-year, respectively). Results showed different patterns of the distribution of stroke risk and its association with deprivation or urbanisation across gender. For women, stroke incidence was spatially homogeneous over the entire study area, but was associated with deprivation level in urban census blocks: age adjusted risk ratio of high versus low deprivation = 1.24, [95%CI 1.04-1.46]. For men, three geographic clusters were identified. One located in the northern rural and deprived census blocks with a 9-14% increase in the risk of stroke. Two others clusters located in the south-eastern (mostly urban part) and south-western (suburban and rural part) with low deprivation level and associated with higher risk of stroke incidence between (3 and 8%) and (8.5 and 19%) respectively. There were no differences in profile of cardiovascular risk factors, stroke type and stroke severity between clusters, or when comparing clusters cases to the rest of the study population.ConclusionsUnderstanding whether and how neighborhood and patient's characteristics influence stroke risk may be useful for both epidemiological research and healthcare service planning.

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Spatial distribution of psychotic disorders in an urban area of France: an ecological study.

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